MLBTR Live Chat
powered byJotCast
Jeffrey Todd
3:10
Hi all. Thanks for joining. Surprise, surprise, lots of recent news to discuss!
Leave some questions and we'll get to answering them momentarily.
3:13
Firstly ... I said before I didn't think Trout would sign an extension. Whoops!
Off we go ..
Kevin
3:13
Snell deal seems like quite an underpay, no?
Jeffrey Todd
3:14
Have to bear in mind that it was agreed to a full season before he was going to be arb eligible. That is a huge distinction between his case and those of Severino and Nola.
3:15
The Cy was a huge feather in his cap for arbitration for sure but he still had lots of risk. I can see how he ended up going for this. Makes more sense to me than Nola's case.
3:17
I hope this isn't distasteful, but remember what happened with Jose Fernandez. Not his tragic death, but his early arb situation. He was awesome, but ill-timed TJ surgery left him with 2.8 mil as a first time arb guy.
3:18
You could look at, say, Matt Harvey's situation as a downside scenario that Snell will avoid. Harvey only ended up earning like $15MM through arb because his own poor TJ timing and subsequent problems. And just got 1/$11MM as a free agent.
Giant Disappointment
3:19
Do the Giants keep Mark Melancon or just stop the bleeding and waive him?
Jeffrey Todd
3:19
I think they will hold and let him throw some regular season innings at least.
Bucco fan
3:19
Already looking forward— if Cervelli was on the trading block mid season, what could a pirates fan reasonably expect for a catcher of his caliber and contract?
Jeffrey Todd
3:20
I wouldn't get my hopes up. He's not that cheap and the concussion thing is still a factor. Hard to imagine he'll improve his stock as a player between now and the deadline. I suppose that it's still possible he is a reasonably rare asset (say, best catcher available) and that they do well.
But hey you should be hoping for contention at this point, not thinking of trades!
Philly Mike
3:21
Happy extension season. What would  your deal for Jameson Taillon look like?
Jeffrey Todd
3:23
Have to assume the Bucs would see him as something like a way lite version of Snell. Those teams operate similarly so it's a good structure but I have to imagine the Pirates would feel like Taillon's arb earning upside isn't nearly as high and wouldn't be quite as willing to deal as the Rays were.
(Taillon also a 2+ svc class guy)
Irate Nate
3:24
Do you see Cincinnati selling early if the season starts as poorly as last year (3-15 when price got canned)
Jeffrey Todd
3:25
Nope. No real reason not to be in it til the end of July. They obviously felt comfortable giving up what future value they did to boost their chances for this season. It'd be odd to blow things up early -- even if they are just bludgeoned out of the gates.
Mariners Undefeated
3:25
Does starting 2-0 a week before everyone else adjust their strategy?  More likely to look to adding an arm or bat?
Jeffrey Todd
3:25
Nope
Pedro4ever
3:25
Do you think mookie Betts is just greedy?
Jeffrey Todd
3:25
Nope
3:26
(I mean, really ... Why not just say the Red Sox are greedy for not paying him more?)
Rick
3:26
Thoughts on Eloys deal?
Jeffrey Todd
3:28
It is the most interesting of the recent extensions. I really like it for him, honestly. He was so far from real earnings. There are so many ways he'd have fallen shy of this. And as a practical matter he only gave up one FA season! If the team picks up the options he'll have earned 75 or whatever mil through arb and one FA year. That's pretty danged good, and he protected all the downside of injury, performance decline, etc.
Charles
3:28
Braves arms are falling off. Would it now be plausible to get an arm that will stabilize the pitching?
Jeffrey Todd
3:29
Obviously somebody wasn't paying attention this morning. Jeez. Act like you care about your team Charles. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/03/braves-sign-josh-tomlin-to-mino...
(That was sarcasm, before you accuse me of being a jerk.)
3:30
Heck yeah now is the time. It isn't coming together the way they wanted it to. Still loads of talent, etc etc. But part of the reasoning for holding back funds for mid-season and all that is to have the flexibility to step in and make a move when it's needed. I think it's fair to say it is now when you look at the injuries (even if none are catastrophic) to the rotation and pen.
Cheap owner
3:31
Will all these extensions hurt the future of free agency or market of players in the future?
Jeffrey Todd
3:31
I haven't really drilled down on this yet. But let's remember that we are like 3 years removed from the last "EVERYONE IS SIGNING EXTENSIONS" era.
3:33
Since I remembered writing something on this ... here's what the state of play was in the fall of 2013, just before the Braves went on a wild extension run. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2013/09/will-the-braves-look-to-extend-...
The list of reasonable possibilities is extensive, and impressive: first baseman Freddie Freeman; Andrelton Simmons at short; outfielder Jason Heyward; maybe even third-bagger Chris Johnson. Then, there are the pitchers: Craig Kimbrel, Kris Medlen, Mike Minor, Brandon Beachy, Jonny Venters, and Julio Teheran could all make sense, either now or in the foreseeable future.
^^^ what I wrote. They ended up extending six of those guys!
Patrick
3:34
How much truth to the Kimbrel and Brewers rumors? Seems to make sense with Knebel and Jeffers having some arm issues.
Jeffrey Todd
3:35
I can't speak to the truth of it but it certainly makes more and more sense. As just stated w/r/t the Braves, sometimes you have to tap into the contingency funds early. Better to do so now than let the season get going and suddenly feel desperate in mid-May or something.
Concerned A's fan
3:35
Is it time to panic yet?
Jeffrey Todd
3:35
I'd be more concerned with the Luzardo news than the -2 start.
Load More Messages
Connecting…