JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

2:00

He's a tough read right now. I can't say I'm entirely unconcerned, though I still don't plan to just bury him. I certainly hope they aren't letting him grind through an injury, but the MLB skills have been hideous. I'l be interested to read the offseason beat on him. He will be a worthy $1 gamble next year

Rick

2:01

Got excited for a hot sec that Taveras would be a cheap source of SB. since then, he's stolen all of 0. one would think at the top of the line up tex would be encouraging him to run?

Paul Sporer

2:01

SBs remain virtually impossible to predict

2:02

Remember back when you'd post a hip hop link at the start of the chat? I miss that!!

Paul Sporer

2:03

Ever since Twitch started cracking down on copyrighted music, I'm out of the loop on new stuff. My stream is where I used to get all my music listening in. During the day, I have on MLB games when we have day games otherwise it's Twitch or YouTube. ACL (music festival here in Austin) is coming v soon so maybe I'll get back to listening to more music so I can share atop the chat

2:04

This is for HarryLime - good resource to plan ahead with SP's https://www.fantasypros.com/mlb/probable-pitchers.php?roster=&taken=&d...

SirFartsALot

2:04

Drop Houck for either Dick Mountain or Erick Fedde?

Paul Sporer

2:04

I could do it for Hill

Rich

2:04

Other than last night's mini-blowup, Drew Steckenrider has been really good lately, but his ERA estimators are all over the map: 2.11 actual ERA, 3.12 xERA, 3.18 FIP, 4.25 xFIP. Why such a big gap between his xFIP and the other ERA estimators? And what kind of numbers should we expect from him ROS?

Paul Sporer

2:07

I think it's bc he has a 6% HR/FB rate that xFIP neutralizes to more of a league average HR rate. That said, I think he's a solid middle reliever w/decent ratios, but not enough Ks to really be useful in anything but AL Only leagues

Kate

2:07

Do the Reds finally trade Nick Senzel this offseason? They've screwed with him so much, I'd love to see him get a fresh start somewhere.

Paul Sporer

2:08

Haven't his injury issues been a bigger issue than anything Cincy is doing? Hard to say if they'll trade him, but I do look forward to their offseason

Dr. Teeth

2:14

Sit Cobb v White Sox tomorrow, right?

Paul Sporer

2:15

Oh ya.. fresh off the IL? No shot

Kate

2:16

Do you think Alejandro Kirk gets enough PT next year to play his way into the top tier of catchers? Does his defense limit his PT? Or maybe he gets enough DH ABs to make up to it?

Paul Sporer

2:18

The bat will drive his PT even if the catching defense doesn't get any better

Plinko Dan

2:18

Cole Irvin @LAA as good of a stream as I think it'll be?

Paul Sporer

2:20

Ya, I know he had a little lull there, but I'd scoop him off the wire

billyjojimbob

2:20

who can save my playoff bacon offensively that may be sittin on the waiver wire in a 12 teamer?

Paul Sporer

2:20

I can't really guess who's on your wire. It'd be better to give some names and ask for insight on 'em

Rich

2:21

Steckenrider seems to be closing. He has four of the last six saves for the Mariners. Does that change the calculus?

Paul Sporer

2:23

Oh snap, I didn't realize he had overtaken the role. Yeah, obviously that makes him much more fantasy relevant. I'd hadn't really been on top of the SEA pen after I cut Castillo a little while ago. I thought the 3 were essentially splitting it. At any rate, yes Steck as closer is worth having. His xFIP doesn't worry me much bc I don't see his HR rate severely regressing

UKR

2:23

Bradley Zimmer has some really impressive max EV numbers this year, but does his ghastly K rate hold him back even in 15 teamers going forward?

Paul Sporer

2:26

It certainly puts a burden on his BABIP to maintain anything close to a useful AVG (his .236 isn't dreadful this yr given where AVGs are). Hopefully he can stay healthy and really find a rhythm

Glenn Spankman

2:27

@billyjojimbob - try Jesus Sanchez. Looks like a beast - a guy who can hit 460 ft bombs to center and 400 ft oppo bombs without being an excessive whiffer (85% Zone contact % and 13% SwStr)

Paul Sporer

2:28

Big Sanchez fan!

Dave

2:28

Derek Hill has seemed surprisingly... competent with the bat in Detroit this year. Not fantasy relevant, but fun!

Paul Sporer

2:29

Strong defense, too! He'll be 26 next year so there is still some potential upside. I'm hoping he can develop into a solid every day with double-double upside

Nick

2:32

Thanks for answering Paul!!

Paul Sporer

2:32

Happy to help!

I have to get going, but I'll be back next week! Thanks so much for coming out! Follow me on Twitter (@sporer), Twitch (sporer), and Instagram (p_sporer). I’ll be streaming on Twitch later today and you can definitely come by and ask questions about fantasy there. Have a good one, y’all!

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