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Klawchat 9/7/17
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Keith Law
1:19
No. Remember in 2007 when the Yankees swept all six games from Cleveland in the regular season, and then Cleveland won the ALDS from the Yanks 3 games to 1? Regular-season matchup results mean nothing for October.
Rebuilding is terrible
1:19
If my memory serves me right, you were the first one who recognized Ozzie Albies when he was in the rookie ball. Do you think he will surpass Dansby Swanson next year?
Keith Law
1:19
I doubt I was first but I appreciate the credit. I think Swanson will still end up a very good player, with Albies also producing well as soon as next year. Also, whenever he homers, we need to get #OzzieDuzIt trending.
Brett
1:20
Cannot argue with your choice of Vlad Jr. as Prospect of the Year.  How close was Acuna?  Any others on your short list?
Keith Law
1:20
That list was in rough order, so Acuna was second.
Philip
1:20
Ultimately does Madrigal’s size prevent him from going top 5? And at this way too early point which range would you be comfortable on taking him?
Keith Law
1:20
Don't think he's a top 5 guy even if he were average size. First rounder for sure.
Matt
1:20
Do you think Vlad Jr stays at 3B long term or has to move off the position?
Keith Law
1:20
I told Scott Mackenzie on TSN 1050 yesterday that I thought it was 50/50.
Nate
1:22
What do you expect from Raul Mondesi going forward? I know he's not technically a prospect anymore but he's still very young.
Keith Law
1:25
Very young with no history of performance, largely because he was rushed up the ladder. 19 UIBB this year in 394 PA. Since his breakout 2014 season, he has 60 UIBB in 1677 PA. He's very fast, and has bat speed, but he's never really learned to hit - and the Royals have had him bunting a LOT, which I think is counterproductive when a kid has a poor approach to begin with.
Matt
1:25
Has pint had such a disappointing first year that he’s no longer a top 100 prospect?
Keith Law
1:25
I don't think he was on my top 100 last January, so it's not as if this season would elevate him. The Rockies can't be surprised - we knew he had huge stuff and control problems, plus asheville is a big hitter's park.
Mark
1:25
Klaw,
As the Diamondbacks continue to roll, how much credit for the team’s success does the Stewart-La Russa-Watson group deserve due to the moves they made: a lot, some, none and why?
Keith Law
1:26
I'll credit them for Robbie Ray. That's it.
Matt Walsh
1:26
Saves cradle and protect Wins. RBIs enable and protect both. This is how it ought to be, despite what smart baseball says.
Keith Law
1:26
Took me a second, but then I saw the name. Well done.
Mike
1:26
Very sorry to hear about the passing of Gene Michael today. Do you think that he receives due credit as an excellent executive from baseball people outside of NY?
Keith Law
1:27
Within the game, yes. Very highly respected as an evaluator and a person.
Max
1:27
Alex Bregman is having a 4+ WAR (BR) season.  Is this what you expect from him going forward, with maybe one or two 5-7 WAR seasons in there as a peak, until he hits his decline phase?
Keith Law
1:27
I think there might be another grade of hit in there.
Utilm
1:27
Is it just me or is Yankees farm full of hard throwing guys that are probably pen guys long term? Abreu, Acevado, Guzman, Perez
Keith Law
1:28
Lot of hard-throwing guys who are probably pen guys ... but if you give me five such pitchers, there's a good enough chance that one of them starts that I'd be happy with the portfolio. Severino looked (still looks, really) like a big breakdown risk who'll end up in the pen, but he gave them one good year of starting already. If Abreu, who I think has the best chance to start of the group, does that, it's found money.
tom
1:28
What do you think Ian Happ's potential is? Thanks
Keith Law
1:29
Above-average regular, fringe star. High OBP, high K guy with power. Adequate D at second, can fake a lot of positions.
Tim
1:29
Which tools are hardest to improve in the Majors? Think we all get caught up in thinking a guy's AA or AAA stats will dictate exactly who the guy is at the next level.
Keith Law
1:29
If a guy doesn't hit in AA, the odds of him learning to hit in the majors are low - not zero, but low. You can teach a lot of things, though. Guys do occasionally improve their plate discipline, or learn a new pitch, or find command.
Dallas
1:29
What do you think happens to Khris Davis this winter?  He's going over $11.0 million as a 4+ in arbitration.  Will he be non-tendered?  Chris Carter is the comparison but I think Khris Davis has been better than Carter as a hitter however there defensive value is similar (though I wonder what happened this year to Davis' range in LF; it's always been good but this year it's negative).  Do the A's tender him?  Trade him?  Would he have more value after the tender date because teams will try to steal him thinking he will be non-tendered?  Thanks as always for your time and consideration.
Keith Law
1:30
Buster asked me about this on the podcast today. I think the A's try to trade him, but there's a real chance he gets non-tendered because he'll take 40+ homers into arb and get something like $10 million. The market wouldn't pay him that.
Jesse
1:30
How much have you read about AI? Are you concerned it could be an existential threat to humans?
Keith Law
1:31
No, this isn't really something taking up much of my mindshare right now.
Jon V
1:31
Am I wrong to be incredibly excited about Triston McKenzie? Can he be an ace or more like a really good 2/3?
Keith Law
1:31
He can grow into an ace, but he's not there yet. It's the expectation that he will add velocity as he fills out, as he still has a very slight teenager's build.
Peggy Sue
1:32
Greetings. Hate crime legislation: Good, or thoughtcrime in disguise?
Keith Law
1:32
I think it's both. I think it serves a useful societal function ... but it criminalizes intent in a way that few if any other laws do.
Ron
1:34
Hi Keith I see E. Rosario is at 286/326/490 with an 816 OPS. The biggest thing is his OBP which is higher than his career of 304.  Is this a SSS or has he done a better job of not swinging at everything?  Has some  pop and seems like he slowly has improved since April.
Keith Law
1:35
He's gone from "degenerate hacker" to "uncomfortably aggressive." But he's always been a bat-speed/high-contact sort of guy so I think it can work for him. He'll never be a star, IMO, but could hang in as a regular for a while.
Jon V
1:35
If you were running the Indians would you look to move Kipnis this offseason and make Ramirez an everyday 2B and play Diaz at 3rd?
Keith Law
1:35
Yes.
JR
1:35
Theory: the Thursday Next world Jasper Fforde writes about is real. We had a stupidity surplus. The government decided to use the surplus to get Trump elected. It's the only thing that makes sense.
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