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Klawchat 9/19/19
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Andy
1:34
As I Lay Dying has a new album coming out. Everyone should entirely avoid this right? I mean dude served his time, but is still a giant POS.
Keith Law
1:34
Never liked their music anyway, but yeah, I could not fucking believe he was out of jail and recording again.
addoeh
1:34
From your article today on players you’ve missed on, it looks like Luis Castillo’s success has made you re-evaluate pitchers with a similar profile like Paddock.  Have any other players had an impact on how you evaluate similar players going forward?
Keith Law
1:34
Absolutely. Every miss is a learning opportunity.
Adam
1:34
Does Soroka have better velo now than when you were not as high on him? (the delivery was your main contention i believe)
Keith Law
1:34
No, don't think that's changed.
Drew
1:34
Will the Cardinals sending Dylan Carlson home to "add muscle" instead of playing in the AFL benefit him?
Keith Law
1:35
I would have loved to have seen him play more, but he must also be exhausted from the long season. He's played a lot, and very well, against tough competition.
JR
1:35
Enjoyed the guys you were wrong about column. Of the players you mentioned, who do you see as most likely to sustain their current production, and who do you see regressing?
Keith Law
1:35
I led with Bieber because I think he's the most 'real' of the group. McNeil has already shown some regression, so while I don't predict a big flop I think we may have seen his peak.
Jerry skurnik
1:36
While we in NYC focus on Edwin Diaz' disastrous record, "proven closers" around MLB have been pretty terrible all season. Do you have any thoughts on why? Juiced ball?
Keith Law
1:36
The changed baseball has absolutely affected some pitchers more than others - for example, I think it's played havoc with Diaz's slider.
addoeh
1:36
Will Joey Bagodonuts or Tommy Hackenstein make your new book?
Keith Law
1:36
Joey Bagodonuts is in the new book. I can confirm this.
A big dumb idiot
1:36
What are the mechanics of a guy like Jordan Groshans being a decenly regarded mid first rounder to a consensus top 100 guy despite missing the whole season? It it similar to amateur scouting where a few looks displayed new and real skills?
Keith Law
1:36
For me, it was hearing a few pro scouts who caught him early say they bought his approach and power.
JJ
1:37
Speaking of Trout and the MVP, it seems like every years there's an argument of Trout's individual greatness vs. the non-competitiveness of the Angels.  This seems, in large part, to be fueled by the BBWAA's (intentional?) vagueness in defining the MVP.  If you were asked to boil the award description down to one sentence, what would you say?
Keith Law
1:37
Which player did the most on the field to increase his team's win total in that season? He's the MVP.
Mike
1:38
Is the reason Felipe Vasquez wasn't traded before the trade deadline due to the recent news? Did teams know?
Keith Law
1:38
Nobody knew. That's kind of gross.
Steve
1:38
"It helped the Sox win a World Series. That's what you want, right?" Unless you're one of the vast majority of MLB owners and GMs who seem to value cost control and "glide slopes" above all else.
Keith Law
1:38
Yeah, winning the efficiency trophy isn't really the ideal goal. I'm a prospect guy, and I still say trade prospects if it gives you a chance to win.
WhiteSoxAndy
1:39
Has the juiced ball reduced the value of outfield defense? Since the ball is flying out of the park anyway, is it better to just have power bats out there and not be concerned with average at best defense?
Keith Law
1:39
No, that doesn't quite make sense ... some balls that would have fallen in just behind the infield become playable for outfielders, and balls are coming at all fielders faster than ever.
Josh Nelson
1:39
Who doesn't make the playoffs: Nationals, Cubs, or Brewers?
Keith Law
1:39
I think the safe guess is the Nats make it and the other two are in a dogfight that goes to game 162 (or 163!).
1:40
Yikes, Domingo German is on administrative leave for a possible domestic violence policy violation.
Kevin
1:40
Is Matthew liberatore a part of Tampa’s rotation in mid 2020?
Keith Law
1:41
Too soon.
Scott
1:41
I was happy to see Jeter Downs get honorable mention in your Prospect of the Year column.
Do you think his bat profiles well enough to carry him regardless of a possible position switch to CF?
Keith Law
1:41
Yes, it does, but why not 2b?
Jacob deGrom
1:41
Did anyone think I would becomne the best of the Mets starters? I was never ranked a shigh as Harvey, Wheeler, Matz or Noah
Keith Law
1:41
I think I can say this safely now. I know one person who believed in deGrom before anyone else in the industry: Paul Depodesta.
Brian
1:41
How come the Tigers seemingly always have solid pitching prospests but can never draft a postional player. Avila seems to be doing the same thing Dombrowski did. Hill was the last " guy"
Keith Law
1:42
I think they still overdraft 'name' guys and focus more on traditional tools than most other clubs. They'll nearly always be in a position where they think a player slipped to them, but in fact the rest of the industry has decided based on additional information that the player isn't as good as previously thought.
Hill is a bit of an exception, though ... his defense was there, he just hasn't hit consistently or developed enough of an eye at the plate to get to it.
Steve
1:42
If Miguel Yajure makes it in MLB, I hope his nickname ends up "Force Yajure".
Keith Law
1:43
That is excellent.
Ian
1:43
Cycles aside, Cavan Biggio's combination of  baserunning, defensive versatility, and power/patience at the plate seems at least interesting. What are the red flags? Where do you see him regressing?
Keith Law
1:44
He's not good at any position, and what power? I checked yesterday and he ranked around 180th in HR this year - with 4 of his 14 coming off the Orioles, the worst pitching staff in baseball (en route to 300 HR allowed this year). The sudden optimism seems to be mostly because he's had an outlier September.
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