JotCast | MLBTR Live Chat with Steve Adams -- 9/20/16

MLBTR Live Chat with Steve Adams -- 9/20/16

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Brock

3:51

Who is the player on the banner of the main site? Or is it just a generic render?

Steve Adams

3:51

Generic

Brad

3:51

You think the Padres will resign both Jon Jay and Clayton Richard this offseason? There would definitely be interest from other teams, but it seems like both players like it in San Diego?

Steve Adams

3:52

Richard makes more sense than Jay. I know they like Jay quite a bit and vice versa (who wouldn't want to spend a season in San Diego weather?), but they have a lot of outfield pieces there as it is and more on the way in the form of Renfroe, Margot, etc.

python-r

3:52

Re: Ramos - what kinds of large-market teams would be in the mix for him? (No LA, SF, NY...)

Steve Adams

3:54

Doesn't need to be large market necessarily, though I'm sure the Mets and White Sox will have some degree of interest. Braves, Twins, Astros, Orioles, Rockies, Angels... hell Red Sox could even jump in depending on how they view Swihart and Vazquez at this point. He should have a plenty strong market.

A Trade

3:55

Dozier to Mets for Dom Smith, Rosario, Matz and Robles. Who hangs up first

Steve Adams

3:55

Awesome as Dozier has been, Mets aren't parting with that much to get him.

Bob

3:56

Is Joe Girardi going to win manager of the year?

Steve Adams

3:58

"Manager of the Year" typically just goes to "Manager whose team made the postseason but wasn't a sure thing to do so"

He'll get some love for keeping the Yankees in the mix, for sure. I can see Showalter getting quite a bit of consideration, too, if the O's somehow make the postseason with a rotation consisting of Tillman, Gausman and a cavalcade of sub-replacement-level starters.

Sam

3:59

What kind of contract does Rich Hill get will the Dodgers QO him?

Steve Adams

4:00

He can't get a QO because he was traded midseason. I'm coming around on the idea of three years for him, though I don't love it. But, there will be so many teams in the mix and so many willing to go two years that the third year will probably just be the cost of getting him to said market. I'm more in the $42MM range, but Tim and others are $45-50MM, and as much as I wouldn't do that, I can see some team with a large budget just shrugging and making the plunge.

Baseball!

4:01

Is this offseason the time to sell high on good starters?

Steve Adams

4:02

It's a good offseason to sell high on guys that aren't even top-tier starters. Ervin Santana is a mid-rotation guy at best, but the Twins could get a legitimate strong return on him just due to the dearth of quality options on the market. If I'm the Reds, I'm shopping Anthony DeSclafani around. It's a good time to have an affordable No. 3 type of arm in your rotation.

Billy Beane

4:02

Is Healy for real? With all the young kids in the lineup, future isn't looking that bad for us, ha?

Steve Adams

4:04

He's for real in the sense that he has legitimate pop. I don't buy this .300+ hitter bit, but he can probably hit .270ish with a low .300s OBP and 20-25 homers next season. He doesn't strike out that often, which is good to see in a young hitter.

4:05

For those complaining about "Bill" and his peanut gallery comments, I think I just managed to figure out how to turn that off mid-chat. Will just cut it next week perhaps.

TB Rays

4:05

How mich has Chris Archer hurt his value this year? I have been hoping the Rays rebuild for the past 2 seasons

Steve Adams

4:06

Archer has a 3.03 ERA with an 85-to-14 K/BB ratio over his past 71 innings.

4:07

Could Calhoun net a prospect like Tyler Beede, Tristan Mckenzie, etc. plus others?

Steve Adams

4:08

Calhoun should absolutely net a starting pitcher that's able to step into the big league rotation in short order -- possibly in the first half of the 2017 season -- and then some. He's really underrated.

George Oscar Bluth or D Stewart?

4:08

I've made a huge mistake.

Steve Adams

4:09

I'm too much of a sucker for Will Arnett/GOB not to have published this question.

(I'm sure I'll now get 500 Arrested Development quotes per chat)

(...I've made a huge mistake.)

Brad

4:10

Has Matt Garza regained enough trade value to be moved this winter or should the Brewers wait until the trade deadline to see if he can maintain his performance?

Steve Adams

4:11

I don't know that 91 innings of league-average pitching is necessarily rebuilding all that much value, but he only has one year left on the deal at this point, so if the Crew eats half of his salary or something, sure they can move him. Don't expect much in return, though.

KcMike

4:11

We can only hope in Kansas City that Ventura pitches like he did in the second half, that Duffy continues to pitch as well as he had and that Ian Kennedy continues to pitch as well as he has. I think they probably hope that Vargas can contribute next year. Do you see them keeping Volquez after the horrible year he's had? I think there is a team option on his contract.

Steve Adams

4:12

Volquez has a mutual option on his contract, meaning both Volquez and the team have to exercise it in order for him to stay. If I'm Dayton Moore, I'm just moving on from him. Buy out the option and let someone else try to sort him out. He's been an unmitigated disaster for the majority of the season.

Baseball!

4:14

Which team had the most disappointing season based on preseason expectations? I'm thinking Astros or the White Sox

Steve Adams

4:15

Answer for this has to be the Twins. 83 wins last year, expected to at least hang around the Wild Card mix, and instead virtually every young player they had bombed en route to the likely No. 1 overall pick in 2017. I think even pundits that expected the Twins to regress from 2015 and miss the playoffs would've been stunned by this level of ineptitude.

Ryan

4:15

Does Cespedes seriously not opt out or is that just wishful thinking on the part of the Mets' beat writers?

Steve Adams

4:16

If Cespedes opts into the remaining two years I'll figure out how to use Periscope and live-stream myself eating an encyclopedia page by page.

Which also means I'd have to buy an encyclopedia, I guess.

Pete

4:16

Rookie of the year? Fulmer or Sanchez?

Steve Adams

4:17

Give me the guy that's been there all season. If Sanchez had come up even in June, he'd get more consideration, but I want the guy who has been contributing to his team all season long.

YaBettsBelieve

4:17

Sandy Leon tho

Steve Adams

4:18

Ridiculously good season, but he's not sustaining a .415 BABIP or whatever it's at now. Regression monster will rear its ugly head.

Dookie Howser, MD

4:19

How many question submissions do you get per chat?

Steve Adams

4:20

There's been between 300 and 600 readers in this chat pretty consistently, and in the offseason/closer to the trade deadline we're routinely in the 1000-2500 reader range per chat. So quite a bit. I try to get to as many as I can, obviously.

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