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Klawchat 9/21/17
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Jay
1:35
I saw someone on Twitter joke that the Dodgers didnt care about winning home field advantage by "benching" Pedro Baez but in theory, wouldn't the Dodgers be better off NOT having home field advantage? What NL team would want home field in the World Series? I would have to think its more probably they would benefit from a 4th game being able to use a DH than they would playing a home game in a 7 game series filled with randomeness, right?
Keith Law
1:35
Do they have a proper DH option? I don't think they even have three decent outfielders right now.
Ethan
1:36
I'm asking this as a proponent of WAR, but are historical WAR figures a good measure? I've never understood how they are compiled for players like Ruth, Williams, etc. Aren't stats, tracking systems, measures used to calculate now that weren't then?
Keith Law
1:36
Historical WAR figures use different defensive metrics, but the core concept is the same: Value every event, add them up, compare to position, adjust for park and league.
Mike
1:36
Ever listen to David Cone on YES network doing Yankees' telecasts? He seems to have a strong understanding of, and appreciation for, modernized statistics AND the ability to translate them into game strategy.
Keith Law
1:37
I've heard Coney a few times and think he's among the best because he's so thoughtful about what he says. I'm not sure I have ever heard him talk just to talk.
Todd
1:37
How panicked should Brewers fans be about Jimmy Nelson's injury? I've long defended the no DL in the National League but i'd like it now please.
Keith Law
1:37
Labrum surgery is never good. I'm disappointed.
Tracy
1:37
Do you sell the books you read to any particular place or do you donate them?
Keith Law
1:38
There's a store in West Chester PA where we donate. We've given to local libraries, but our local system isn't taking donations right now (with some exceptions - I had bought several out-of-print Pulitzer winners to read, and they took those because they didn't have them anywhere in the state libraries).
Pat
1:38
Why do people assume the balls are juiced and not the players? The same "the balls are juiced" narrative happened in the 90s. Are there some actual studies on the balls being different that I'm not aware of?
Keith Law
1:38
Yes. The Ringer and 538 both ran articles on this.
Andy
1:38
Apparently the Orioles are not planning on trading Machado before next season.
Keith Law
1:39
This film doesn't end well for them.
addoeh
1:39
You'll get a lot of questions in the coming weeks about "clutch".  But, on a 20-80 scale, how are your manual transmission operation skills?
Keith Law
1:39
Zero. Never learned.
Don
1:39
You mentioned on the pod with Buster that you rarely take your daughter to games. Is she into baseball at all? If not, as a parent is it a bit of a let down in anyway that she's not into something you are passionate about? (Not that you are disappointed in her for not caring, just that she doesn't care for something that means a lot to you)
Keith Law
1:40
She's not really into it, and she doesn't have the attention span for any sporting event, really. We have lots of other things we can share, though; she loves games and we cook together often now. She shaped the gargagnelli (pasta) I posted to Instagram last week.
Drew
1:40
I'm seriously not trying to be smart, just curious--I know there's no proof of Creation, but is there proof of evolution? I've never read The Origin of Species, but isn't it all just theory compiled from observation? Any good references on the subject?
Keith Law
1:41
Yes, there is proof. Bill Nye's Undeniable is a good layperson's read on the topic. Also, if you understand how antibiotic resistance forms in bacteria, that's evolution happening before your eyes.
Dallas
1:41
Miles Mikolas in 60 starts in Japan has a 2.12 era with 411ip, 367k, 66bb.  He has been an ace for Yomiuri.  He is a free agent after the season; how would you value him coming back?
Keith Law
1:42
Probably about how I valued him before he left for Japan (assuming nothing substantial has changed about him - but I haven't looked into him at all yet).
Tom
1:42
Do you think Justin Upton will opt out of his deal at the end of the season? Do you think the Angels should hope he doesn't? Having this Upton for a least a couple of seasons would be nice.
Keith Law
1:43
I think he will - and the Angels are probably fine either way, really. It's not a bad deal for them if he stays, but it's not super team-friendly either.
Ben
1:43
How do you respond to those who think adding additional netting to help prevent injuries sustained from foul balls is adding to the pussification of baseball, and how parents aren't looking out for their kids or this would have been prevented, and everyone should  be alert 100% of the time, blah blah blah?
Keith Law
1:43
With derision.
Sean
1:45
How important is home field advantage in October?
Keith Law
1:45
I think it's marginally important - there's a slight but significant advantage in baseball to HFA, enough that you want it, not enough to, say, overwork a pitcher to get it.
Steve
1:45
Dan Duquette and Buck Showalter will be ____ in 2018.
Keith Law
1:46
Frenemies.
JR
1:46
If Colin Kaepernick was a 4/5 SP for and kneeled for national anthem before baseball games, would MLB freeze him out the way the NFL has, or would an MLB team sign him?
Keith Law
1:46
Josh Lueke found work. I'm thinking Kaep would get signed in MLB. I am thoroughly enjoying the people claiming the NFL's ratings are down because a few players are kneeling, though. The delusions run deep.
Joe
1:48
Keith, DJ Stewart had a good statistical season.  Did he improve his prospect standing?
Keith Law
1:49
He didn't really, though. He wasn't young for AA, and the bar is pretty high for a no-position bat.
Brent
1:49
Do you think Seth Beer's bat will play well enough to make him a high 1st round pick?
Keith Law
1:49
Probably. Has to put up another big statistical year, but he's done that before.
addoeh
1:49
What is Mike Montgomery going into next year?  A decent #5?  A long reliever?
Keith Law
1:49
I like him a lot better as a long reliever.
Pat D
1:49
Keith, I put "controversial" in quotes because I think controversy is in the eye of the beholder a lot of times.  Full disclosure, I despise Schilling, and had no problem with what Hill said, so that's probably why I can't make that point.  But I have seen others writing that online, and not just trolls.
Keith Law
1:52
Creating a hostile work environment by, for example, making racist or transphobic comments, is not "controversial." It can get you fired, and it can get your employer sued. The EEOC even has a page dedicated to harassment, which includes "offensive jokes, slurs, epithets ... offensive pictures."
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