Padres Offseason Chat
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Darragh McDonald
12:00
Welcome, tonsure heads.
The chat queue was open all night, so there's already a giant pile of Padre questions. Let's dive in!
random
12:00
I've had this thought for awhile, but what do you think? would the padres be in a better position now had they not went all in, during the 20 deadline, and  in the 20-21 offseason, they traded away a lot of their farm for average results. I think they had they stood firm, and kept their farm, they would have a lot more prospect capital, and a lot more money to spend.
Darragh McDonald
12:01
This is true in a sense. There's always a price for going for it.
But you have to go for it at some point, right?
12:02
In my opinion, the Padres have been a pretty fun team to watch in recent years. You could argue that it would be wiser for them to operate like the Rays or something, but I think this way is exciting.
Jeff
12:04
Do you think the Friars give any thought to moving Tatis next season and using the money for Soto?
Darragh McDonald
12:05
I don't think so, no. He's still owed over 300 million over the next decade-plus and has turned himself into a giant question mark.
12:06
I don't think any team takes that risk off their hands without some incentive. I think the Padres have to hold and hope he returns to his pre-2022 form.
Geoff
12:06
With Tatis set to come back mid-April, do you believe this will be a "do as your told" situation with where they have him play? Obviously he prefers SS, but after the events of last season (accident, suspension) it feels like his decision-making or preferences will not be taken into consideration as they would have in years past, at least until he proves himself and builds back the trust that was lost.
Darragh McDonald
12:07
This is an excellent point but he's also under contract through 2034. So, they have to think about his happiness and comfort to some degree.
12:08
Ideally, Tatis will be looking to rebuild relationships and his reputation, therefore being more amenable to different plans. But that will depend on him.
AJ Preller
12:08
Will I get traded this offseason?
Darragh McDonald
12:09
Haha. What kind of return would Preller get for trading himself?
Guest
12:09
Who’s on first next year?
Darragh McDonald
12:10
There was a report suggesting that their Plan A is reinstating Tatis at short, moving Kim to second and Cronenworth to first.
But there's enough versatility there that they could pivot based on who's available to them this winter.
Steve Garvey's Arm Hair
12:11
What are the chances Snell gets his stuff together and dominates again, or are we just going to left with what we have now?
Darragh McDonald
12:12
He's still really good. 32% strikeout rate in 2022 and 3.38 ERA.
Chris
12:12
Will/should Profar and Martinez opt out?
Darragh McDonald
12:12
I think Profar should, yeah.
Martinez, we on the MLBTR staff keep debating this.
12:14
He'll be leaving about 3/18 on the table. He might not get that right away, but he could possibly get around 2/16 or something.
As long as he's decent enough to get another contract after that, he'd end up ahead.
And he supposedly wants a starting job. So, I think he'll opt out, but we'll see.
Trades?
12:14
Will Padres make any significant trade in 2023? With their state of their farm system, I assume their addition will be done via free agency and a quiet trade deadline. Am I missing something here?
Darragh McDonald
12:15
I think your logic is fairly sound.
They've traded away a lot of young talent and probably want to pump the brakes on that a bit. You never know with Preller though.
Chris
12:16
Are any of the Padres pending free agents worth offering a QO?
Darragh McDonald
12:16
Clevinger and Manaea are both fairly borderline, but that also means there's a chance they accept. So, the Padres should only offer a QO if they actually want the player to say yes.
Craig D.
12:18
Could you see a scenario where the Padres + Tatis parting ways via trade? Tatis has full no trade, but maybe he approves trade to enable a rebuild of image in a new city. Padres could use it as opportunity to add young MLB ready pieces: OF, 1B, SP, etc. Also could allow them to sign Soto long term. Any potential trade partners that would line up? What would be realistic return for Tatis? Padres
Darragh McDonald
12:18
This is another excellent point I forgot to mention earlier.
The no-trade clause really makes things complicated because Tatis would have to be approve whatever plan the club comes up with.
However, in 2029, it gets reduced to just a 10-team no-trade clause.
12:19
I think they have to live with him until then at least.
Bambat
12:19
Does Manny opt out after next season?
Darragh McDonald
12:19
If he has another MVP-level year, sure.
12:20
He'll be 31 and looking to beat 5/160.
12:21
It's sort of similar to the Arenado situation this year, in a sense. Arenado should have opted out from a pure financial point of view, but decided to stay where he was happy and will still be paid handsomely.
12:22
The same could potentially apply to Machado. But from a financial point of view, it would make sense to opt out.
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