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Klawchat 7/16/21
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Keith Law
3:11
D4 damage with the ill behavior. Klawchat.
Debbie
3:14
What kind of offensive ceiling does Francisco Alvarez possess? Did his Future Game BP change your raw power grade on him?
Keith Law
3:17
I think it's 70 power, but no, I didn't change anything off the Futures Game look. I'd just seen him two weeks earlier in regular games anyway.
Carl
3:17
Can Cole Winn be a mid-rotation starter? Despite the home run during the Futures Game, he looked impressive.
Keith Law
3:17
He did look impressive and that's what I think he is.
mike sixel
3:17
Buxton: traded in the next 12 months, or signed to stay in MN? How about Berrios?
Keith Law
3:18
I'd guess they sign Buxton and trade Berrios. Buxton might give them some discount given how often he's been hurt. I can't see them going 5 years on Berrios, but he could get that in free agency.
Joel
3:18
Hi, Keith. Thanks for the fantastic draft coverage throughout the past three months. If you were given the authority to make unilateral changes to improve the draft, what changes would you make?
Keith Law
3:19
Make picks tradeable, first and foremost. I'd also consider a lottery for the top picks in the draft, or something to deter any thought of teams tanking (although I doubt anyone is explicitly tanking for draft position).
JJ
3:19
Are Jarren Duran's home/road splits a concern?  The new ballpark in Worcester seems to be a hitter's park.
Keith Law
3:19
It is a hitter's park - it's on a hill, right? - but his power is real.
Robert
3:19
20 pitchers! It's concerning that despite going pitching heavy the last few years they still felt the need to do this.
Keith Law
3:19
It's a gimmick, I think. But I like what they did up top.
David
3:19
Any idea what’s wrong with Blake Snell? He’s denied injury but has looked utterly lost on the mound this year.
Keith Law
3:19
I'm assuming it's an injury of some sort.
Nacho
3:19
Thoughts on Brennan Davis? Futures game aside, he's seems to be making adjustments and is crushing AA at a young age. Could he be a top 25 prospect by year-end?
Keith Law
3:19
He's top 50 now, at least. I'm a fan.
Jon G
3:19
The Cubs used their first two picks on day 3 on preps that publicly said no within a day. Is this necessarily a sign of bad process within the draft room?
Keith Law
3:20
No, those picks are usually throwaways, or just senior signs to fill rosters.
You take those HS kids on the off chance that they come to their senses change their minds before heading to college.
Nils
3:20
What exactly makes a pitcher "home run prone"?  Hear that as a knock on some prospects, but is that a trait that is fixable?
Keith Law
3:21
Usually it's a fastball thing - their fastballs lack life or movement, and if they get too much of the heart of the zone, hitters hit them. Far.
Himself
3:21
When a team like the pirates are able to draft 4 elite guys like they did, are they concerned that they’ll be available at each pick or fairly certain because of the relative cost and bonus pool management for other clubs?
Keith Law
3:21
Those teams have negotiated with those players' advisers to come to verbal agreements - if your player is there, we will take him and pay him $X - and the advisers will then try to deter other teams from taking those players.
3:22
There are no guarantees, but that's the tacit agreement that holds up the system.
Shaughn B
3:22
Hey Keith, read the recaps - thanks for those! Were there any team drafts you thought were more in line with the approach you would've taken? Any that went way against the grain of an approach you agree with?
Keith Law
3:22
The Phillies went heavy on high school pitching, which you know I don't favor, especially not in the first round. I think the Reds had my favorite draft and the one that most mirrored my philosophy.
Nate
3:22
It's been a very disappointing season to be a Twins fan, but one of the pleasant surprises has been seeing Jose Miranda's improvement. How much has his outlook changed from a year ago? Can he be an everyday third baseman?
Keith Law
3:23
I loved him in his draft year and the Twins, to their credit, have always been steadfast in their (outward) belief that he'd hit. He could be a regular, yes.
John
3:23
Aside from the feature ASG events themselves, how was your experience in Denver this week?
Keith Law
3:23
Great! Good city for this event. Loved that I could walk everywhere. Had amazing coffee at Little Owl and grade 80 sushi at Sushi Den. The light rail is great too. Not sure where the city put all the oxygen, though.
Eric
3:24
With the performance of Tork, Greene & Dingler, not to mention the emergence of Baddoo, is it fair to say Detroit’s rebuild all of a sudden looks much more promising than one might have thought before the season?
Keith Law
3:24
Yes, I think so. Manning's regression hurts a little.
John
3:24
The Red Sox seem to think their history with training hitters means they can fix the holes in Fabian's swing.  Any reason to believe that?
Keith Law
3:24
Didn't work with Dalbec. It's not a "hole" per se but a complete and utter inability to make an adjustment. He couldn't hit sliders when the season started, and he couldn't hit them when the season ended.
Sandy Alderson
3:24
Is Rocker's ETA 2022?
Keith Law
3:25
Maybe end of 2022, but I'd rather take it a little slower with him than I would with Leiter.
John
3:28
What's the youngest player that you've ever scouted?
Keith Law
3:29
I saw Bryce Harper at 15. I was in the DR once, primarily to see Cuban free agent Eddy Julio Martinez, and saw some 14-year-olds. Stir Candelario, who is now in the Rays' system, was one of them.
Bill S.
3:29
Keith - great work on the draft!  Your work is very much appreciated.  Regarding Henry Davis - he impressed me when I listened to him on your podcast this spring.  He seems very confident and cerebral, yet humble.  Seemed to have strong leadership qualities.  When evaluating a prospect for the draft, how much stock do teams put in those characteristics?  Thank you.
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