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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat - 11/27/18
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Meg Rowley
2:00
Good morning (afternoon) and welcome to the chat!
Sad Mariners Fan
2:01
If Dipoto does the right thing and trades Diaz, what would a reasonable return be? I saw an article recently in the atheltic saying they wouldn’t be able to net two top 100 prospects and I initially dismissed it as wrong. Is it?
Meg Rowley
2:02
Two top 100 guys feels like too much. A top 100 guy and a guy with promise feels closer. Diaz is amazing and has a bunch of team control left, but he's also a reliever (albeit a really good one!) who throws hard with a delivery that isn't exactly relaxing.
And Now, This
2:02
If you were one of the other 29 GMs, would you ever trade for one of Van Wagenen's former clients on the Mets roster? If it was me I think I'd always be wondering: "What does he know about the player that I don't?"
Meg Rowley
2:03
I think it's an underreported concern in all of this. As Sheryl wrote this morning, the Mets and Van Wagenen's answers to questions surrounding his potential conflicts of interests don't fully address the issue.
2:04
It's quite surprising to me that this hasn't been a bigger issue just generally, particularly with the union.
Hello
2:04
Cano/Diaz to the Mets for Bruce/2 lottery tickets.  Who says no/how far off is this?
Meg Rowley
2:04
The Mariners, likely. I get that moving Cano's contract is part of the value here, but you don't include Diaz to get fliers. The names that have been floated reflect that.
B3K2
2:05
Hi, when do you get hired by an MLB team?
Meg Rowley
2:06
I do not have any desire to work for a team, and I'm not sure I'd offer much of value to one anyhow.
Syndergaardians of the Galaxy
2:06
Why the heck would Brodie Van Wagenen even want the Mets GM job? He must be making less $$$ in his new job, and it's inherently less stable.
Meg Rowley
2:07
I'm not quite sure how the money shakes out, but regardless, there's a lot more prestige in being a GM than there is in being a sports agent.
The desire to win a ring isn't an unusual motivation in these situations.
All Cats Are Beautiful
2:08
Are there players who are openly gay to teammates but not to the media? Would any beat reporter publish that infi against a player's wishes?
Meg Rowley
2:08
I imagine there are some, and good lord, I can't imagine a beat would out a player against their will.
matt klentak
2:09
5/100 get me patty corbin?
Meg Rowley
2:09
That sounds about right.
2:11
In our Top 50 Free Agents, Kiley had him at 5 years and $90 million; the crowd number was a touch higher at 5 and $102. I imagine it'll fall somewhere in there
Billy
2:11
Hi Meg - will you marry me?
Meg Rowley
2:11
Nope!
pelkey
2:11
in addition to the ickyness of the surplus-value perspective on trade evaluation, doesn't it miss something kind of critical about value? imagine Mike Trout was paid what he is actually worth, so he has no value that a team isn't paying for. wouldn't it still be worthwhile to trade for him because he's amazing and having his amazingness on your team will mean that you'll win more games than you would otherwise?
Meg Rowley
2:12
It's certainly something that you have to consider (and that teams do). Surplus value isn't the only consideration, but its also something you want to properly understand to make sure you're asking for the right combination of players in a trade for instance.
2:13
But you're right that, as with all evaluation tools, it is the beginning of the conversation, not the end of it.
PD
2:13
If you asked the casual fan who was the better hitter, David Ortiz or Edgar Martinez, what percentage do you think would say Ortiz? 75%?
Meg Rowley
2:14
It probably depends on the casual fan's age.
I imagine older millennials and up have a greater recall on Edgar's feats than younger millennials and whatever the heck comes after millennials.
2:15
But I think you're right that Ortiz has greater cultural resonance across the board.
2:16
Mariner fans have squawked about him overshadowing Edgar's HOF case in the national media and I think that's true to some extent, but as Jay noted in his Edgar piece today, his presence has also helped to shift the attitude around DHs.
Billy Beane
2:16
Hey Meg. I hope you have a good day.
Meg Rowley
2:16
I am, thank you! You as well.
AK
2:17
Do you feel like the online baseball analytics world has fully adapted to the new world in which it isn't the upstart outsider, but a fully integrated pieces of the baseball industry?
Meg Rowley
2:18
We're closer but not all the way there. Some of the umbrage we take at goofuses on twitter suggests to me that we are not gotten all the way there yet.
We still occasionally react as if the nerds didn't win the war, err WAR.
John
2:18
Johan Camargo for Hunter Renfroe - make it happen.
Meg Rowley
2:19
Don't put things from your to-do list onto my to-do list! My to-do list is so long!
Johnny
2:19
With Donaldson to the Braves and the Phillies looking ready to load up, what do the Nationals have to do to make themselves the NL East favorites?
Meg Rowley
2:21
They aren't in a terrible spot if guys are healthy. Given that guys aren' always all the way healthy, depth would be nice, and some reinforcements in the bullpen I suppose. I don't think 90-wins is going to be enough in that division.
Grover
2:21
With Ryu returning SP appears to be a position of depth for the Dodgers, but would/should that preclude them from dipping their toes in the Kluber or Thor sweepstakes?
Meg Rowley
2:22
As with all of these things, it depends entirely on what they'd be asked to give up. I'm sure the Dodgers would tell you that you can never have enough pitching, especially with DL stints from Kershaw a seemingly much more regular occurrence.
All Cats Are Beautiful
2:23
Which team specific articles generate the least amount of clicks?
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