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Klawchat 7/26/18
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Keith Law
1:18
You left all the lights on, but there's nobody home. Klawchat.
Nick L
1:18
Is this peak Javy Baez? It almost feels like even a little more discipline moves him dangerously close to MVP discussions.
Keith Law
1:18
I think this is peak Baez; it's unlikely (albeit not impossible ... just highly improbable) that he finds plate discipline now.
Chris
1:18
Hi Keith.  Looking forward to your book signing this weekend in MA.  What do you think about how the Red Sox made out in the Eovaldi for Beeks trade?  Thanks.
Keith Law
1:19
That post just went up (Insider): https://klaw.me/2NNqQbY
Frank
1:19
The Jays traded a reliever for what MLB Pipeline says is the Rockies 13th & 24th best prospects.  Would those qualify as lottery prospects, or is the Rockies system good enough that those are a little better than that?  Side question: what would you expect the Jays to get for Happ?
Keith Law
1:19
See the link I just posted.
Arnold
1:19
Actual SI FB post earlier this week: "Mets Prospect Tim Tebow out for season."  Prospect???  Maybe fate favors the Mets since this means Tebow won't be blocking any actual prospects for the rest of the season, but the Mets are gonna force this charade on us next season, aren't they?
Keith Law
1:20
There are many people, even within this industry, who treat "prospect" and "minor leaguer" as synonyms. They are not.
Eddie
1:20
Wander Franco has looked great so far, can you think of another J2 signee that you rated so highly in his 1st season?
Keith Law
1:20
Yes, several, including Sano & Vlad Jr.
Dana
1:20
Do you fault Gary Sanchez for not hustling considering he reaggravated his injury in the first inning? I feel like he's getting unfairly crushed here.
Keith Law
1:20
I wish Latino there was Latino some sort of Latino reason why Latino everyone is so Latino quick to criticize Latino certain players for not Latino hustling.
Mark
1:21
It seems the Rays take high floor players in trades, and the Padres have a rule 5 roster problem approaching, so could this explain the Padres and Archer rumor?  The Rays might be willing to take some of the players the Padres aren't going to be able to protect in addition to some premium talent.  They made a similar deal in the past (can't remember the details) where Boxberger, Andriese, and Forsythe were the return who have been nice players, but at the time were seen as high floor useful guys.  Thanks!
Keith Law
1:22
Is the Padres' rule 5 apocalypse that close? I think they're a year-plus away from that. I don't hate this idea like the Hosmer (-0.7 fWAR ... but TEH LEADERSHIP) deal, but it's still not really ideal for the Padres unless they're somehow doing this without trading any of their top 10 prospects.
Ike
1:22
If you had your choice for a franchise player, who would you take between Acuna, Soto or Vlad jr?
Keith Law
1:22
Acuna. Or Tatis Jr.
Rich
1:22
Any advice for a first-time author? I am about to start writing after years of research. What were some of your biggest stumbling blocks with SB? Also, I hope to make it this Saturday in Acton at the Silver Unicorn!
Keith Law
1:22
I wrote that all pretty quickly, so I'm not sure I'd have stumbling blocks to offer. Just carve out dedicated time to write each day, because it's easy to procrastinate on a project like that with long deadlines.
addoeh
1:23
To continue the discussion from the last Klawchat, is Creed worse than Nickelback and would positive comments about either "music" group cause a prospect to fall due to "dumb social media comments"?
Keith Law
1:23
My warning to all players at any level: If your walkup music is by Post Malone, I don't care how good you are, I am slapping a fucking NP label on you and never looking back.
Joe
1:23
Keith, are there any good reasons why Ced Mullins and Dj Stewart are still in AAA given the Orioles' struggles?
Keith Law
1:24
Is there a burning reason why either should be up? These aren't elite prospects.
Joe
1:24
Keith, it seems like the Orioles hung on to Britton too long like they did with Machado.  Would you have traded him after his huge season in 2016 even though the Orioles had just made the playoffs?  His value was never higher and Chapman and Miller were just traded for huge hauls.
Keith Law
1:24
I would have, and I think I said so at the time, but it's also a bit unfair to criticize them on Britton because he got hurt during the offseason and scotched any chance they could trade him then.
Aaron C.
1:25
What do you do if you're Billy Beane/David Forst? (1) Hope the A's offense continues to make Cahill/B. Anderson/E. Jackson look serviceable? (2) Trade for a back-end starter? (3) Trade some top-tier prospect(s) for a front-end starter? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:25
More like (2). Definitely not (3).
Bob
1:25
I know Isaac Paredes isn't likely a SS,  but he hit well in the FSL at 19 and Det must think highly of him to promote him to AA as a teenager. How good can he be as a 2B or 3B?
Keith Law
1:25
Above-average regular at 2b or 3b, definitely not a shortstop. Little bit of stat-scouting going on around him - good prospect, not an elite one.
Bob
1:25
After a rough start to the year in AA, Brent Rooker has been dominant for nearly 2  months. What's his upside?
Keith Law
1:26
Solid-average regular.
I guess maybe a 55, above-average regular. Probably 1b. He is a grade 80 tweeter though.
Bob
1:26
Hans Crouse has had a couple recent 7 IP/double digit K starts. Does he have front of the rotation upside or more a reliever for you?
Keith Law
1:26
Delivery is reliever. Mentality is probably reliever too. Stuff would let him start.
mike sixel
1:26
Some Twins' fans I interact with think the team should sign Escobar to a QO if they can't extend him. Thoughts on 18MM for Eduardo Escobar? Admittedly, they have very little payroll committed for next year....but, 18MM?
Keith Law
1:27
Hardest of passes.
Bob
1:27
Kevin Kramer has followed up his AA breakout with a very similar AAA season. Can he be an above average regular?
Keith Law
1:27
In my opinion, no.
PhillyJake
1:27
In your write up of Mitch Keller, you wrote "If he finds that third pitch -- better feel for the changeup, maybe even a splitter -- he has No. 1 starter upside."   On June 28th, the day after Keller was promoted to Indy (AAA), Tim Williams of Pirates Prospects wrote about how his improvement in his secondary pitches lead to the promotion.   I realize that ranking him 24th overall means you don't hate him (Or the Pirates!), but I'm wondering when you'll get a chance to see him again to see with your own eyes?
Keith Law
1:27
I have seen him - I just saw him - and what I wrote is completely accurate.
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