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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat - 1/29/18
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Meg Rowley
2:58
I think there is a philosophical argument about the overall split of revenue, and a particular argument about the generational talents that are these two particular players.
Kev-brrrrrr...
2:58
You're in the bigs, and it's Player's Weekend. What nickname is on your uniform?
Meg Rowley
2:58
Meg is a nickname, but probably growler
Lou
2:59
Jason Heyward was 26
Meg Rowley
2:59
Jason Heyward was not as good.
Egregious Overreach
2:59
Which off-season move has the greatest risk of failure
Meg Rowley
2:59
Somehow the answer to this is still Eric Hosmer.
More than just a Gift Basket
3:00
Thanks for acknowledging my question, but I'm not certain I agree or fully understand your response; you say you can't uncouple the issue of big market teams not going after Harper/Machado and small market teams having tiny payrolls. To me, it seems like the difference is, at a payroll of $160 million you're paying a pretty decent amount to be competitive- it's just that you could pay even more to try to dominate (like the Sox/Yankees). At $80 million, like the Marlins and others, you're basically saying that the only way you can compete is with some combination of scouting, player development, careful attention to windows of success, and blind luck. The way the system is set up makes it almost impossible for a team like the Royals to be consistent winners the way the Yankees/Dodgers/Sox can pay to be. And it provides cover for teams like the Marlins to not even try.
Meg Rowley
3:02
While acknowledging there are differences between the Yankees and the Rays, I'm not sure why we wouldn't push back on the assertion that this all they are capable of doing. We also might think critically about who gets to own a team.
I'd also note that they were, as group, pretty well unified in their approach to the last CBA negotiation.
BKJ
3:02
I think one reason there is pushback against the notion of free agents being underpaid is that the most unfairly compensated years in the big leagues are years 1-3, especially for (1) superstars and superstar adjacents and (2) breakout stars like Judge. Not that free agents shouldn’t be paid fairly, but no one seems to acknowledge that the entire 6-year rookie contract structure is built to give owners  what we now often understand are a player’s six most productive years at team friendly rates
Meg Rowley
3:03
I think we talk about that a lot, which is part of why most people agree that part of the solution here is getting money to players much, much earlier in their careers.
Guesto
3:04
You don't have cats, don't have a particular chili recipe, don't have an opinion on what constitutes a sandwich, and you're not a beer aficionado. How long can you get by on just baseball knowledge?
Meg Rowley
3:04
I do have a particular chili recipe and I am a beef aficionado. But for a good long while? I just a bunch of other stuff.
Baseball Fan
3:04
Do you think small market teams pride themselves on finding diamonds in the rough? Could that be a part of keeping spending limited for those teams?
Meg Rowley
3:05
I don't think the set of choices is spend money or feel good about player development.
Go Rays
3:05
Which is your favorite small-market team
Meg Rowley
3:06
As much as I wish they would spend a lot more, I enjoy the Rays. Oakland, too. I like the creativity those teams show. I think they have good, smart sorts in their organizations. I don't think they'd get less creative or less smart with a bigger budget.
Winter Sucks
3:07
If Meg is a nickname, what is your actual name?  (Please have the answer be something cool instead of Megan or Margaret. Thx!)
Meg Rowley
3:07
Megan, but blame my folks, I guess.
It was the 80s.
I could have been much worse.
2-D
3:07
Do the Nationals' odds of bringing back Harper increase each day he doesn't sign?
Meg Rowley
3:07
I think sure, but I still am skeptical.
No Cats?
3:07
I'm outta here
Meg Rowley
3:08
Landlord says no, and my roommate is allergic anyhow. I think I'd have a dog before a cat but don't dislike cats.
r3b1
3:08
I'm coming around to the idea that NBA-style max salaries would be largely beneficial to the players, along with abandoning draft pick compensation. I think it's a fair trade-off. Baseball's middle class currently get killed as soon as their contracts expire, and I think owner uncertainty is harming the bidding on the top end. Sure, there is definitely collusion going on, but I think it's really around owners not knowing how high salaries will go...
Meg Rowley
3:08
The NBA also has agreed upon split of revenue.
Chris
3:09
Are the Phillies still the favorite for Harper?
Meg Rowley
3:09
I think yes.
Rod Beck's Handbar Moustache
3:09
Which is more likely to happen? Darvish >3.5 fWAR or Baez <3 fWAR
Meg Rowley
3:09
I'll take the Darvish over. Call me an optimist.
Baseball Fan
3:09
Will the MLB expand in the next 10 years?
Meg Rowley
3:09
Yes, I think so.
3:10
Portland can support a team, though Tampa might not be able to, so there maybe a little movement, too, but yes, I expect so.
25 and still in High A
3:10
Breakout possibilities for 2019
Meg Rowley
3:10
Aren't we all possible breakouts? Don't limit yourself. It's you!
3:11
Alright, friends, I have to get going. Thanks for all of the questions, and sorry for what I didn't get to.
Be well and have a good week!
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