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Klawchat 9/24/21
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Keith Law
1:23
Kelenic. Middle of the diamond player.
Kevin
1:23
Is the complete game going away ? How would you run a pitching staff?
Keith Law
1:23
Oh it's gone. CGs are oddities now.
Zac
1:23
When Chris Illitch took over, the public opinion is he was in to make money and he won’t spend money to win. Do Tigers fans have the right to be angry if he doesn’t sign one of the premium shortstops this off-season?
Keith Law
1:24
I hate that mindset - sign one of these players, or you suck.
Alex In Austin
1:24
I found Wingspan to be a bit too solo and lacking interaction.  Is it just me?
Keith Law
1:24
It does lack much interaction. I don't think that's a flaw; it's a matter of taste.
Scherzers_Blue_Eye
1:24
What do you make of Josiah Gray? Very up and down rookie year--a couple of really good starts, a couple of stinkers.
Keith Law
1:25
I think there's a lot of learning how best to use the stuff he has there. He has the stuff to be a legit above-average starter. He has to use it more effectively - location, command, pitching plan.
CHOP
1:25
Indigo Diaz? What are the reports you have heard?
Keith Law
1:26
He's a one-inning reliever. He could be very good in that role in the majors, but the attrition rate of pure relief prospects is really high.
Robert
1:26
Arte Moreno, worst owner in baseball? The sheer number of terrible stories coming out of Anaheim, from the Skaggs tragedy and lawsuit to the minor league treatment, that don't even approach the problems within the lines is nothing short of embarrassing.
Keith Law
1:26
Don't forget his open support of Trump!
Mac
1:26
Is the elimination of short season the only reason so many teams had so aggressive assignments this year?
Keith Law
1:26
It is *a* reason. I don't think it's the only one. I think it's hurting the lowest tier of players, though.
Hunter
1:27
Thoughts on our current administrations performance. Afgan, border, covid, oil, Hunters laptop cover up, seem to not be going so well. Haven't seen any criticism from you yet.
Keith Law
1:27
Your mistake was the "Hunters laptop cover up" part. You are actually looking for r/thedonald.
Bill
1:27
Thoughts on Mountcastle's season?
Keith Law
1:28
Kind of what I expected. Not sure where they're going to play him long term.
Ben
1:29
Hi, Keith. Heard on your podcast that you came to Taiwan to meet with two former players in Keng Buo Hsuen and Cheng Chi Hong,. As a scout, what are some of the biggest challenges when scouting players outside the U.S.?
Keith Law
1:30
I'm not sure I'm the best person to answer that, since I haven't really covered the international market. I can say that the way Taiwanese amateur pitchers are used - throwing side sessions every day, at least back when we were there - is a pretty big problem if you're trying to sign guys and keep them healthy.
Will E.
1:30
Was Alek Thomas under-scouted out of HS? Looks like him vs Kelenic is now debatable as the top bat in that HS class.
Keith Law
1:30
Don't think so - I had him as a first-round talent, and he was at some major events like the NHSI. Everyone saw him.
Chris
1:31
In the 20'ish years you've been doing prospect lists, what is the most you've seen a player in a year(in person, video)? Perhaps maybe like 25IP and 25 PA for a few players every year?
Keith Law
1:32
When Pratto/Melendez were here two years ago I probably saw 40-50 PA from each. I stopped taking notes because they weren't making adjustments and it was futile waiting for something to improve. It's all the more remarkable that they've done what they've done this year.
ProjectBiscuit
1:32
Has any player or his parents/close ones ever thanked you for being the high guy on him as a prospect compared to other evaluators? For example, I think Trae Turner’s dad thanked Kiley in person for being higher on him than most evaluators going back to when he and Rodon were teammates.
Keith Law
1:32
Yes, quite a few times. It's a nice feeling when that happens but I don't know if it would be appropriate to disclose their names.
Ken
1:32
Hey Keith, I was the guy on twitter a week or two ago arguing that Dave Parker shouldnt be in the HOF due based on  his career WAR and little value he provided after '79 (other than '85).  Broadly, speaking when I discuss WAR with others in terms of HOF, assuming standard 15 year career (ages 23-38) I working working with a model of anything over 70 is auto placement, anything under 60 doesnt get you there, 60 is where the conversation begins and really 68 is the minimal sweet spot thus i call a 4.5 WAR season a HOF worthy season.  Understanding everyone has a different floor for the HOF, am I off in my thinking using this as a loose but reasonable guideline for 15ish year careers?
Keith Law
1:34
I would say that's a good starting point, but you always want to consider the context of a player's career rather than just creating those hard cut-offs. I can say that, okay, Salvador Perez isn't even getting to 40 WAR in his career, that's not a HoFer, but I would take more serious looks at players starting in the 50s in WAR.
Rodney
1:34
Do you think it would've been in the best interests of player and team for the Reds to call Hunter Greene up to work out of the bullpen in September? Any thoughts on why they didn't?
Keith Law
1:34
He missed a start with soreness in his AC joint in August. I'm assuming that's why.
Famous Twitter User @Whitey_83
1:34
At this point, should any of the young outfielders in Atlanta's system figure into the team's 2022 plans?
Keith Law
1:36
I want to be open-minded on Pache, who did show a good bit more patience in AAA this year, but for a team that's trying to win he might be a risk they can't take in the short term. So probably not.
JL
1:36
No question, just wanted to plug for people to vote in their local elections this November. Here in Kansas, some anti-mask nuts are running for open seats and I imagine that's happening throughout the rest of the country, too.
Keith Law
1:36
Amen.
Luis Robert
1:36
I am hitting .355/.393/.559 with a 160 wRC+ and .404 wOBA over my 262 PAs this season. That's 3.1 fWAR in just 60 games. If I stay healthy next year, am I a top-5 player in baseball?
Keith Law
1:37
With a .424 BABIP. So, yes, if your true talent level is a .424 BABIP, you will be a top-5 player in baseball.
Bob
1:37
Seems like Adley Rutschman has gotten better at AAA. How long do we have to wait to see him in the big leagues in 2022?
Keith Law
1:37
I'd note that pretty much every prospect is hitting for more power in AAA than below. But Rutschman should be their Opening Day catcher.
David
1:37
Any update on the Rockies' GM search? Local media seems resigned to Schmidt keeping the job, with the caveat that he might well be a good candidate in the end.  But having no external candidates seems like a real problem, given how the last few years have gone.
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