JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:13

Hello everyone! Thanks for coming out, let's chat!

Greg

1:13

Why has Blake Snell been so bad this year?

Paul Sporer

1:14

His command has been particularly problematic and a .329 BABIP is exacerbating the issues

Kole Calhoun

1:14

What's my value ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Decent power OF worthy of consideration in 12+ teamers with 5 OF

Greg

1:15

Do you regret putting Vlad at #14 in your 1B rankings (behind absolute studs like Dom Smith, Alec Bohm, Moose)? You said "Not out on potential studification, but why buy this high on pure spec at a position like 1B?" Seems like everyone forgot that Vlad is only 22 is players improve.

Paul Sporer

1:16

Easy to say now when no one has any clue what you thought of him back in March, but no... no one forgot that. I thought paying that premium on the come at 1B in particular was risky. I ended with him 7th at 1B on my Patreon rankings before the season which was still low, but I realized he needed to be boosted.

Jerry

1:17

What is your take on Wander Franco so far? Following in the footsteps of other rookie phenom hitters called up so far, or about to figure things out?

Paul Sporer

1:18

Tiny sample hasn't really shown anything one way or the other yet. .150 BABIP is holding things back but the core skills have been great (16% K and BB) so I don't think we're in the Kelenic zone right now

Josh

1:18

Trevor Larnch/Wilmer Flores, Bobby Bradley ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:20

I'm a big Larnach fan and he's still batting 3rd/4th even with Kepler back. It would've been interesting to see what they did with him and Kiri had Buxton also stayed healthy, but for now he has locked in PT and is my fave. I really like Bradley's upside, too, so he's close as well

Richard

1:20

Hi Paul, do you prefer Larnach or Kepler ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:20

Larny!

Guest

1:20

Do you think Lux is going to show any more power or speed? Or do you think his skills may not translate as well to fantasy?

Paul Sporer

1:22

It's still super early to make too many sweeping judgments about him. He's still at just 417 MLB PA. I still like him quite a bit and would buy in keeper/dynasty formats for sure. I can understand not loving his ROS in redrafts, but long-term, upside is high

Lamont Wade

1:22

I am sticking around, what’s my upside/value?

Paul Sporer

1:23

Seems pretty high with pop and some speed atop a quality lineup. Good plate skills, hits the ball well, Strikes me as a full season 25 HR/10 SB kind of guy

Nic

1:23

Who would you hold ROS — Kelenic or Longoria?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Still going Kelenic if I can only choose one. He's not hurt and he's instantly gone back to raking in AAA

Jerry

1:24

Is Mackenzie Gore a bust?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Waaaaaaaaaaaaay too early for any of that

Trey

1:24

In a 10 team league with 2 IL spots and 3 bench. Trout, Canha, Civale, and Means all down. Would you recommend dropping anyone to free up some bench or just wait it out?

Paul Sporer

1:25

Has to depend on the rest of your team. If your lineup is holding up fine, then hang onto everyone, but as a need arises, you have to consider axing Civale or Means at some pt

David B.

1:26

How do i research to see what players are bad at hitting breaking pitches? With the substance crackdown & less revolutions/break, I think some hitters will really benefit (obviously). Im just trying to find who those would be. Thanks for all of your content!

Paul Sporer

1:26

A shorthand could be looking at Pitch Type performance for hitters and see the guys who are bad against breakers - https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y...

Innings Cap

1:27

Hello Paul. I'm in a Yahoo league that has a cap of 1500 innings for all pitchers for the year. According to the Yahoo projections, I am going to go over by about 150 innings if I stay at the rate I'm going. How would you approach this? Only start my best pitchers? Ignore it and just run out when I run out? Only start on days with multiple SPs in order to get the most points? Something else? Thanks.

Paul Sporer

1:28

I don't get too hung up on it. If the max you can get is 1500, it doesn't matter when they end (unless it's a h2h league or something then you need to make it to the finish line, but not in roto). Maybe don't stream or start mediocre starters if you're worried about losing some starts from your studs, but otherwise I'd just roll as is right now. Stuff will happen and your projection will fluctuate

Paul Mushrooms

1:28

Think Bradley is now the Phillies closer after Alvarado’s shaky start to his new role?

Paul Sporer

1:28

I don't think they have a set closer

Greg

1:28

Re: Snell - His xERA is 5.37 so I hope your BABIP point is not that he's been getting unlucky. SIERA is only 4.12 so that's a good sign but I think we have to admit to ourselves that he is going to be a 4.00+ ERA and 1.25 WHIP guy going forward - Agree?

Paul Sporer

1:28

No, I said it's exacerbating his BB issues. More hits dropping with more guys on base equals big trouble

Kate

1:28

Do you think Kim ever ends up with a starting role on SD? Or does he need a trade?

Paul Sporer

1:29

Too early to tell and he's pretty young. An injury could put him in a full role tomorrow let alone the future being wide open

Paul Mushrooms

1:30

I have 625 innings left to reach my cap. We use 3 SP, 2 RP, and 3 P spots daily, how many starters do you think I’ll need? I currently have Schzerer, Rodon, Wheeler, Framber, and Manoah in a shallow ten team league. Am I in good shape?

Paul Sporer

1:30

That's a good crew to roll with and a 10-teamer will have quality waiver options if you need to bridge any gaps

Guest

1:33

5x5 H2H Roto 14-teamer (OPS replaces Runs)

Should I trade Bassitt, Urquidy and Alvarado to buy low on Bellinger? Need an OF and have a ton of pitching, but not sure if you think Belli is questionable due to shoulder injury.

Paul Sporer

1:34

Belli is a bit questionable, but that's why there is a buy low opp. and I think this fits your team well, pull the trigger!

Jerry

1:35

How many 2nd half saves would Vlad have to get to be the MVP by the end of the year?

Paul Sporer

1:36

Quite a few, lol! He's been amazing, but I just don't see how the AL MVP is anyone but Ohtani. Nothingggg against Vlad, he's so so so good, but Ohtani isn't too far off when it comes to hitting while adding 60 great IP

Hawk

1:36

Hey Paul! Is now the time to grab Jarren Duran in a 12 tm H2H points dynasty league? Even with the Olympics likelihood? Or can I afford to wait?

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