JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:14

Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

Dave

1:14

Too soon predictions (especially considering today's IL move) for where Rodon and Ray will open next year in your SP rankings?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Yeah, I really need to final 2 months for both to have a good feel of where I'm at. Rodon had to get some time off so this IL stint makes sense, epsec. when they have a ready made stud to fill in with Kopech.

Dave

1:14

I know you're usually not into guys returning from TJ (at least immediately), but what are your ROS expectations for Sale? The reports from his rehab starts have been glowing...

Paul Sporer

1:16

I primarily eschew drafting them, but once back I start to give them more attention. Sale has no doubt looked sharp in his rehab outings. Usually my issue w/TJ returners for fantasy is that they will almost certainly hit a wall in a couple starts out of nowhere so the duds can outweigh the 2-3 gems and really hurt their numbers. Sale certainly looks ready to roll, though, and if you have him, you should be starting him once back

Martin

1:16

Keeper league question: Is one year of 26 yr old Bieber better than three of 30 yr old Gausman? 16 tm h2h 6x6 league with quality starts instead of wins. Other three keepers (you can keep four) are all hitters. No cost associated with either.

Paul Sporer

1:17

While I'm generally not super psyched to keep SPs long-term bc they love to break, I think I'd take the 3 years of Gausman here, especially in a league so deep

Tom

1:19

Who do you prefer ROS: DeJong or Luis Garcia (Nats)?

Paul Sporer

1:21

I think I'd lean DeJong but they are close

Scuffy Mcgee

1:21

Why haven't we seen Jose Barrero up for cincy. He's mashed in both Double A and Triple A

Paul Sporer

1:23

That's a good question. Y'all may remember him as a Jose Garcia who got a call last year despite having not played past High-A. He changed his name to honor his mom IIRC. He's been insane at AA (132 wRC+) and AAA (145). I wonder if Kyle Farmer's surge kept him down a bit longer, but they could definitely use him once Farmer comes back to earth

Sum

1:23

technical/etymology question to educate my fantasy content consumption: is there a typical difference implied by "dynasty" vs. "keeper" leagues? does dynasty imply a deeper league (more guys further from reaching the majors)? do dynasty leagues typically feature no price inflation while keeper leagues do? seems like dynasty leagues are by definition keeper leagues - so wondering if there's a difference. thanks!

Paul Sporer

1:24

Dynasty leagues imply keeping a lot more players, often the majority - if not all - of your team. Whereas a keeper league is a handful of players, usually ranging 2-10 players depending on the setup

Jerry

1:25

Hola Paul-What's your keeper forever league FAAB strategy ROS for teams out of contention (DEEP minors)? Got about 20% of FAAB left that I'd prefer not to let sit unused.

Paul Sporer

1:26

Deep minors meaning the big prospects aren't available? If that's the case, I'd speculate on some AAA guys who are fringe prospects or not even prospects but could make an impact very soon. Try to find the next Lamont Wade Jr. type player

Scuffy Mcgee

1:26

You buy Lamonte Wade Jr to keep producing/playing. Lot of competition for ABs in SF

Paul Sporer

1:26

OK I planned that...

1:28

Re: Wade's PT, it is getting tight, but he keeps performing so even as guys return, he is going to continue to play. He is still playing daily even w/Belt back and I think Alex Dickerson is more at risk than Wade if things get tighter. The fact that they're leading off Wade tells me they're in on him

Jefferson

1:28

Are you all-in with Luis Robert healthy and playing again? Or is it still wait and see for next year?

Paul Sporer

1:28

If I've got him, he's going right into my lineup

Guest

1:28

Asked a few months ago if you thought Mullins could be a top 20 OF going forward and you said no. Wondering if you've changed your opinion on that? Not expecting him to be this good next year, but seems like 15/15 with a decent average should be doable.

Paul Sporer

1:30

LOL yep, I was skeptical of an out of nowhere OF maintaining top 20 status all year. Crazy, I know... I'm just not sure I understand the idea behind trying to call me out for that. He's obviously stayed great, so you aren't really asking if my opinion changed so much as you're looking to embarrass me. I'm not embarrassed, I'll always be skeptical of someone coming out of nowhere to have a superstar season. Change it to Adolis Garica, who I was even more skeptical of and look where we are at

Dave

1:31

Bellinger takes have been flying hot and fast the last couple days... what's your medium-term opinion? Are you as pessimistic as Szymborski?

Paul Sporer

1:32

Maybe I'm a sucker, but I buy the shoulder issue. I just can't see how that isn't the primary reason for the epic fall off.

Mike Trout is Thirty

1:32

Any hope of Trout coming back this year =(

Paul Sporer

1:32

Some, but it's getting dimmer by the day

1:32

Cristian Javier have any roto value down the stretch?

Paul Sporer

1:32

I still firmly believe he will trade spots w/Luis Garcia here soon. I just can't envision a scenario where Garcia is allowed to start the entire rest of the way given his IP total

Eric

1:32

Spencer Howard worth keeping in 5x5 ottoneu? He's been quite terrible

Paul Sporer

1:33

No, he needn't be kept

halp

1:33

trade deadline came and went for me without being able to pull anything off. what do you do when you need to make up ground in one are (SB), but are killing it in others with no really droppable hitters? Pitching is tight too so I’m looking at dropping a bopper for SB. thanks!

Paul Sporer

1:34

The tough part is the lack of SBs on the wire so it's really hard to attack. Think your best bet is to troll AAA leaderboards and wait to pounce on those guys getting called up (Leody Taveras, the returns of Kyle Isbel/Vidal Brujan, etc...)

1:34

please rank ROS: Josiah Gray, Daniel Lynch, Shane Baz

Paul Sporer

1:35

You just did... can't rank Baz above either of the two already in the majors, espec. bc there's a strong shot he'll be in the pen upon arrival this year

Scuffy Mcgee

1:35

Yoan moncada has seen his power evaporate, he's not running at all either. Is he droppable in standard leagues?

Paul Sporer

1:36

Yes, we discussed that exact thing recently: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-965-was...

KCBbq

1:36

You think Toro has done enough yet for a ful time gig next year? What are your expectations?

Paul Sporer

1:37

Oh ya, I think he is absolutely part of their full time plans for '22

Guest

1:37

Cooper Criswell.. he looks legit?

Paul Sporer

1:38

He's been killing it, but most of his time this year was in AA and as a 24 yr old, he was pretty old for that level. Let's see how he finishes in AAA

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