MLBTR Live Chat with Steve Adams -- 4/11/17
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Steve Adams
3:34
Greetings! I'll get this running in earnest in one minute -- feel free to start asking questions now and I'll hang around for an hour and give all sorts of inane opinions!
Ben
3:36
Has Quintana hurt his value at all in his first two starts? Or are front offices seeing those as outliers
Steve Adams
3:37
His second start wasn't even bad, and no, even if it was -- we're talking two outings. Unless he's showing genuine signs of physical ailment, no team is going to read anything into a two-start sample -- especially not one that comes in his first two starts of the season.
Sarcastic Reds Fan
3:37
Will the Reds win the division?
Steve Adams
3:37
Reds/Twins World Series is the clear likelihood now.
Tony T.
3:37
how many horrible at bats does it take for the Giants to demote/banish Jarrett Parker?
Steve Adams
3:38
More than a week's worth. But the fact that they brought in Upton, even on a minors deal, at least shows that they're not entirely content.
Slint
3:38
Do you think Angel Pagan will get the ~$5M he's looking for or is his price going to come down?
Steve Adams
3:39
I don't think he's getting $5MM -- at this point I'm not sure why he's sitting out. I get being prideful, but not when it comes at the expense of having an actual job.
Jay
3:40
If Simmons get a day off, do Angels start Pennington or Espinosa at short?
Steve Adams
3:40
I'd imagine Pennington at SS. Would make sense that they prefer to just keep Espinosa in one spot.
Ed
3:40
More likely to be with the Mets next year: Bruce or Granderson
Steve Adams
3:41
Neither? They have Cespedes, Lagares and Conforto all controlled through next year, plus Brandon Nimmo in the org still.
Richard
3:41
What kind of a role would you expect from Joe Jimenez? Destined for high leverage innings in the near term?
Steve Adams
3:42
Ausmus will ease him in, but I can see him earning a higher-leverage role in the next 5-6 weeks or so if he performs well. It's partially dependent on how Justin Wilson and K-Rod pitch.
Realistically, though, I could see him closing games by the end of the year.
Cookie Monster
3:43
Dahl getting the starting job when he's healthy or do they stick with Parra? would they send him to the minors or would he be a bench bat at that point?
Steve Adams
3:44
Dahl played way too well last year for them to justifiably send him to the minors, in my opinion. It's not like Parra's going to maintain a .500 BABIP or anything
Butters
3:44
When will someone sign Doug Fister?
Steve Adams
3:45
When he caves and agrees to take a minor league deal? Maybe a contender with thin depth that suffers an injury in the rotation will give him a 40-man spot, but I don't see much point in sitting around and waiting for that to happen
ChiSox2020
3:45
What position player has the most trade value on the Sox and what can he fetch?
Steve Adams
3:47
Well, Tim Anderson does but they're not trading him. Abreu with three years of control left is pretty nice, but he's also pretty expensive. He can probably pull in one premium prospect and a pair of other useful pieces, but I don't put his value anywhere near what I'd expect to get out of Sale or Eaton.
Ryan
3:48
Where does Yangervis Solarte rank among underrated players?
Steve Adams
3:49
Most underrated in San Diego -- I have no idea where I'd rank him among league-wide most underrated players.
tim
3:50
explain the difference between DFA and outright release...
Steve Adams
3:50
Designating someone for assignment removes someone from the 40-man roster immediately and gives the team a week to trade them, release them or place them on outright waivers.
Justin
3:51
Has Mark Reynolds finally banished his strikeout demons?
Steve Adams
3:52
I mean, he's struck out in 22% of his PA, so it's not like he's not whiffing at all. He also has 32 plate appearances this season, as compared to more than 5000 career PA that suggest he can't make regular contact. Go with the larger sample.
Cashman
3:52
Do i give up too quickly on players? Solarte, Nunez, Quintana, Phelps
Steve Adams
3:54
Virtually every team has a similar list of players it once controlled that found success elsewhere. Plus Solarte wasn't even a lifelong Yankees farmhand. He was a Twins signee that hit minor league free agency and spent one year in the Yankees org.
Trout Wars
3:54
Do the Angels really have enough pitching to contend with HOU/SEA?
Steve Adams
3:55
I don't think so -- they have plenty of talent, but I don't expect all of it to remain healthy. There are way too many health risks -- especially up top with Richards and Skaggs. I do think the Halos are better than most gave them credit for entering the season
Asking for a friend
3:56
Who would you rather have: Paxton or McCullers?
Steve Adams
3:57
McCullers, but I don't trust either to stay healthy for a full year.
Guest
3:57
Does tim lincecum get any milb offers
Steve Adams
3:57
I'm sure once he decides he wants to give it another try, he'll have plenty of minor league interest -- especially if he's willing to pitch in relief
Eric L
3:57
What is wrong with the Cardinals
Steve Adams
3:59
I've gotten tons of questions like this, pertaining to the Cardinals and to other teams. The Cards have played seven games. Every team is going to go through stretches where they go 2-5 this season. Plus the Cardinals have played four of those seven against very good teams (Cubs, Nats)... it's too early into the season to decide any team is broken beyond repair based on a small sample.
Moose
4:00
I'm of the belief that ERA is a flawed and misleading metric, so I can't really understand the utility of ERA+. Yeah it's relative to the league, but won't it still have the same flaws as ERA? What am I missing?
Steve Adams
4:01
There's FIP- and xFIP-, which are the same concept with FIP and xFIP if you'd prefer those metrics. Every statistic has some flaw, but ERA+ is just meant to help filter out some of the noise that could come from a player playing his home games in an extreme environment. A 3.50 ERA for an A's pitcher and a 3.50 ERA for a Rockies pitcher are wildly different things.

Sure it has flaws, but there's no one metric that tells the whole story.
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