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Klawchat 7/19/18
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Nick
1:55
I know it's only 100 AB's in the GCL, but do you have any early reports on Ronny Mauricio?
Keith Law
1:55
on the tools, yes, very positive, higher upside guy than Gimenez, who is obviously more advanced but doesn't project to impact like Mauricio might.
Oscar
1:55
Why are so many people so quick to jump to "he was a kid and said something stupid" defense for Hader? When I was teenager, I didn't come anywhere NEAR saying something as stupid or offensive as he did (and I was a really stupid kid). And he did it multiple times for Pete's sake.
Keith Law
1:56
Right. Stupid is "Nickelback is the best band ever!" It's not ... that stuff Hader said. That's much worse than merely stupid. These are opinions that can change, and I will gladly accept that he may no longer be that person, but he left all that shit up on his feed for anyone to find, too.
Dan
1:56
Maybe I don't fully understand the projected/anticipated value, but it seems like the Orioles are getting amazing value for 2 months of Machado. Even if Diaz is just an average regular, he alone will far exceed the WAR of 2 months of Machado, no?
Keith Law
1:57
If he's an average regular, sure. There's always a chance he's less than that. And the point is not a WAR to WAR comparison, but whether they maximized what the market would pay. Getting back more WAR than you traded does not mean you got the most value back you could have.
Jon
1:57
Do you think Manfred realized how jerk-ish he sounded when calling Trout out for not being cooperative in marketing?
Keith Law
1:58
I absolutely, firmly believe he did not realize it until after the fact. I disagree with the Commissioner on many things. I do not think he is a jerk, or means to sound like one.
Bud, on the other hand ... i had my doubts.
Mike F
1:58
Love your writing and I think I just missed you at the Futures Game. I realize Nate Lowe was too old for High A but he seems to be putting up the same big numbers in AA. Any chance he is a emerging as a sleeper prospect?
Keith Law
1:59
More like a second-tier guy, has to hit at every level to prove it given his age and position, but I don't see any reason he can't/won't at least produce enough to be a big leaguer.
Mark
1:59
What was your favorite dining experience while visiting Italy ?
Keith Law
1:59
The pinsa, a different type of pizza from the Lazio region, that I ate with my cousins at Pinsotto in Nervi, which is a neighborhood at the eastern end of Genoa.
Enrique
2:00
Thoughts on Elehuris Montero?  He someone you think makes your top 100 next season?
Keith Law
2:00
Doubt that. Bat over glove right now, not sure where he plays. A prospect, though. Top 100 is still fairly selective.
EL
2:00
Could the Giants have a top-10 farm in a year or two?
Keith Law
2:00
Sure, if they trade Bumgarner and Posey.
Brian
2:01
What would be your guess on the trade value of Hedges? Could you bring back a top 100 prospect for him just based on his defense?
Keith Law
2:01
I can't imagine that at all.
Scott
2:01
I cant believe I am going to make this argument but here it goes.  With a future outfield of Eaton, Robles, Soto, and Taylor are the Nats better off not throwing $300M-$400M at Harper if that means they will strapped for cash and will not be able to re-sign key assets like Rendon and his BFF Turner down the line.  If I had the choice between Rendon, Turner, and maybe another solid SP vs Harper I think I would choose the former.  Should the front office view it this way?
Keith Law
2:01
Yes, I think that's quite reasonable, and I'm a huge believer in Harper and think he's going to be worth $300MM+. He just doesn't line up with the Nats' needs.
Jeff
2:01
Adley Rutschman as an early 1-1 possibility next year or at least top 5?
Keith Law
2:02
I couldn't say never, not with Bart going 2, but to me that is overly aggressive.
Andrew
2:02
Do you see Rockies parting with a Rodgers, McMahon, or Lambert at this deadline?
Keith Law
2:02
No to Rodgers or Lambert. The way they've handled McMahon makes me think they would part with him - but I have zero inside info on that.
Tom
2:02
Any market for Britton?  He seems to have gained some velocity and regained his sink in his last few appearances.
Keith Law
2:03
Oh there's a market - the question is whether the return will be acceptable. I'd still acquire him, but I'm not paying a Gleyber-plus price.
Jim
2:03
you've probably been asked this before so I'm sorry if I'm repeating it but do you see Brendan McKay sticking as a 2 way player or will/should he commit to one?
Keith Law
2:03
It's actually in the top 50 today - I answered that exact question.
Beau
2:03
Is Huddson Potts for real? He's putting up really strong numbers for a 19 yr old in High A.
Keith Law
2:03
He's a prospect, was one before the season too. Still very young, looks like he's going to stay at third too.
Jake
2:03
Anyone in the top 50 that you hadn't heard of two years ago?
Keith Law
2:04
Two years ago Wander Franco was 15. So the only way I could say I'd heard of him is that he has two brothers also named Wander Franco.
Jack
2:04
Is Adam Haseley the second best position player prospect that the Phillies have? (Behind Bohm)
Keith Law
2:05
Ortiz. Ortiz might actually be better than Bohm, but Bohm is playing third for now and I'll give him a nod because he might stay there, while Ortiz is in LF but is going to be a 1b.
I really like Muzziotti too. He can really hit, and he can run. Not very disciplined at the plate, but for now, while he can hit everything, it's OK.
KLaws over Replacement
2:05
Are more teams opting for quantity over quality regarding prospects in trades? It seems like it with machado trade being the latest example but it might just be confirmation  bias since I'm still bitter the yankees didnt get Cole
Keith Law
2:06
If you can't get quality, you go for quantity. The Orioles did not do badly here. I can't emphasize that enough - I am not saying they fared poorly, or got robbed, or fucked up. That's not right. I'm saying that the return would likely have been much higher in the offseason.
Rob
2:06
Mejia at 3b... just curious... 3b has been a black hole for years for the Padres.  Could he be slightly below average there defensively?
Keith Law
2:06
I'm not sure he'll have the footwork or agility for it.
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