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Klawchat, 8/16/17.
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JR
6:32
Withe Rosario and Smith now at MLB, who would you rank as Mets top prospect still in minors?
Keith Law
6:34
Ummmmmmmmm .... probably Peterson. Maybe Dunn. Dunn has higher upside, but he's clearly not as far along as I thought.
Chet
6:34
Who is better: Jorge Soler or Rusney Castillo?
Keith Law
6:34
Ouch.
Tim
6:34
When you say "regular" when referring to a player - are you thinking a regular on a playoff team or a regular for any team that can hold his role multiple years? 1st and 2nd tier regular gets thrown around a lot.
Keith Law
6:35
If I say "regular" I mean someone right around league average over a couple of years, but rarely if ever so far above-average that we call him "above-average" or "star."
Matt
6:35
Can you scout from home and watch on TV or is it something you need to see in person?
Keith Law
6:35
For what I do, I need to be at the games or to get video from a scout friend of mine (since I mimic what they do).
Adam
6:35
Has Christian Pache's lack of power output affected his prospect status in any major way? Has his realistic ceiling dropped because of it?
Keith Law
6:37
He's 18 years old in the Sally League, and he looks about 16. Not only is the question - or I guess the implication? - an overreaction, I think that Pache will end up a 20 HR guy in the majors. He still has to grow into his body.
NYTT
6:37
Joey Wentz has been getting great results in Rome. I know you spoke weeks ago about wanting to see better pure stuff, but is he a guy that already has realistic MOR upside and can be more if he adds a couple mph through natural projection?
Keith Law
6:37
No, I'd probably drop a half-grade on everything you said there. He's fine, but doesn't have Wilson's upside.
Brian
6:37
Is the hit tool hard to evaluate because the level of stuff and control/command at the MLB level is so much better than in the minors that you're kind of guessing if the hit tool maintains or if it's just good enough to hit lesser stuff?
Keith Law
6:38
That's part of it. Stuff is less consistent pitcher to pitcher in the minors. And certainly you can see guys make solid contact over a multiple-game stretch despite a below-average hit tool.
Nick
6:38
Yeah and you've seen Severino multiple times and he apparently had no chance to start.....
Keith Law
6:40
I've said before I could be wrong on Severino - I could be wrong on ANY player. But he's been a good starter for 2/3 of a season, after he was awful last year. If a pitcher has poor mechanics that may lead to a breakdown, it may not happen in year one or two. Maybe it'll never happen. But perhaps you should consider dialing back on the recency bias yourself.
Jim Bankoff
6:40
What is your take on the Deadspin SBN piece?
Keith Law
6:42
The SBN model is common, it's probably unethical, I have no idea if it's illegal, but it is one of many serious problems facing the media as a whole. The proliferation of free content provided by unpaid or very poorly paid writers creates unfair competition for larger media outlets. The benefit, however, is that outlets like SBN provide opportunities for writers who might otherwise have been shut out of the market because they lacked access or contacts, because their writing didn't fit a conventional role or format, or because of discrimination. So ... it's complicated.
Jackson
6:42
Is Florial a top-50 guy at this point?
Keith Law
6:42
Nope, not with those contact issues.
Brian
6:42
Recently read The Stranger and The Plague by Camus.  Wondering if you'd read and if so, if you had any thoughts.
Keith Law
6:42
I read the Stranger maybe a decade ago. I just can't get on board with that sort of nihilistic worldview. I understand what he was saying, but it doesn't click for me at all.
Wilmer Fan
6:42
Pence cuts his trip short, is it finally happening? Also you can build around Conforto or Rosario, who would you pick?
Keith Law
6:43
Probably Conforto, just because we've seen how good he is.
Tom Allen
6:43
Related to your question above, do you think Giolito will still be a 1 or 2 in a major league rotation?
Keith Law
6:43
I do.
Tom
6:43
Speaking of MVPs, just wanted to point out that Andrelton Simmons is second overall in WAR (behind Altuve), and his offense is higher than his defense. He got no All-Star consideration and may get like a 7th place MVP vote. Heck, I'm not even mad, that's amazing.
Keith Law
6:44
And is there any doubt that the value on his defense, which is the most common complaint about WAR, is valid? He's the best defensive shortstop of the last 20 years. He might be the best *ever*. He should appear on a lot of MVP ballots, maybe all of them.
Brett
6:44
What is the scouting report on Thyago Vieria?  Destined to be a reliever?  Could he be a potential closer?
Keith Law
6:44
80 fastball, up to 102, and a trash breaking ball every time I've seen him.
Wade
6:45
Now that Loria is out, who is the worst owner in baseball?
Keith Law
6:45
Angelos and the Wilpons can duke this one out.
Jon
6:45
Where would be the best place to find you at GenCon 50 on Saturday?
Keith Law
6:47
I'm speaking on two panels that day - one at 10 am, one at 1 pm - so right before or after those would be your best bet. The first one is in a room called Cabinet, the second Causus, but I don't know yet where those are.
Mark
6:48
Have you ever played Magic: The Gathering? I ask because you're such a big fan of board games and your ol' running mate Longenhagen is an avowed fan.
Keith Law
6:48
I haven't. In general I don't do collectible card games.
Jung the philly fan.
6:49
Do you like any other young pitchers in Philly besides Nola?
Keith Law
6:49
I would guess he's the only one who's in their rotation when the team gets good. They have a lot of pitching depth in the system, though.
6:50
I saw Elniery Garcia last night - 88-93, mostly 89-91, flashed average CB and CH, just back from an 80-game suspension. Maxed out physically but definitely a prospect, looks like a starter but didn't show the plus pitch last night.
Lance
6:50
Is Trout MVP worthy this year?
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