JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:41

Could see a big push. He doesn't cover football anymore so his head will be in baseball through the remainder of the season. Buy!

Ace

1:42

Is 2022 the year you guys all finally stop recommending we draft Nick Solak

Paul Sporer

1:44

I doubt it. He'll be muuuuch cheaper and still has a 15/10 full season pace despite hitting pretty poorly. A .276 BABIP did him zero favors. He went down to AAA and finally found his BABIP good fortune, posting a .426 in 22 games. The theme of the day seems to be 2B next year and the lack of premium talent there so as long as he has a job in spring, I'll be back in.

Jeff

1:44

Do you see the Adames breakout as real?

Paul Sporer

1:44

Big time. He said he truly couldn't see in TB and it totally checks out w/his home-road split as a Ray. He's a star!

Freddy Peralta

1:44

I know you said you don't list IL guys, but assuming I come off the IL this weekend, where would you slot me in at ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:44

Still top 20, but on the lower end bc I still worry about IP mgmt.

jack

1:45

hey! what do you think about starting rodon today? the rest should do him a bunch of good, and he can take any lineup when he's amped up and into it.

Paul Sporer

1:46

Yeah I'm putting him right back in even w/a great TOR lineup on tap

ScottTINSTAAPP

1:46

Stories in being too early, set the min pick for Cedric Mullins in 2019 Main Event to enjoy his season in MiLB and this year took the "never again" stance instead of "you owe me" and have 0 shares!

Paul Sporer

1:47

Daaaamn!!! That's so tough as he steals his 2nd base of the day and 24th of the year. I try to avoid the "never again" game unless it's multi-year failure and even then it has to be a higher end guy. Someone like Ced I'd have been inclined to stay bought in on since it was still v cheap to re-invest. I almost think Justin's case is worse, though. He is tabbed as THE Mullins guy in the industry and got him in a ton of spots... EXCEPT HIS MAIN EVENT LEAGUES!!!

Alex

1:48

Is this the year the Giants finally end their championship drought?

Paul Sporer

1:48

They're a quality team, but I do not see them as a WS favorite

Chilly

1:48

Thanks for the chat as always. Thoughts on ranger...his underlying looks solid, decent offense, recent qs....for ros?

Paul Sporer

1:50

You're welcome, thanks for coming out! I've been SUPER impressed w/Ranger Suarez. I was kinda blown away when they took their closer & made him a starter, but I also didn't know all that much about Ranger Suarez in the first place so the Phillies know their guys better than some dork in Texas. I'm just glad I didn't cut him where I had him as a closer bc now he's delivering solid IP as a starter and he's stretched out enough to garner wins regularly

Dave

1:50

So the Tigers won the Fister trade now, right? Who gets drafted higher in

Paddy

1:50

Vlad Gutierrez on a nice run but the underlying metrics are not great. Pitching over his head?

Dave

1:50

Who gets drafted higher in 2022-- Ray or Rodon?

Paul Sporer

1:50

I'll get to the Vlad Q in a moment, meant to post Dave's back-to-back, but the chat skipped on me

1:55

Folks probably owed Dombrowski an apology re: the Fister/Robbie Ray trade even before this year, but that's another story. I'd like to know where both Ray & Rodon will be next year since they are both FAs, but I think we really have to see the ROS and playoffs to know who will go first. Right now, Ray is definitely going first. He should be an AL Cy frontrunner (he and Lynn are so close... Lynn has a big ERA edge, but Ray has a big IP edge) and Rodon is coming off the IL (not that it's a major injury, but a draft today would def see Ray ahead). I'll have them close, but if you want me to commit right now, gotta go Ray over Rodon

As for Spider Neck:

2:00

Vlad Gutierrez started strong but it felt like a complete mirage. No out pitch, modest component numbers. Then he got hit up a bit and it was expected regression. He then went back to the "how is he doing this?" starts for 5 starts, but these last four are showing something more believable with a 27% K and 5% BB over his last 4. Of course, there's only one good opponent in that time (ATL) as he's dominating PIT, CHC, and MIA. So it's probably schedule-influenced and I remain a bit skeptical on him overall. I still don't see a true out pitch but he needs to be rostered and mostly started against non-elite opponents

JuanGoato

2:00

Any chance your boy akil gets ROY?

Paul Sporer

2:01

The IL time missed dents him pretty badly. He'll need a HUGE September to get there, but damn he's been fun and his transformation at the dish has been really cool to watch

Gavin Gavin

2:01

Looking for a final OF for the playoffs--rosters lock. H2H points--do you like Naquin, Renfroe, Enrique Hernandez, Brandon Marsh, or Connor Joe the rest of the way?

Paul Sporer

2:06

I don't know the schedules off-hand so you gotta check those out and it'd take a good # of home gms to go w/Joe. Naquin's volatility worries me (and you can see what kinda lefty SPs are coming up on his schedule). I like Marsh long-term, but want more stability if I have to trust one guy for a month, so that's leading me to one of the Red Sox. I'll go Renfroe over Hernandez

ScottTINSTAAPP

2:07

Do you think Luis Gil and Aaron Ashby are holds in the Main? We are behind in saves and essentially punting, going with 8-9 SPs chasing wins. I worry it will be hard to know when they will be starting to trust them as part of our 9 P each week.

Paul Sporer

2:09

You highlight the reasons for concern w/them so I wouldn't hold both. I like Gil more if both had spots which they obviously don't so I actually see Ashby getting more shots since we know MIL is going to manage IP rest of way

Eric

2:09

Any similarity between Montas finally putting it together recently and Gausman last year?

Paul Sporer

2:11

Yeah, the similar arsenals and the effectiveness of their splitters driving so much of their success, and my unending adoration of both!

Guest

2:11

Do you think Mitch White stays in the rotation rest of season?

Paul Sporer

2:11

Is he called back up yet?

Mize

2:11

Is there any truth to the idea that large arsenal guys like Mize are slower to develop due to having more pitches to develop at once?

Paul Sporer

2:13

Has there been some research on this? I'm unfamiliar w/this concept. Plus, has he even been slow to develop? Took some lumps last year in 28 IP and now has a 3.55 ERA/1.16 WHIP in 129 IP. Ks are light, but I don't see a massive surge coming unless he makes stark changes. He just doesn't have a strikeout pitch or focuses more on efficiency and groundballs

Eric

2:13

Cal Quantrill at 40 suggests he is real. Is he the next Cleveland surprise?

Paul Sporer

2:13

I was pretty huge on Quantrill coming into the year due in large part of Cleveland's development of SPs so I'm buying

JuanGoato

2:13

Who is your favorite hitter to use in mlb the show? Pitcher?

Paul Sporer

2:14

Alfonso Soriano has been an absolute god for me. Verlander & deGrom are among my favorite SPs. Moving away from mega-diamonds, Mark Canha's live series silver is an AUTO draft for me in Battle Royale and Tejay Antone is a god in the bullpen in the same mode

JuanGoato

2:14

Is there any metric other than QS or W that one could use to measure starting pitcher performance for a league scoring system? They both seem very flawed.

Paul Sporer

2:15

Innings? The pushback has always been that ppl could stream IP easily but I mean if they are just rostering clowns who are bashing their ERA/WHIP, then their IP gains would be mitigated

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