JotCast | MLBTR Chat with Nicklaus Gaut

MLBTR Chat with Nicklaus Gaut

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Javy Baez

11:52

For a guy riding a hot streak like Javy Baez, how long a cold streak does it take for you to drop them? 3 games? 2 weeks?

Nicklaus Gaut

11:52

For him? Not very many

11:53

When Javy goes cold, dude turns instantly into ice

Baseball Sage

11:53

Any value in picking up any Yankees minor league SP based on all the injuries to the staff?

Nicklaus Gaut

11:54

Nah, not much worthwhile floating around currently

Morel

11:54

Thanks for seconding my Morel high ground. I just hate seeing a buy low opportunity without the right guy to offer...

Nicklaus Gaut

11:55

4 Life

Gaving Up

11:55

Thanks! Hope the kid feels better. Whiskey usually helps.

Nicklaus Gaut

11:55

That's why he's sleeping right now

Cade Horton

11:55

Am I worth a flyer if they finally call my number?

Nicklaus Gaut

11:56

Yeah, especially since he could theoretically slot in vs CHW next weekend

Ward of the State

11:56

Taylor ward or Trent Grisham, obp league, ros?

Nicklaus Gaut

11:56

Ward

Chris H

11:57

Canning or Cease? Projections always favor Cease, but Canning has outperformed.

Nicklaus Gaut

11:57

Still Cease

which is hard to say as a long-time hater

but Canning is a WHIP failure just like Cease is

Will in Westport

11:58

That the new Pope dances on the wild side?

Nicklaus Gaut

11:58

E pluribus funky cold medina

Lawlar

11:59

Worth stashing at this point? Service time considerations have past and he's not going to be ROY finalist without a Tatis on 'roids type 4 months. Suarez has to be on thin ice right?

Nicklaus Gaut

11:59

Unfortunately, I don't think they're calling him up without a locked-in spot

12:00

and $15 mil buys Suarez a lot of leash

obviously, they should ship Suarez and call-up Lawlar

so they probably won't do that

Re: Jazz

12:01

When jazz has 3 tears it's called a triad

Nicklaus Gaut

12:01

only if it's warring with his yakuza

Dave

12:02

Thoughts on Agustin Ramirez’s performance so for? I’m loving his playing time, at the very least

Nicklaus Gaut

12:02

Its currently the best thing about him

but he really has shown up well so far

Adley

12:03

I named my team IL Flying Rutschman when I drafted him. But....is it time to cut bait and find a new pun to use?

Nicklaus Gaut

12:03

Nah, I say you keep it

also, I may be biase - h.s. mascot was the Dutchmen

buffy, the umpire slayer

12:04

There are two types of ROS projections. The first takes the pre-season numbers and pro-rates them based on remaining PA/IP. The other way involves updating the skill sets the player has based on some portion of what they are actually accomplishing (or failing at) in the season. These UPDATED numbers would then have the remaining PA/IP applied. I strongly prefer the latter. I can sort of see what sites are doing this by comparing pre-season OBP & SLG with their current projections for both, ignoring very small changes as being rounding errors. My league uses no counting stats but uses RCA and ERA separately (both being non-counting stats). Should sites still using the original pre-season skill numbers even be used when averaging several sites for a single number? Additionally, how much should YTD actual numbers be represented in my final guesswork? Last year you said that by the 3/4 pole, you would almost exclusively use YTD numbers. We will be at the 1/3 pole when I can next make roster changes. Given you mus

Nicklaus Gaut

12:05

Ideally, there would be reliable ROS projection that uses a mix of both. Or, at least, if they do partially, let us know what the mix is

basically, I wish ATC would start doing ROS

Obi-Wan Kenobi

12:06

Hello There

Nicklaus Gaut

12:06

new chat who dis?

Alright, y'all gotta run

It's been real, as always