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NL Division Series Games 1 Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
4:54
Hey everyone. Welcome to the NLDS game 1 chat here at ol' FG. They're introducing the rosters in Atlanta right now.
Craig previewed the series here, if you'd like to brush up: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/postseason-preview-st-louis-cardinals-vs-a...
psylocibin
4:54
you chatting from Salt River Eric?
Eric A Longenhagen
4:55
Nope, fall league off day today
Cardinals Lineup
1. Dexter Fowler (RF)
2. Tommy Edman (3B)
3. Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
4. Marcell Ozuna (LF)
5. Yadier Molina (C)
6. Paul DeJong (SS)
7. Kolten Wong (2B)
8. Harrison Bader (CF)
9. Miles Mikolas (P)

Braves Lineup
1. Ronald Acuna Jr. (CF)
2. Ozzie Albies (2B)
3. Freddie Freeman (1B)
4. Josh Donaldson (3B)
5. Nick Markakis (LF)
6. Matt Joyce (RF)
7. Brian McCann (C)
8. Dansby Swanson (SS)
9. Dallas Keuchel (P)
AvatarKiley McDaniel
4:55
KILEY IS NOW ALSO HERE
4:57
I can confirm it is hot in Atlanta right now
but don't you dare call it Hotlanta
Alan
4:57
Tommy Edman has been a surprise this year. What should we expect from him going forward?
Hi
4:57
Either of you ever see Edman in the minors
Eric A Longenhagen
4:58
Yeah, at Stanford and in the minors. I think he's more of a true talent .320 wOBA guy, more a 1.5-2 WAR multi-positional utility type than a 3 WAR star.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
4:58
FYI 56.5% Braves win probability on this one before first pitch
I believe that's lineup and ZiPS-influenced?
impt freddie freeman shower update has been covered so we're ready to go
5:02
So if I have this right..

ZiPS: Braves 55.2%
https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/post-season-zips?seas...

FG Live Odds: Braves 56.5%
https://www.fangraphs.com/livescoreboard.aspx?date=2019-10-03

The difference is the FG Odds have Steamer combined with ZiPS
5:03
Everything else should be the same, with lineups considered
Bortky
5:03
Excited that baseball starts at a good time here on the east coast. And it goes all night!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
5:03
Indeed it does, Bortky
psylocibin
5:03
how did you get those airhorns to go off in my ear when reading hotlanta Kiley
AvatarKiley McDaniel
5:03
it's a special ability only i possess
abgb123
5:04
Ugh! I was looking forward to this chat till kiley showed up
AvatarKiley McDaniel
5:04
STOP, MOM
Tommy
5:04
What are your thoughts on Showalter managing the padres?
Eric A Longenhagen
5:05
pass
Eric A Longenhagen
5:05
i wouldn't want anyone who has shown a taste for power struggles coming in after the team was criticized by Fowler like that
AvatarKiley McDaniel
5:05
Tough for Keuchel to miss on both of those borderline pitches. That won't be there all day
that level of command, I mean
Eric A Longenhagen
5:06
I got 4.06 home to first on Edman.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
5:06
I was chatting with som industry friends yesterday and we commented on how many situations (manager, GM) seem to be in the "needs to win or may get fired" bucket next year
5:07
maybe scouting director/draft process as well, but those are usually just shifting people around
3 grounders is so on brand for Keuchel
Joe
5:07
Was this year the start of a Votto-esque goldy decline. Talk a cardinals fan off a ledge
Eric A Longenhagen
5:08
He'll probably be a good player for a while yet, but exit velos are down two consecutive years, he's 32, so yeah probably starting to slide.
Matt W
5:08
What are your thoughts on Matheny managing the Mets? Because as terrible of an idea as it is, it is absolutely going to happen.
Eric A Longenhagen
5:09
A source indicated he was in attendance at Royals instructs today, so if I'm making odds on where he manages, it isn't NY.
Brandon
5:10
What are your thoughts on teams potentially using the manager as a people manager and having all the in-game decisions made by a computer/analysts?
Eric A Longenhagen
5:11
Nah, try to find a whole person
Jack
5:13
Do pitchers with postseason experience fair better than those pitchers that have no experience?
Eric A Longenhagen
5:14
I believe there are people who are built for the playoff pressure cooker, those for whom the experience helps after they're initially shakey, and those who will always shrink in these moments. Do I think we can tell who is who? Mostly, no.
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