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Klawchat 7/14/22
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Aaron
1:48
What are some reasonable expectations for Zach Neto and Brooks Lee? Worried the Cubs are again going hit tool + makeup over upside
Keith Law
1:48
Regular at shortstop and above-average regular at 2b or 3b, respectively. Full scouting reports available in the top 100 link at the top of the chat.
T
1:48
Where would you rank Kevin Parada if at the end of the day if his arm is not good enough to be a 1st division catcher? Or better said, Kevin Parada's bat at 1B/DH?
Keith Law
1:49
Arm isn't going to keep anyone from being a catcher any more. There isn't enough baserunning for that. And I don't think Parada has to move off C for his glove.
Chad
1:49
They don't have the #1 pick to have the huge bonus $ this year, but do you think the Bucs will try to use the draft this weekend in similar ways to last year? Would Termarr Johnson be a guy that might take a cut to help out going over slot with the next couple picks?
Keith Law
1:51
I don't know bonus expectations for Termarr (or most players, really). The Pirates do have an extra pick at 36, though, and could get creative with that - going under slot at 4 to go over for some HS player who gets to the later pick. My guess is several teams go after that type of player in the 31-39 range.
David
1:51
Hi Keith, Thanks for all the great draft work. I've been impressed with Oneil Cruz's defense at short stop, although my expectations were low. Do you think he could stay there for at least a few years before moving to the outfield?
Keith Law
1:51
They may choose to leave him there but I think he's best suited to another position.
Walshy
1:51
Aaron Ashby ever a guy that will get to 5 or 6 innings consistently or better in smaller spurts? The stuff and K rates are absurd.
Keith Law
1:51
don't think he'll have the command for that.
Grover
1:52
I recall you weren't bullish on Julio Urias being able to come back after his shoulder injury (I wasn't either) but was this basically an outlier/one in a million type of thing or are we reaching a point with those types of shoulder injuries that they are more recoverable in the same way we started to see with elbow injuries in the last decade or so?
Keith Law
1:52
Extreme outlier - I think he's the only pitcher ever to come back from that injury/surgery and hold up as a starter.
Which is good news, but one exception does not disprove the rule.
Clay, Rutherford
1:52
Have you had a chance to see Myrtle Beach SS Kevin Made in action? 19 years old, has hit 9 HR this year in an offensively repressed league, is walking about five times as often as he did last year, and carries a .975 fielding percentage at SS (I know, not a great measure of defensive prowess, but still).
Keith Law
1:53
Saw him in the spring. The boosted walk rate is great news and a surprise, as I thought he was a good bit behind even his teammates in that regard. That club is pretty loaded with hitting prospects.
Tom
1:53
Ok ok i’m prepared to get denied here, but can we at least say Nats Luis Garcia is a regular?
Keith Law
1:53
Based on what? Sub 0 WAR again this year, 2 BB and 30 K so far in the majors.
Tim
1:53
Does Strider's slider play up because of how good his fastball is? His slider is running a pretty high whiff rate despite reports of it being a below average pitch
Keith Law
1:54
Yes, the fastball has exceptional vertical movement. Great piece by Justin Choi on Fangraphs today about it.
ProjectHanyo
1:55
So with the Paxton Kling news that he will skip the draft and go to LSU, I saw a comment that one should go to colleges like Vandy or LSU than pro ball because of the minor league life is horrible and college life is great and among your peers, and MLB training staffs are 1/100th of the value of the training staffs of LSU or Vandy’s. I facepalmed so hard, surely MLB teams can’t be that incompetent not to mention the other stuff
Keith Law
1:56
College is right for some guys. It's not right for everyone. That's certainly not true about training staffs, but I think there is - or was, with this silly realignment happening - an argument that the life of a college player is easier than the life of a minor league player when it comes to travel.
Frank
1:56
When Henry Davis was selected last year there was some question if he could stick behind the plate.  Is there any question now that he will be a full time catcher or does that question still remain?
Keith Law
1:57
I never had that question about his glove, so of course I'm saying no, there's no question now.
Guest
1:57
Is there any defense for Shane McClanahan not being the ASG starter?
Keith Law
1:57
That the all-star game is a silly marketing event and we shouldn't care about it? OK fine there's no defense.
Ian
1:57
Is Enrique Bradfield Jr. as good as he is fun to watch? Not sure how he profiles as a pro.
Keith Law
1:58
Yes. He'll be in the 1-1 discussion next year, I think.
Rob
1:58
Thanks for answering my question re Blaze Jordan on The Athletic. Although he was known for power as a prep you mentioned we're not seeing it now. I would have thought this (presumed) emphasis on contact would be part of the development process and that not showing power wouldn't be a concern. Am I misunderstanding? Was there a swing change to emphasize contact that makes his power inaccessible or is there still a chance all of his skills consolidate?
Keith Law
1:58
I've seen him twice now. That swing isn't going to produce game power.
Larry
1:58
Is Jobe going to be an ace? How is his stuff looking in the limited innings
Keith Law
1:59
It's been down. Multiple scouts have told me more mid-rotation guy, like 3rd/4th starter, based on what they've seen this year. Could always come back.
Jeff
1:59
Should Orioles look to still sell Santander or Mancini?  Stay the course?  Not sure they should be buyers.
Keith Law
1:59
They shouldn't let a winning streak divert them from their long-term plan. They should sell opportunistically.
2:00
That's all for this chat, as I have a radio hit right now. I'll do a Q&A over at The Athletic on Sunday afternoon and again at some point on Monday once the draft has begun. Thank you as always for all of your questions!
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