JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

12:45

Welcome to the chat, y'all! Thank you for coming out!!

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:45

Paul who's your dream pick for the Tigers @ 3?

Paul Sporer

12:46

Any of the SS, tbh. I love Leiter and Rocker, but I just really want the Tigers to take a foundational hitter

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:46

Jram has been and still is the more valuable asset, but in a long term keeper context, would you view Bregman as the safer option, as his value is less tied to SBs? I have both and will be approaching a point where I may have to decide between the two this winter, am I overthinking it?

Paul Sporer

12:47

I think you might be overthinking it a bit. I really think Ramirez will age well, too, even w/a big SB component in his game

bg119

12:48

Is Austin Gomber a must-start?

Paul Sporer

12:50

I wouldn't say that. I know he had an excellent start v. SD in Coors, but I still don't trust that park at all. Team streamer for sure

Mustin Jason

12:50

Brendan Rodgers is having a pretty good June. Any chance he is becoming a viable MI option?

Paul Sporer

12:50

For sure. Talented prospect who could get a shot if he stays healthy

Jeff

12:50

Paul, how would you rank the 5 White Sox starters ? I have Rodon, Lynn, Cease, Keuchel, Giolito, but people say I'm nuts to have Giolito 5th

Paul Sporer

12:51

You are, there's just no logical defense to putting Keuchel over Giolito. It doesn't track at all.

Guest

12:51

What is Mullins long-term outlook? Top 20 OF or is that too aggressive?

Paul Sporer

12:53

I'm not ready to go that high as an expectation. He's been excellent, but we need more before we start looking at him in that high of esteem

Mann Matting

12:53

Give me your Matt Manning BOLD prediction as a hyped DET fan!

Paul Sporer

12:54

Boldest I could go would be like 6 scoreless with 8-10 Ks. Obviously that hideous 3.1 HR/9 in AAA stands out, but his core skills were still strong so if he gets the HRs in check, he can be good on arrival

Guest

12:54

Andrew Vaughn has been pretty disappointing so far. Do you think he was rushed? How do you think this affects his value going forward?

Paul Sporer

12:57

I find it odd how quickly we turn to "were they rushed" after aggressively pushing for teams to call guys up. I can't speak for you directly, obviously, but I see this phenomenon on Twitter regularly where ppl will talk out of both sides of their mouth a bit. It's hard to play in the majors. I think the real issue is expectation-setting. We as the fantasy baseball community put way too high of expectations on these guys so when they fall short, there is a sharp overreaction. He's been essentially average and it doesn't really concern me about his future. I'd buy everywhere, even in redraft leagues bc the price has dropped

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:57

I've been seeing people saying that Trevor Rodgers is a good sell high, due to an upcoming innings restriction in the 2nd half. Any merit to that?

Paul Sporer

12:58

I doubt he goes 200, so sure to that end there is. Honestly, there are no uniform rules for things like this. If you can sell high to improve your team, it makes sense. But if you have some of the injured superstar arms and Rogers is picking up that slack by being an ace himself, trading him doesn't make sense

Houzer

12:58

Is a Matthew Boyd for Drew Waters trade at all possible .. pending nothing substantial is wrong with Boyd?

Paul Sporer

12:59

I feel like that's reasonable, especially with another year of control for Boyd

Houzer

12:59

RE: Lawler as your Tigers pick. Would you rather see them draft Lawler, or sign Seager and draft Leiter?

Paul Sporer

1:00

Pick Lawler and sign Correa/Seager/Story. They can move to 3B by the time Lawler is ready.

Eric

1:00

Olson has cut his K% from around 25% each year to a bit under 17% this year. How much of that do you think is sustainable?

Paul Sporer

1:01

I've been on the Olson is a Superstar train for a bit so I'm bought in. I don't want to get caught up totally in confirmation bias and I don't think the 17% mark is his new level, but I believe he can live in the low-20%s and with his power, that makes him great because he can pair a strong AVG w/the HRs.

Marinating

1:01

Should I drop Kelenic in a 10 teamer?

Paul Sporer

1:01

Probably, yeah

Dave

1:01

Better IL stash for ROS: Strasburg (currently on my roster... ugh), Kluber, or Carrasco?

Paul Sporer

1:02

Probably Kluber, though none are particularly strong IMO as Kluber has a 6-week timetable at best and the others have no timetable at all right now

FancyGraphs

1:03

Why do you need the wOBA Scale? If you have all the Constants for each event and go through the formula, the answer is always similar to OBP anyway so I don't know where the Scale comes in, because I though the Scale was to get the number like OBP, similar to FIP and the FIP Constant. And piggybacking off of that, if you have all the Constants and the wOBA of a season, can you find the Scale with just that information? Is there a formula to find the wOBA Scale?

Paul Sporer

1:03

Don't want to ignore your Qs (saw the first one, too), but I don't have the ability to capably answer them so I'd have to direct you elsewhere. I think Jeff Zimmerman is well versed in that avenue and could impart some wisdom there

Sean

1:03

We cutting bait with Nick Solak? He's been awful for about a month and a half after a solid first month.

Paul Sporer

1:05

I know not all chatters are pod listeners just as all pod listeners aren't chatters, so I'll just make mention that Solak was featured in our first edition of Hold-or-Fold yesterday: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-942-sp-...

ScottTINSTAAPP

1:05

Having a hitter crunch in the Main with some red suitcases finally going away....with Laureano and Schwarber locked into OF, who would your first drop from Harold Ramirez, Trevor Larnach, Alex Kirilloff, Austin Hays, Christian Walker, Paul DeJong, Starlin Castro or Brandon Nimmo (going on rehab soon apparently) be?

Paul Sporer

1:09

Probably Walker. Pavin Smith is squeezing him paired w/the fact that he's been awful.

Sorry for the delay - had to use the restroom and get some water

Sum

1:09

I'm sitting Snell tonight @ COL (but started Gomber at home last time out). defensible? you in or out on Snell tonight?

Paul Sporer

1:11

No chance I'd have started Gomber so credit to y'all that took the risk and hit. I believe in Snell on the whole, but I understand leaving the table a winner after your Coors gamble instead of doubling down. The consistent walks could be particularly problematic in Coors

Sad, Confused Marlins Fan

1:11

my fantasy chat currently has a "David Fletcher doesnt have a barrel" watch and honestly its unreal.

Paul Sporer

1:11

It's wildddddd

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