JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

2:23

Hello everyone! I'm late, but I have a pretty good reason: Fireside Chat w/Nick Pollack discussing Luis Castillo will be out later today!

2:24

Or maybe tomorrow. Not sure, but very soon!

2:24

paul,

Paul Sporer

2:24

JT!

Airwhite54

2:24

Hello sir. My league only has 1 catcher rosters and I have Realmuto as well as Posey. Would you trade Posey for Maeda?

Paul Sporer

2:24

Yes, I would. That's a very nice deal. We mention Maeda on the aforementioned Fireside and both came away positively on him long-term

2:26

Paul, in a 12 team roto league with OBP instead of Avg, which OF do you prefer: Robbie Grossman or Tommy Pham?

Paul Sporer

2:27

I gotta go Grossman in an OBP league, especially with him running quite a bit (7 SBs)

John

2:27

Josh Naylor, you buying?

Paul Sporer

2:28

Yes, actually talked about him on my Twitch stream in spring as a longshot 30 HR candidate. Like his game a good bit!

Harris

2:28

Bader, ROS projections? Is he fixed?

Paul Sporer

2:31

Super encouraged by the K% improvements. Hard to say "fixed" as it's not like he's been a high level offensively for a full season, but I like what's going on right now

2:31

Dunning or Smyly?

Paul Sporer

2:31

Dunning for me

Chris

2:31

What Tigers would you rather have: Goodrum or Castro?

Paul Sporer

2:32

Gimme Niko. I don't think Willi Castro is this bad but I'll take the HR/SB of Niko

Buddy Cee

2:32

Hi there! What to do about Chris Paddack in redraft leagues? He seems really inconsistent, but his trade value doesn’t seem great. Sell-low candidate?

Paul Sporer

2:33

I feel like his draft price was low enough to accept this kind of volatility. A two-pitch arsenal breeds that volatility, but I can still see a sub-4.00 ERA with a K per IP.

Henry

2:34

Should we start to be pretty worried about DeGrom's health?

Paul Sporer

2:34

No more than the normal pitcher health concerns as far as I'm concerned

Lou Brown

2:34

What are your ROS expectations for Nico Horner? OBP league. Considering him for the bench spot now occupied by the injured Ian Happ. Also considering Pravin Smith, for that spot. Or handing on with Happ and dropping Austen Hayes. Thanks in advance.

Paul Sporer

2:36

With it being a short IL stint for Nico - expected back this week - I'd stick with him as long as your power is set elsewhere on the roster as he's a big negative there

Alex

2:36

Hi Paul, ride with Hicks in points or hop on with Mullins?

Paul Sporer

2:36

Definitely Mullins! Surprised he's still out there (unless you just mean bringing him up from your bench)

David

2:37

Where are we at with Grandal?

Paul Sporer

2:39

I'm riding it out, even in 1 C leagues. He's toting a .116 BABIP and there's just no way that will maintain. He's barreling the hell outta the ball and I think he's still a top 5 C by season's end. Easy buy for me if someone is selling, too, bc I think there will be a real discount there

Casey K's 'em

2:39

Are the Casey Mize K's coming? If so, when?

Paul Sporer

2:41

Probably in a year or two, but not as a K stud. I still see his peak profile as peak Jordan Zimmermann which might make you think negatively, but that's bc we're stuck on recent JZ. At his peak, he was a ratios and volume stud who countered his modest K% by averaging 194 IP per yr from 2011-15

2:41

Ynoa. He going to keep this up, or is this a good time to try and sell high?

Paul Sporer

2:42

I think it's ok to check the market and see where people are at with him, but if the returns are modest then just ride it out. There's a Lamet-lite vibe here where he's leveraging a 2-pitch arsenal to great effect. He's not this good, but I still see a high-3.00s/low-4.00s ERA the rest of the way

Master B.

2:43

Hey, Paul, I love your stuff!

I have the following players in my perpetual dynasty league:

C. Kelly, D. Varsho, C. Bellinger, A. Kirilloff, T. Casas, G. Lux, V. Brujan, A. Bohm, K. Hayes, S. Torkelson, B. Bichette, W. Franco, A. Martin (M), J. Groshans (M), J. Soto, A. Verdugo, M. Conforto, J. Rodriguez (M), G. Mitchell (M), Y. Alvarez, Y. Moncada, F. Peralta, J. Berrios, J. Luzardo, L. Patino, A. Manoah (M), DL Hall (M) , K. Graveman, J. Karinchak, E. Clase

How stoked should be I be about the next few years?!

Paul Sporer

2:43

I usually don't pick questions that are basically just a flex, but you were so nice in the first line :) But yeah, this is fire and you're set up very well!

More Cheese On My Whopper?

2:43

Freddy Peralta Top 15 Pitcher?

Paul Sporer

2:45

That's too aggressive. Another two-pitch guy who I really like, but definitely don't see a sub-3.00 ERA holding. He's throwing some of his best baseball right now, but this is the peak, not a new normal. Top 30 SP for sure, but I can't go Top 15.

Robert

2:45

Dynasty league rebuilder: walsh a good sell high candidate? I also just moved Trevor Rogers for gleyber torres. Good move?

Paul Sporer

2:46

I think Walsh will net some big time attention so definitely float him out there and see if you can make tangible improvements. I love Rogers, but that's a very sharp trade to get Gleyber!

Don Von Handburger

2:46

Will Triston McKenzie go deep enough into games to get any W's?

Paul Sporer

2:46

It'll be a challenge in the short-term

The Gardner

2:46

Whatever advice you gave Kyle Gibson last time he mowed your lawn, thank you!

Paul Sporer

2:46

Had to help him out, show him some grips, and smooth out his mechanics! He was really grateful!