MLBTR Chat: 1/3/22
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Anthony Franco
3:31
Hey everyone, welcome to a rare Monday chat
3:32
Believe the plan is to have player chats on each of the next two days, so we're moving mine for the week up to avoid conflicting with those
Phillies to WS
3:32
Why haven’t we seen any minor league transactions in awhile???
Anthony Franco
3:32
I think it's just the holiday slowing everything down
3:33
Hopefully we see those start to pick up again over the next couple weeks
Jake Burger
3:33
Where do I play next year? Would moncada move to 2B for me or will I get traded?
Anthony Franco
3:33
I don't think they're moving Moncada off third at this point. Burger probably either rotates through 1B/DH or gets traded
3:35
I'm sure he'd draw interest but the value there won't be super high. Other teams are going to have similar issues finding at-bats for him because he's kind of limited defensively and his Triple-A performance, while good overall, came with below-average strikeout and walk rates
Josh
3:35
Do u see the Redsox picking up an impact player at either IF or relief help?
Anthony Franco
3:35
Yeah, I explored this at much greater length in their Offseason Outlook yesterday, but I like them as a fit for a star position player
3:36
Don't think it necessarily has to be an infielder, though. Could pick up an outfielder (or even Bryant to primarily play in the outfield) and move Hernández back to second alongside Bogaerts and Devers
3:37
They'll grab bullpen help too, but there's not much star relief pitching available at this point besides Jansen and Kimbrel
Kershaw
3:37
Where do I sign and for what terms?
Anthony Franco
3:37
I lean Dodgers based on nothing more than gut feel. One year at like $20-25MM?
3:38
Assuming Andrew Friedman's being genuine about declining to issue Kershaw the qualifying offer out of respect rather than finances -- and I think he is, since the Dodgers are usually fine gambling on talented players with injury risks -- I'd think he at least tops the $18.4MM QO value from L.A.
JB
3:39
Your best guess of with whom Suzuki signs, and for how much, is…?
Anthony Franco
3:39
We had him at 5/55 entering the offseason and I'm still good with that. I like the Rangers there probably
3:40
But as Tim mentioned today, Suzuki's status is complicated by the lockout maybe more than anyone else. NPB Spring Training starts in like a month, and given that there's still no meaningful CBA talks even scheduled regarding MLB, it's becoming more and more plausible he just stays in Japan
Jay
3:40
What percentage of deals announced in the first say month after the lockout ends do you think are already agreed upon?
Anthony Franco
3:40
Less than 1%. I really don't think teams have been doing a ton of back-channel stuff
3:41
Buster Olney mentioned in a column a few weeks ago that a front office person called him from his wife's phone because he was afraid MLB would check his own phone records to make sure he wasn't speaking with the media (which is also prohibited right now)
3:42
That's just one anecdote, but it was pretty eye-opening to me. If even one executive's going that far to obey the rules because he fears an MLB crackdown, I have to imagine many front office people wouldn't feel comfortable doing all the back-channel stuff
Brandon
3:42
Who are the Mets most likely to get between Correa, Bryant, Rodon, and Freeman?
Steve Cohen
3:43
What's next for the Mets and I?
Anthony Franco
3:43
Rodón feels likeliest of that group since I think the Mets will go after more pitching, but I don't know if another huge free agent signing's in the cards
Frederick! Frederick!
3:43
Is Freeman more likely to leave Atlanta than stay at this point? Whether it’s the Dodgers, Yankees, Blue Jays, etc. it just seems like more people see him going elsewhere.
Anthony Franco
3:44
I thought he was more likely to leave than stay entering the offseason. I still feel that way now
CBA deal
3:44
When will a deal get done
Anthony Franco
3:44
Early to mid February?
HOF Question
3:44
Who do you see from the last 10yrs to current players who will be or could be HOFers.
Anthony Franco
3:45
Miggy, Pujols, Trout, Kershaw, Verlander, Scherzer, Yadi, Buster Posey, Zack Greinke all stand out as guys who are probably already in
(I'm sure there are plenty more I'm forgetting, that's just off the cuff)
3:46
And then you've got al the young stars (Correa, Harper, Tatís, Soto and so on) who are on that trajectory already. It's far too many to name
3:47
A couple guys I don't typically hear in those conversations but who feel like they're trending towards interesting cases (assuming they continue at an elite level for multiple seasons moving forward) are José Ramírez and Xander Bogaerts
Schwarber
3:47
What's the fascination with Schwarber? swing and miss problems, lower BA, Mediocre fielding. I do not see how he's worth 15-20 mil a year.
Anthony Franco
3:47
He draws a bunch of walks and hits for power, basically
3:49
All the stuff you mentioned is generally true, although he hit .266 last year which is pretty good in today's game. But the walks and power, especially against RHP, are enough to make him a middle-of-the-order caliber hitter, and he's young enough (29 in March) to be good for a few years
I actually think Schwarber might wind up underpaid, at least in comparison to a guy like Castellanos. I'm not sure the latter's all that much better of a player, but it seems like he's in line for a significantly bigger deal
Jays Fan
3:49
What do you think the likelyhood is of the Jays going for a Chapman and Manea trade to fill there SP5 and 3B holes?
Anthony Franco
3:50
I'd be surprised if the A's packaged those guys in the same deal, but I can see both (Chapman in particular) drawing interest from Toronto
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