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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat - 7/30/19
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Meg Rowley
2:00
Hello and welcome to the chat!
2:01
With a little over 24 hours to the trade deadline the most of exciting move of the season is Stroman, and the Phillies trying to talk themselves into being excited about Jason Vargas!
2:02
What a time to be alive.
Theo Epstein
2:02
Do I need to do more this deadline than sit and hope Hamels, Zobrist, and Morrow come back healthy?
Meg Rowley
2:05
Some reinforcements would be nice. Whether ownership let's you do more... that I'm unsure of. The Cubs aren't in terrible shape. If you look at our projected WAR totals for the rest of the season, they aren't languishing at the bottom, and are the best in the Central. But I like insurance. I am perhaps inclined to being overinsured.
That bullpen seems like an obvious spot, though that is also an obvious spot for a lot of teams with more to offer.
Outta my way, Gyorkass?
2:06
Got any statcast measurements on Bauer's rocket over the CF wall?
Meg Rowley
2:06
I'm inclined to find misbehavior at work all that charming, or worthy of measurement.
Outta my way, Gyorkass?
2:06
"We cannot make any baseball trades but we can have a baseball chat."...Jerry DiPoto just took that as a challenge.
Meg Rowley
2:06
Wouldn't hate it!
Outta my way, Gyorkass?
2:07
MIL is commonly talked about as a team in need of starting pitching (you should check out brewers.com's "probable pitchers" tab for the next few days lol), but would this team maybe be better suited long term by dealing their 1 year offensive producers like Grandal and/or Moustakas for reinforcements?
Meg Rowley
2:08
I see the argument for Mouse more, but Yas has been the best catcher in baseball this year, which I dunno, seems valuable for a playoff run?
2:10
They can obviously make a move in the offseason (or, ya know, extend Grandal) but their best catching prospect is still a ways out and they are trying to win now.
2:11
Although, Jacob Nottingham getting more time does allow for Robin Hood related humor, so maybe I'm in?
Aaron
2:11
Someone should write a book on a failed MLB rebuild. The five year, 500 loss type where they come out of it with neither a good team nor a good farm.
Meg Rowley
2:11
I mean, someone is bound to write a book about the mid-2000s Mariners at some point.
2:12
ZING! This is somewhat unfair, but only somewhat.
Jerry D
2:12
How many trades do I make before the deadline? over under 2 and a half
Meg Rowley
2:12
I'll put them at two. I don't think their guys are a lot of team's first choice, but I think a lot of teams aren't going to get their first choice, so they might end up busy tomorrow.
Outta my way, Gyorkass?
2:12
NYM's Stroman acquisition: mild LOLMets, moderate LOLMets, or most LOLMets?
Meg Rowley
2:13
On it's own, and with Syndergaard still on the roster, it seems fine. If they deal Syndergaard, I like it less.
2-D
2:13
Has Kikuchi been a disappointment or are you willing to excuse it as a trial year?
Meg Rowley
2:14
So, my expectations weren't crazy high, but they haven't been met either.
The fastball was known to be below average, but I thought the rest of the repertoire would play up more than it has. And now he's 28.
Aaron
2:14
My Giants deadline hopes. Madison stays if he wants, goes if he wants. The relievers turn into MLB ready prospects who help the team tomorrow.
Meg Rowley
2:14
Hope is neat that way.
Bored
2:17
Use your powers to make something happen.
Meg Rowley
2:17
Would that I could
Kevin
2:17
Does the Stroman trade set the market for starters or do we see the Jays return as an aberration tomorrow evening? If two lower ranked pitchers can get a controllable starter, then a Top 50 guy from the Rays like Brujan or Sanchez should be able to get any available starter. I'm desperate as a Rays fan for them to trade one or both of these guys for a win now move!!
Meg Rowley
2:18
I think it absolutely alters how anyone trying to deal with the Mets for Thor views things, though the Mets would also be right to note the differences and demand more.
2:19
Contenders can also get kinda desperate as the clock ticks down. But generally not so desperate to overpay. Elsewhere, I think it depends on the dude, as these things often do.
Brook Jacobin
2:19
Hi Meg. Is there a writeup in the works on the Indians/Rays trade? I was surprised to see that Arroyo still has a 50 FV on is player page, and am wondering what his future prospects look like after a couple of lost seasons.
Meg Rowley
2:20
Yup, though it'll be that within the context of other 40-man crunch situations.
Keith Law's T30 Yu-Gi-Oh Cards
2:20
Tatis is rocking a .433 BABIP and a K rate above 29%. He's absolutely due for regression. Where do you see him falling? It seems like everyone is so enamored with him that they kind of ignore such historic luck he's having while showing a clear hole in his game.
Meg Rowley
2:22
I think he's one of those guys where yes, we know it probably isn't this, but he's a tremendously gifted player. The contact was always the thing to watch with him; what he's doing now doesn't fully answer that question so much as it forestalls a critical assessment of it at the big league level.
David
2:23
I feel like we are actively encouraging Jerry Dipoto's addiction to trades, shouldn't we be getting this man some help.
Meg Rowley
2:23
Eh, what if we didn't frame his propensity to trade using a vocabulary of addiction?
MARCUS STROMAN
2:23
DO I HELP
Meg Rowley
2:24
Yes. You're a good pitcher. Good pitchers almost always help! Will you help enough to turn around the Mets? I mean, you are but one man, and mortal at that.
Derek
2:24
Is the next 24 hours going to be an extended nightmare for all FanGraphs employees, or are there just not going to be any trades?
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