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Klawchat 9/15/23
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Keith Law
1:02
And more and more I get a tightness 'bout right here in my chest. Klawchat.
Dave
1:02
Hi Keith,

Have you watched The Bear? I saw you mentioned it in a recent post, but I'm not sure if you've written about it at length. I love the show, although sometimes it is so emotional it is hard to watch (the flashback episode of Thanksgiving dinner was especially tough.)
Keith Law
1:03
Love it. Not totally sure about the S2 cliffhangers - they felt a little overdone, especially the Marcus part - but I think the series is so well-written and acted, with the food photography especially worthy of praise.
Aaron
1:03
We've seen young players like Jackson Holliday and Thomas Saggese struggle in their first taste of AAA before settling in - is the jump to AAA that much of an adjustment or are we just seeing some end of year fatigue?
Keith Law
1:03
Tiny samples.
Adam (Viroqua, WI)
1:03
Not a question, but I just wanted to let you know I finally pulled the trigger on an Athletic subscription because of your content.
Keith Law
1:04
Thank you! I certainly appreciate that, especially as I come to the end of my contract.
Hank
1:04
If Trout requested a trade, how much money would the Angels have to send with him? He’s owed 259M over 7 years.
Keith Law
1:04
I don't think very much at all. He'd probably get that in free agency.
I'm Not Joey Gallo, I'm Joey Callo, C- Allo
1:06
If were were heading a team, how would you choose to manage Shohei Otani going forward. Is there a plan that makes sense, or is it just such unknown territory that you roll the dice and hope for the best with health?
Keith Law
1:07
I'd plan to have him pitch whenever he's capable - it depends on what surgery he has, of course, but I think people saying he'll never pitch again are being catastrophic.
Andy
1:07
Where do you stand on sleeve ads?
Keith Law
1:07
I don't even notice them.
Pramit
1:08
Why do you think so many Jays hitters have underperformed this year?
Keith Law
1:09
I don't have a good answer for that, sorry. Vlad and Varsho have been especially disappointing but I haven't spent time looking at why.
Les
1:10
Should Atlanta pick up Eddie Rosario’s option, and then still look to upgrade LF if a opportunity presents itself, or decline it, maybe try Grissom in LF?
Keith Law
1:11
I think $9 million is probably reasonable for a one-win player, but I think Atlanta needs to aim for more than that. I would be about 60/40 for declining it.
Jackie
1:11
I asked you a year ago about Chaim Bloom's job security, and you poo poohed that idea.  Three last place finishes in four years in a large market like Boston is a career killer.  Any guy who knows how to read a spreadsheet can be the assistant to the assistant GM in Tampa; being The Guy in a large market like Boston is a completely different animal, and Red Sox ownership (and you) forgot that.
Keith Law
1:11
"Any guy who knows how to read a spreadsheet can be the assistant to the assistant GM in Tampa" is a real tell here. You have zero idea what you're talking about, don't even know what Bloom's last (most senior) role was in Tampa, and didn't read the column I posted this morning which is linked atop this chat.
Tom
1:12
Would Chaim Bloom make sense as the GM in Detroit? Surprised Harris hasn't hired one by now.
Keith Law
1:12
Wouldn't it be odd to go from President of Baseball Ops to GM?
Heather
1:13
The Angels will begin shopping Mike Trout this winter, supposedly.  What's the market for a guy that hasn't played 120 games since 2019, and is signed for megabucks through 2030?
Keith Law
1:13
The durability issue is real, but he was a 6-win player last year, is still very good when healthy, and he's Mike Fucking Trout. You sell tickets when you trade for that guy. He's going to be a better investment than most free agents this winter.
Doug
1:13
Do you see Anthopolous making another big trade this upcoming offseason? Looks like SP will be the main need, definitely if Morton chooses to retire.
Keith Law
1:14
The betting should always be on Anthopoulos making a big trade.
JJ
1:14
This makes three GMs (or the equivalent) in a row that haven't quite lasted four years in Boston.  That seems ... rash.  Do potential hires look at that recent track record and say, "No, thanks", or do those candidates still think, "Yeah, but it won't happen to me"?
Keith Law
1:15
Those jobs are so scarce, and so well-paid, that I don't expect them to have any problem finding a good candidate. Even with the ownership issues I outlined, it's not like working for Arte Moreno or Dick Monfort or even Jim Crane.
Michael
1:17
Do you believe in the success of Orlando Arcia? Seems like they really did a nice job making adjustments with him once he came over. Very good value if he’s just a average regular, only a 2M salary or so. Or do you think they look to upgrade, looking for more upside.
Keith Law
1:17
I'm buying this. When he was a prospect I thought he'd be a much better big leaguer, but this version looks pretty sustainable.
Kevin
1:18
Going to Portland tonight to see the Sea Dogs. Could Roman Anthony be a top 5 prospect in baseball this time next year?
Keith Law
1:18
Hm. It's a top 5 swing in the minors. If the question is "could," then yes. I wouldn't go to "will."
I have a scouting notebook coming that will discuss him a little
Matt
1:19
Is Perry Minasian the next head of baseball operations who’ll get fired?
Keith Law
1:19
He's the one I'm most worried about, with them missing the playoffs and his boss being crazy.
1:20
Also Ng, what with the owner saying they didn't want the "distraction" of her contract situation ... if that's the case, just give her an extension. The team is better than expected this year and looks like it's trending upwards.
Kevin w
1:20
If you were running the reds, is there anything you would have done differently in 2023?
Keith Law
1:20
Upgraded at the deadline.
Scherzers_Blue_Eye
1:20
I'll join in with Adam, you're one of the only reasons I keep my Athletic subscription. If you go, I go!

An overall observation from this year--it seems everyone at Harrisburg has a K-rate that makes Mike Cameron blush. Is it the player
Keith Law
1:20
They've rushed some guys there, too.
Kevin w
1:20
Is Vegas going to exist in 20 years?
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