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Klawchat 9-12-19
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Keith Law
1:12
It's gotten a lot weaker, but I don't think it's a disaster, and some of this stuff (Groome blowing out, Flores passing away) isn't anyone's fault.
I think that was a factor. I can't believe that would be THE factor.
Chris
1:12
Do you like Tool? Listen to the new album?
Keith Law
1:12
Not a fan, sorry.
Jerod
1:12
Last year the Brewers got within one game of the WS with an average run differential. This year they are negative and near the second wild card. Is this just noise or are they doing something different than other teams?
Keith Law
1:12
Some luck but also generally great bullpens.
Ben
1:12
With Yelich out, who's your favorite for MVP - or is it still him?
Keith Law
1:13
It was never him, FTR. Bellinger has had the edge over him all year.
Luke
1:13
This is probably a dumb question, but why does the minor league season end with a month left of major league games?
Keith Law
1:13
Aside from this is how we've always done it? I think so teams could recall players for September.
Andrew
1:13
Thoughts on Blue Jays C prospect Alejandro Kirk? Posted a 153 wRC+ in high A this year.
Keith Law
1:13
I'm not sure how long he catches, given his body, but he can hit.
Zac
1:13
Do the Tigers have a hitting prospect that you are excited to watch or is it only pitching?
Keith Law
1:14
Riley Greene for sure. Paredes can hit, but I'm not sure where he plays and he has no projection at all. Hill can really run and defend but the bat has never progressed.
TK
1:14
I feel things like "clubhouse culture" are a bit overstated, but the Pirates must have serious problems in theirs. Three separate incidents (including a fight that has now caused a pitcher to miss the rest of the season) with their bullpen? Something has got to change there, no?
Keith Law
1:14
At some point, the manager has to take the fall, if only for failing to prevent such incidents.
Andres
1:15
5 more good-to-great seasons, is Jacob deGrom a future HOFer? Despite the low counting stats.
Keith Law
1:16
No, that's not close to enough. The bar is really high for modern starters and what you're talking about probably leaves him short of 60 WAR>
Cole
1:16
It’s probably too early for this but who do you see as the major players for Gerrit Cole this offseason?
Keith Law
1:16
Any contender should be interested, but I assume the Yankees and Angels will both be bidders and could blow anyone else out of the water. They both have the resources and the critical need for him.
Jeb
1:16
Thoughts on O'Neil Cruz? Could he be a top 20-25 prospect by mid-season next year?
Keith Law
1:17
Way too optimistic.
Dan
1:17
How does Mickey Callaway still have a job? Dude constantly seems overwhelmed.
Keith Law
1:17
I would guess he's the manager most likely to be fired by October, followed by Hurdle and perhaps Kapler. (That's not my opinion on who should be fired.)
Jordan
1:17
I know it's only 42 games in rookie ball, but it feels like Francisco Alvarez really has a chance to be something for the Mets. A 17-year-old catcher with that kind of pop in his bat is fun to see. Think he should start next year in Columbia?
Keith Law
1:19
I would probably start him in extended ... after seeing the Phillies push Luis Garcia from the GCL to low-A, only to have him flop, I'm a little loath to suggest other 18-year-olds make that leap. Franco was an obvious exception, but I don't know if Alvarez is ready - and 35 games in the Appy, while better than the GCL, don't tell us a ton.
Ian
1:19
Would you agree that you enjoy being wrong about players? I always laugh when people get mad at you like you're some kind of prospect magician.
Keith Law
1:20
Yes, if I were always right, this job would be boring. I get frustrated or even upset when I'm wrong for specific reasons - e.g., I didn't listen to the opinion of someone I trusted, I didn't see a player (at all, or just enough) and thus missed key information. But you can't do this job unless you embrace being wrong.
Aaron
1:20
How many states would you refuse to live in based on politics?
Keith Law
1:20
Woof, probably 15-20 right now.
Guest
1:21
Matt Olson has been among 1b leaders since 2016 in drs/uzr/uzr150. When he was a prospect even the most optimistic outlets projected him as an average defensive 1b. Where do you think the disconnect between drs/uzr and the scouting community comes from?
Keith Law
1:21
I don't think UZR/DRS do a very good job measuring 1b defense.
danny
1:21
I think you mentioned recently having The Nightingale on your list of movies to see.  It's fairly long, quite grim, with multiple rapes and killings along the way.  I wouldn't say it's a bad movie overall, but really grim.
Keith Law
1:22
Yeah, a few readers have suggested it, but given how many other films I'd like to see + the fact that it's not really new (it came out in 2018 in Australia, I believe), it's lower priority.
Sean
1:22
Is Miguel Vargas a top 100 guy for you next year?
Keith Law
1:22
Possibly.
Mike
1:22
As a fellow liberal, how do we reconcile support for affirmative action and unions with the fact that Angel Hernandez and Laz Diaz have jobs?
Keith Law
1:23
I don't see the disconnect. You're conflating a macro issue with individual examples.
Pat D
1:23
I know he was an older rookie and not really that good a player, but what do you make of Daniel Palka's season?  Can he replace Kevin Maas in the baseball lexicon?
Keith Law
1:23
I think he can be a solid bench player.
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