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Klawchat 7/11/19
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Keith Law
1:23
Lynch would have made it had he come back from this shutdown, but Howard's issue is his shoulder and he's been out too long.
Brian
1:24
Hey Keith, thanks for the insightful new prospect list this morning. I was a little surprised Heliot Ramos did not make your list (19 years old and performing well in High A). Do you see him as a top 100 prospect at this point? What pd
Keith Law
1:24
Probably top 100.
Carl
1:25
Is Yordan Alvarez still not a top 100 prospect for you?
Keith Law
1:25
He's ineligible, since he's in the majors.
Eric
1:25
Thanks for the chat, and the top 50 Keith.  I know you've been a big Isan Diaz fan in the past.  What are your thoughts on him after his big season so far?  Too much question with the AAA ball to get him in the 50?
Keith Law
1:26
It's the lack of recent performance and then he goes to AAA and hits like this ... so is this the real Diaz, the guy I hoped he'd become maybe three years ago when I ranked him pretty highly, or is this a juiced ball mirage? He'd have been in the next 50 guys if I'd ranked 100.
Eric
1:26
What are your thoughts on George Valera?  Chance for big helium and a spot on the offseason list?
Keith Law
1:26
I hear good things but he has barely played around injuries.
Andy
1:26
With all the tributes to Jim Bouton, I am reminded that Bowie Kuhn is in the HOF, but Marvin Miller isn't. That was my biggest takeaway from the book, having an asshole in your corner is really good for the labor side.
Keith Law
1:27
Yep. Bowie Kuhn did more to destroy the game of baseball than anybody since Judge Landis. The Hall honoring him is a sick joke.
1:28
Oh, and by the way, the BBWAA still hasn't removed Jim Reeves - who wrote an article just two months ago defending a former player accused of serial sexual assault of a child - from the Spink ballot. What a fucking joke.
John
1:28
Are Brady Singer and Daniel Lynch Mlb starters?  Add Jackson to make up KC rotation by 2021?
Keith Law
1:29
Lynch, if healthy, is a very good starter. Singer still looks like a reliever to me between the low slot and lack of a weapon for LHB. Kowar's probability is somewhere in between the two. Bubic has a low ceiling but his starter odds are higher than Singer's for me. Haven't seen Bowlan here yet.
Rick
1:29
Afternoon KLaw, non-prospect question for you. Jake Arrieta seems to be quite the curmudgeon. His willingness to "be a team leader" in Philly (ie throw teammates and coaches under the bus when things don't go his way while getting batters out at a replacement level clip) hasn't exactly endeared him to either teammates or fans in the city. My question is was he always like this and just wasn't held accountable in Chicago because he actually got batters out? His temper tantrum over an equally washed up Todd Frazier this past week was a bad look that didn't portray either him or the organization in the best light.
Keith Law
1:30
I think your assessment is accurate - and I don't see how MLB can avoid suspending him for threatening Frazier ("I'll put a dent in his skull"). You can't say that. You can think it, but MLB has to put the clamp down on public threats.
Pat D
1:30
Something that is annoying me mightily right now from the great cesspool that is NYC sports talk radio is the assumption that because Bumgarner was great in the postseason 5-7 years ago, he'll be great in the postseason now, and for that reason alone, the Yankees should acquire him above anyone else.  Is there any way you can even hope to present a counter-argument to someone entrenched with that belief?
Keith Law
1:31
No, probably because the basic premise is flawed, and you won't convince someone one of their core beliefs is wrong.
Liam
1:31
What's wrong with Thor?
Keith Law
1:31
Here's one guess: this year's super-smooth baseball is killing his slider.
Adam
1:31
At this point, would you rank Luciano, Ramos and Bishop ahead of Bart in the Giants farm system?
Keith Law
1:32
maybe, yes, no.
MJ
1:32
Fantastic work on the list, Keith. Any brief thoughts on Tyler Freeman? Seems to have some of the same plate/OBP skills as Alek Thomas and Nolan Jones, albeit without the athleticism of the former and potential pop of the latter.
Keith Law
1:32
He's more in Thomas' vein - and he's pretty small, so his impact is really likely to be limited.
Nice player, though. Probably top 100, not close to this.
Denis
1:32
Surprised to see Gavin Lux at #5.  If he switched to 2B is he still in the top 10?  Also, if you are the Dodgers, who would you keep out of Smith/Ruiz?  Does Ruiz still have the higher ceiling?
Keith Law
1:33
Ruiz has the higher ceiling but I'd keep Smith because he's ready now. Not that either is a wrong choice. no reason to bump Lux from SS.
Ridley
1:33
Just to expand on Trav's point, now that the Supreme Court has decided that gerrymandering is beyond their reach, there's no better time to get involved at the local and state levels to ensure that independent commissions are in place to ensure that neither party abuses redistricting.
Keith Law
1:33
Right, because if your state is gerrymandered next time around, it may become de facto permanent.
SGz
1:33
What is the rationale for Jesus Luzardo missing the Top 50? Thanks.
Keith Law
1:34
What is the rationale for him making it? He's 21 with a pretty lengthy list of injuries already.
Rick
1:35
As a constitutional conservative who didn't vote  in the 2016 presidential election (both candidates made me physically ill) I can't see myself going to the ballot box in 2020 [again]. Trump is Trump, and the takeaway from the Dem debates so far was: keep southern border open for potential votes and cheap labor, expand healthcare to illegal aliens, pay off existing college debt, offer voting rights to felons and mid-teens. This is supposed to motivate me to vote? Still waiting for the voice of sanity to step up.
Keith Law
1:38
If that's your takeaway from the debates, I think you went into the debates having already decided what you want to hear. A non-vote in 2020 is a vote for Trump. It means you're fine with a status quo that is imprisoning children, mistreating them, exposing them to trauma, just because they're brown. It means you're cool with the world's largest economy still pretending climate change isn't real - even though huge portions of our economy and our country will be adversely affected by it. People will die needlessly because of this. It means you're fine with a government that turns its back on democratic allies to support autocratic governments that assassinate political opponents, including journalists, because it suits short-term political aims. It means you're fine with the kleptocracy that ignores rampant conflicts of interest, enriching officeholders across the government, because you just want low taxes and a ban on abortion. Yeah, you're a Trump supporter. You just lack the courage to admit it.
John
1:38
Has Seth Beer impressed with his performance so far?
Keith Law
1:38
Really needs to show he can hit LHP.
mark
1:38
Dinelson Lamet recently returned to the Pads after TJS. What kind of upside does he have… #3 starter?
Keith Law
1:38
Two-pitch guy who'll end up in the pen if that doesn't change.
Paul
1:38
I’m sure some of my fellow Braves fans are bitching about Waters’ omission; already saw one person on Twitter. Not here to do that, but am curious what you think of him? BABIP is absurd (.457) with an alarming K-rate and not many walks. Something he can fix or overcome with the rest of his game? And likelihood of him doing that? Thanks for the chat!
Keith Law
1:40
Solid prospect but he's a corner guy long term. The K rate isn't alarming on its own, especially since he's young for AA, but the combination of low walk rates his whole career and rising K rates is concerning. Again, like a lot of guys folks are asking about here, he's a top 100 type, but this is just a 50, and that means I'm only ranking the best.
Justin
1:40
When players makes their major league debut why is the note that the player has been recalled by the team?  Shouldn’t that be for players that were demoted and then brought back?
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