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Klawchat 9/5/19
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Mitch
1:30
What’s Patrick Sandoval’s ceiling? Mid rotation starter?
Keith Law
1:30
More back end.
Eric
1:30
fun stat:

In 2007, a 42-year-old Barry Bonds had a 1.045 OPS, and couldn't find a job the next year because of reasons.

In the 12 years since, only 12 players have eclipsed that mark.
Keith Law
1:30
NO COLLUSION!
JG
1:31
Would you consider this a "bounce-back" year for Nick Gordon? Any improvement in his stock?
Keith Law
1:31
No. League-average OBP and below-average SLG while repeating the league.
Connor
1:32
Is Framber Valdez going to be anything more than a back end starter? That command just seems poor
Keith Law
1:32
Below-average for a starter, likely a reliever.
Jordan
1:32
I find it absolutely ridiculous that some Mets fans don't care about losing Kelenic because he's "just a prospect" and then they allude to guys like Fernando Martinez and Lastings Milledge. Do they not understand that the deal was bad no matter how Kelenic turns out because Van Wagenen completely undervalued him in a trade for a reliever, the most volatile position in the sport? Diaz posting a 5+ ERA this year is just the cherry on top of an already terrible deal.
Keith Law
1:33
Exactly. And he also undervalued Dunn. And overvalued the guys he got. It reeked of a GM in over his head, trying to make a big splash in his first week on the job, and DiPoto saw an easy mark.
Mike
1:33
Do you see a guy like Brujan looking like a candidate to substantially boost his hitting profile once he moves up to AAA/MLB playing with the juiced ball?
Keith Law
1:33
No. I don't really think the premise works - everyone hits better with this juiced ball.
Max
1:33
So, Jack Flaherty looks like an ace in his last 10 or so starts. Could he become that? Or more of a #2?
Keith Law
1:34
I think I'd previously said #2 for him and would stick with that, but I'm not arguing. He's good. Harvard-Westlake should produce more pitchers.
Max
1:34
Does Miguel Vargas have the potential to be the next great Dodgers position prospect?
Keith Law
1:34
He is a good prospect. The hyperbolic questions don't really help, though.
Matthew
1:34
Tarik Skubal seems like a pop-up guy to a degree.  His Double-A stats are pretty fancy though.  Might he have a mid-rotation ceiling?
Keith Law
1:35
Answered last week. Real prospect, not a pop-up guy.
JR
1:35
Who's the favorite right now for NY Cy Young?
Keith Law
1:35
DeGrom. Scherzer leads him in fWAR but DeGrom's innings lead and counting stats will probably carry the day.
Eric
1:36
hey keith, can i go ahead and borrow some guns? a us representative said it's cool to do that willy nilly.
Keith Law
1:36
Yep. Also drive my car. Doesn't matter if you have a license.
Pete
1:36
Will Smith LAD is good but he’s playing over his head right now right? Is the ceiling a .350 OBP/30 hr bat?
Keith Law
1:36
More OBP. Maybe 25 HR but that's quibbling.
Buscon Bob
1:36
Are you surprised more about Austin Meadows nearing 30 HRs or Travis d'Arnaud reaching 20?
Keith Law
1:36
Literally nothing surprises me with HR totals.
addoeh
1:36
The Cubs seem to have such an patchy record with developing their position players in the majors.  Baez and Contreras have improved over time, but Almora, Schwarber, Russell, Bote, and Happ have either stayed the same or regressed.  Are these outcomes about what one would expect  or is it a concern?
Keith Law
1:37
Throw Russell out, not literally but ... okay, well maybe literally. The others are all kind of surprising to me especially Almora. Thought he'd at least hit for empty average.
Matt
1:37
Give me some optimism here Keith, spencer Howard, how high is his ceiling? Did the Phillies finally find a gem in the draft with him?
Keith Law
1:37
See my post on him from last week: https://klaw.me/2Ljfeh4
ARod
1:37
You definitely would rather have a 2-run lead than a 13-run lead because even leads are gold.
Keith Law
1:38
He said that two straight weeks. It's like he heard "sabermetrics" and googled "numerology."
HH
1:38
If you had the choice between expanded rosters in September (as now) or expanded rosters in April, what would you prefer? I kinda think the latter would be more fun, and less disruptive to playoff races.
Keith Law
1:38
Yep and I think it would allow for slightly shorter spring training too, which I believe most players would favor.
Joey Joe Joe
1:38
Are you still in on Jakson Reetz?  Seems to have put it together this year.
Keith Law
1:38
23 repeating high-A. Wasn't good when I saw him in the first half. Really need to see him do it at a higher level to buy in.
Stephen
1:39
I had submitted my question too late on Friday, so i will try it here: How would you rate the drafting decisions of Damon Oppenheimer  over the last 4 or so years? in 2015 he drafted James Kaprielian & Kyle Holder while skipping over players like "Walker Buehler" "Austin Riley" not qbing from a distant, I just wonder if a team that will always be drafting low it is imperative that they hit on those picks. DO seems to miss more often. 2016 Blake Rutherford over so many others with more upside
Keith Law
1:39
Buehler needed TJ at the time and that may be why they passed - and why they took the same risk on Clarke Schmidt two years later. They've also found a lot of value lower in the draft.
Kevin
1:39
What is the bail amount set on Solar for murdering that baseball last night ?
Keith Law
1:40
That was a monster shot with any baseball. I go back and forth on how much of his breakout to buy, given how power-centric it is.
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