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Klawchat, 7/13/17.
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Keith Law
1:11
He's been hurt all year and might not pitch in games at all until instructs. That's kind of a problem. Mondesi was not eligible.
Kevin
1:11
Michel Baez has been dominant but it sounds like it's been primarily his fastball. How's his secondary stuff?
Keith Law
1:12
Saw him in March, it was mostly FB and sheer size. Big dude, gets on top of the ball well.
Kevin S.
1:12
Hey Keith.  Any idea what happened to Blake Rutherford?  A quick look at his stat line is showing a power drop-off.  Do you think that's something structural there, or is it just adjustment to a more challenging level?
Keith Law
1:12
Hoping to see him in Lakewood this weekend. Two scouts I asked said he's just not making hard contact at all. That's shocking given what I saw from him in HS (and what I think everyone else saw too).
kur
1:12
Seems like with all the mediocre-to-bad reports on Yadi Alvarez (flat FB, zero command of anything) other publications have zero problem moving him down, but he actually jumped almost 20 spots for you. Any particular reason?
Keith Law
1:13
We had a lot of graduations and guys dropping due to injury; inertia moved a lot of guys up. I could not care less about other publications' rankings.
John
1:13
What does Martes, Perez, and Alvarez get the Astros in trade? Cole? Quintana? Gray?
Keith Law
1:13
I can tell you this: It won't get them Quintana!
boston
1:13
any particular reason you do a top 50 and not a top 100?
Keith Law
1:14
The amount of work required and the desire not to give anyone a false sense of precision.
Raylan
1:14
Can Ian Happ play CF on an everyday basis?
Keith Law
1:14
No.
Robbie
1:14
If you were GM of the Orioles, what would be your plan for Machado?
Keith Law
1:14
Have to trade him. Now or winter, but there's really no other option.
Jesse
1:14
Austin Meadows has dropped from #9 in your preseason ranks to outside the top 50. Is the upside still there if he ever manages to stay healthy? Or have the skills eroded as well?
Keith Law
1:14
Trouble staying healthy and hasn't performed at all in AAA.
Erik
1:14
Taking T.J. into consideration, what range did Braxton Garrett fall into?
Keith Law
1:15
Like Reyes, somewhere in the top 100, Garrett lower since he never even got to pitch.
Jason
1:15
What is Kingery's ceiling?
Keith Law
1:17
All-Star ceiling. 70 glove, 70 run, at least 55 power now. Wish he'd show more patience - he is up there to hit, and if he gets a pitch, especially a fastball in the zone, he thinks he can drive, he's after it, which is fine until he faces pitchers who can avoid those areas in the strike zone. But I'm buying.
Dusty
1:17
Do you agree with the aggressive promotion of Acuna to AAA?  Think he sees the majors in 2017?
Keith Law
1:17
I assume this is the plan for them - probably was all along. It's not like he dominated high-A to justify the first promotion, so this must be a "get him to the majors" agenda.
Gene Mullett
1:18
Thanks for the chat.  Multiple, but quick ones...

1)Is Mejia's bat ready for the show?  Is he mostly in the minors to work on receiving skills?  I love Gomes, but I am not sure I can stand to watch another AB.

2)Is a signed copy of the book available or should I suck it up, buy one, & then just hope to run into you at a Carolina League park?
Keith Law
1:18
Some bookstores I visit will have me sign extra copies for them to sell. Books and Books in Coral Gables, Florida, has (had) at least ten when I left on Saturday.
jay_B
1:20
Cubs (and former Cubs) have a couple of high spots on the updated list, but after that, not much. Any Cubs prospects that are close to the list, or who have the potential to make the list next year?
Keith Law
1:21
And they lost one since you submitted this. Alzolay would be their next guy outside the 50. De la Cruz might be next, if he comes back and can stay healthy the rest of the year.
Nate
1:21
Keith, were there any considerations for Dunning or Hansen of the White Sox?
Keith Law
1:21
No - good prospects, not top 50.
JK
1:21
If you were ranking those same 50 prospects for fantasy players, who would rise and drop the most?  Many of us reference your list but it's somewhat difficult without knowing how much of their talent is glove vs bat. Thanks for any insight.
Keith Law
1:21
Hard to say. I haven't played fantasy baseball in any form in 15 years, and I don't really keep track of the counting stats that matter in fantasy.
The Bilmo
1:21
Why does everyone have to get in the game? Isn't the important thing being named to the team?
Keith Law
1:22
I don't know when this became a Thing, but it is definitely one now, and I agree that it makes the game worse to watch.
NYTT
1:22
How difficult is it to avoid prospect fatigue in evaluations/rankings? Do you try and be cognizant of prospect fatigue and minimize it or not worry about it because you know it will be there regardless?
Keith Law
1:23
I am not sure what you mean.
Matt
1:23
Hi Keith, love your work. Has the opinion on Tyler O'neil shifted some given his recent hot streak? Seems to have adjusted after a pretty crummy start.
Keith Law
1:23
He wasn't on my top 100 before the season and he wouldn't be on it now.
Josh C
1:23
What are your thoughts on Francis Martes? Would he have made the top 50 if he wasn't in the majors right now? How do you compare him to Whitley, Perez, etc?
Keith Law
1:24
I think he was in my preseason top 50. Beyond that, it's hard to say - he's now pitched against major-league hitters for several weeks, and I can't pretend that didn't happen. Whitley is the one who seems to be emerging as the best of the group, although that's no slight on the other two.
Matt
1:24
Are your rankings based on your own scouting or are they based on your impressions of industry consensus?
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