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Klawchat 8/5/21
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Dark Knight
1:43
Andre Jackson just pitched well in AA and promoted to AAA.  LA has Pepiot & Miller/Beeter that looks like they'll be ready soon.  Will LA use the Gonsolin model for these guys?
Keith Law
1:44
I definitely would with Jackson, who is still 'young' in pitching experience (but not young for a prospect).
Mac
1:44
Are you surprised the White Sox moved on from Nick Madrigal so quickly?
Keith Law
1:44
No. They're smart people. They saw his ceiling as well as his floor and made a calculated decision.
Chris
1:44
Trying not to read the stat lines on less heralded guys but do the Yanks have anything in Waldichuk, Wesneski, and Sears?  (Was gonna ask about Hauver, Otto, and Junk too but no longer care!)
Keith Law
1:45
I wrote up Wesneski, think he's a reliever, but I know guys who have him in as a starter. Waldichuk is more on the starter/reliever bubble.
Alex In Austin
1:45
Is there any value in bringing up Witt Jr now to start getting challenged at the major league level or does it make more long term sense to wait to start the clock?
Keith Law
1:45
I'd love to see him up in September for that very reason. They might not do so for 40-man reasons but I think it'll help his development to come up for a few weeks, even if he gets overpowered. He'll make the adjustment.
Jason
1:46
Kelenic has been really bad in MLB and the list of other players who have begun their career this bad is very discouraging despite the great MiLB numbers. How much do you weigh historical trends when projecting his future?
Keith Law
1:46
Not at all, since we are in the highest K% era in the sport's history.
Matt
1:46
Is the Jose Miranda breakout legit?
Keith Law
1:46
Been talking about him for years, and I think I said this in the last chat too. He can hit.
Ben
1:46
So a lot of Tiger's fan understand the circumstances with Manning being up now, even though he is clearly not ready. But I saw a comparison between his statcast and Mike Pelfrey's and made me sick. Even tho he isn't ready, shouldn't he be putting up better metrics than that as is? Has your overall outlook on his future changed?
Keith Law
1:47
He wasn't 100% last year, with a sore shoulder, and then hasn't been good at any level this year. My inference is that he never got 'right.' It seems awfully coincidental that he should get hurt for the first time, and then after that struggle like he hasn't since he was still in extended spring training a year after the draft.
Dave Mayer
1:47
Hi Keith, Thoughts on Nick Lodolo?  Was he close on your mid season top 50?
Keith Law
1:47
Not close - top 100, not top 50. Big leaguer for sure, not a huge ceiling.
Jason
1:47
The Jays obviously soured on Austin Martin. Do you think the trade also speaks to them thinking highly of Groshans and how do you feel about Groshans future?
Keith Law
1:48
I don't have great reports from this year on Groshans.
Arnold
1:48
In last week's deadline deals, which team is most likely to regret the prospect they gave up for the two-month rental they received?
Keith Law
1:48
Wouldn't shock anyone if Martin became a star after all. If you want a slightly more obscure name, Kevin Alcantara is a longshot, but also probably has the most upside of all the guys the Cubs got.
Roger
1:49
What do you think is the ETA on Volpe and does he have what it takes to stick at SS?
Keith Law
1:49
Could be up by end of 2022; my best guess is he's good enough to stay at short, maybe even be a 55 defender there, but that the Yankees (or whoever) would try to get a 60 or better guy to replace him and move him to second. He's not going to hurt you with his glove, though.
Barry
1:49
I've read The Inside Game and know your thoughts on drafting high school pitchers. Do you think the industry agrees with you and maybe the Phillies think they found a market inefficiency or (based on recent history) are they just bad at drafting?
Keith Law
1:50
I know some execs agree with me, but obviously not all do, and if nobody is taking HS pitchers in the first round at all, that would probably change the data, right? Suddenly if there are only 1 or 2 HS arms going in the first round each year, we might find their failure rate is similar to that of other player types.
Andy
1:50
Could the Mets have seen the MRI on Rocker, said nothing, signed him, rested him due to a full college season and then tried to trade him in the offseason? Would that have gone afoul of disclosure rules, even though he didn't have an injury per se?
Keith Law
1:51
Other teams would have asked to see the MRI.
Ryan
1:51
Can Touki still be a #2 or better starter for the Braves?
Keith Law
1:52
He has that potential. I think he has ace stuff, really, but prior to those two starts when he came back this year (before the one against the Brewers), he'd never really shown the command to be a starter. It was always a bet on ridiculous stuff and +++ athleticism.
Dark Knight
1:52
Is Josh Winder for real?  Has a chance to be a #3?
Keith Law
1:52
Yes.
Ryan
1:53
What happened to Hiura? Does he just need a change of scenery?
Keith Law
1:54
The Brewers tried to turn him into a big launch-angle, swing-up for power guy, and it has ruined him as a hitter. He's a zero at the plate right now. I don't know anyone who could hit the way he's swinging. It's aggravating - this kid was going to make a ton of money just hitting for average with lots of doubles, and someone took that away from him to chase the latest fad. Swing optimization has worked wonders for some players, but it is not a one-size-fits-all solution.
Buck
1:55
Does Rowdy Tellez have at least platoon potential or not even that?
Keith Law
1:55
Not really. A platoon DH isn't worth the roster spot.
ssinole
1:55
What are your thoughts on Andrew Vaughn? Learning a new position,  playing it pretty well and now he's starting to mash RHP.
Keith Law
1:55
Big fan. Thought for bat alone he was better than Rutschmann, but Adley had the positional value.
Zac
1:55
Even if Jackson Jobe becomes the greatest pitcher of all time, doesn’t Al Avila still deserve criticism for taking a huge risk at 3? I’m sure if Jobe becomes a star, people will compliment Avila for the pick when he actually should be criticized.
Keith Law
1:56
Yes, that's a process vs results issue. This was not a great process, given who else was on the board and the base rate of HS pitchers. It may still yield great results.
Dave
1:56
A lot of people seem to think that the A's to Vegas is going to happen. Is that really a great market, especially considering Lake Mead is drying up and they already have two pro teams?
Keith Law
1:56
Worst market. Bad demographics, bad weather, and as you said, too much competition already.
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