JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:06

Welcome, everyone! Let's talk some baseball!

1:06

Hey Paul, looking to replace Grandal (like everyone else) in a 12tm 6x6. Sean Murphy and Max Stassi are both on the wire. They both have their pros and cons, but what say you for the next 4-6 weeks? Appreciate the help and the chat!

Paul Sporer

1:06

I love Stassi, I definitely prefer him here

Guest

1:07

Thoughts on Urquidy, who does not appear on your Patreon SP List?

Paul Sporer

1:09

I'm not really ranking injury guys until they return, but I'm still a huge fan. He's just an uncertainty right now

Rays

1:09

How do you feel about Luis Patino’s performance this far for the Rays?

Paul Sporer

1:11

The skills are there but the standard young arm volatility will add some risk. I do think he gets some real innings in the summer given the SP issues in Tampa Bay

Eric

1:11

It's Brujan time! Assuming he plays the rest of the season, what do you think his line looks like?

Paul Sporer

1:13

Something like 5-7 HR/12-14 SB

Adell

1:13

Instead of the trade question lol When do you feel a call up is warranted?

Paul Sporer

1:14

When he stops striking out 30% of the time in AAA

Matt L

1:14

Which Catcher do you prefer ROS in a 12 team 1 catcher league; Stassi, Haase, or Murphy?

Paul Sporer

1:14

You've listed them in my order with a strong preference for Stassi

Skip

1:14

Hi Paul, 12 tm 6x6 do you like Carlson for ROS or would you add Cron or Kirilloff for util spot?

Paul Sporer

1:15

I'm sticking with Carlson

Chantanella

1:15

Thanks for these chats, Paul!

Paul Sporer

1:15

You're quite welcome, I appreciate y'all coming out!

Tristan

1:16

Hey Paul, thanks for these chats! How would you the following guys ROS? QS, W/L, Ks, ERA league.Skubal, Manoah,

Paul Sporer

1:16

I gotta slot Manoah over my beloved Skubal (I'm a Tigres fan for those unaware). I like the development we've seen from both, but I think Manoah is a more complete arm at this juncture

Eric

1:16

Duvall is a top ___ OF this year and next?

Paul Sporer

1:17

Very hard to say next season so I'm gonna punt on that but I'll say at least top 40 ROS

Tristan

1:18

Hey Paul, thanks for doing these chats! How would you rank the following guys ROS? QS, W/L, K, ERA league. Skubal, Manoah, McClanahan, Sandoval, Zach Thompson, Gomber, Stripling

Paul Sporer

1:20

Oh sorry I didn't see you had more arms. Manoah, McClanahan, Skubal, Thompson, Sandoval, Stripling, Gomber

1:20

Who do you like for a struggling middle infield: Wilmer Flores, Nico Hoerner, JP Crawford?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Crawford or Flores for me

1:21

Do you think Semien can sustain these numbers in the second half? I need to bolster pitching (12tm 6x6) and think he could be a good sell high candidate. Something like Semien/mid-tier pitcher X for Charlie Morton/Luke Voit (two bounce back candidates)

Paul Sporer

1:22

Maybe not the exact rates, but I believe in him as a star player, yes

Zee

1:22

Is Gleyber broken? ROS of season expectations?

Paul Sporer

1:24

It's not great and it's hard to find a ton of upside right now. I'd shave the projections down a bit and work off that - https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gleyber-torres/16997/stats?position=...

Conforto

1:24

How are you feeling about Conforto’s performance thus far?

Paul Sporer

1:25

It hasn't been great, but the core skills are still fine and a low BABIP should regress back toward his standard.

Steve Trout

1:25

I have an opportunity to garner Juan Soto in my keeper salary cap league for a very affordable price. I read an interesting write up about his struggles on Fangraphs (as a subscriber!). What do we know about GB rates and how they fluctuate over time? Also, he's not pulling the ball as much...lingering shoulder issues from the Spring? Thanks.

Paul Sporer

1:27

I could see the shoulder still carrying over a little, but I'm 100000% interested in buying low on Soto in a keeper league. I wouldn't hesistate.

Kate

1:28

How rare is it to see a big command jump in one year (maybe this year is actually two because of the pandemic)? Thinking a guy like Muller who Eric had rated as like a 35 command guy coming into the season.

Paul Sporer

1:29

It's not impossible. I think both Muller and Thompson have shown some better command than what they were rated with, but we haven't hit the point in their samples to say it's 100% legit yet. I'm buying on both right now bc the upside is substantial but I know there's risk w/both related to that command

Steve Trout

1:29

Following around on Skubal...the hard hit metrics and xERA and xFIP are not loving him. Thoughts?

Paul Sporer

1:34

He has improved within the season: 2.8 HR/9 in the first 9 starts; 1.0 in the 8 starts since (w/60 Ks in 44.7 IP) so we've seen some development. I haven't fully investigated the differences in the samples, but I'm going to put in on my To Do list and include it in the next On the Radar (out tomorrow!)

Kate

1:34

Do you see anything legit growth from Pivetta that points to a sustainable uptick in production? Or is he always going to be kind of a cherry bomb to use one of Nick Pollack's terms?

Paul Sporer

1:36

I think cherry bomb remains applicable but at least he has cut the frequency of the bombs, but if you look at his last two bombs, they included 3 and 4 HRs. He isn't fully past his HR issues which will still make him a risk

Derek

1:36

In a roto keeper league, would you trade Corey Seager for Freddie Freeman? I am in first place but need to move in RBI. I have Tatis and Chris Taylor at ss and have been stringing together Carlos Santana and Colin Moran at 1b... Keeper costs are irrelevant

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