JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:02

Hello everyone! The regular season finale of my weekly chat starts now!! (FYI, chats will continue in the offseason but there will be missed weeks here & there especially around holidays of course)

Noob

1:02

You think Trout's recent injury woes impacts his value at all?

Paul Sporer

1:03

He will go cheaper in the mocks that are happening now and in the coming month or two. I think it'll start to push back up as Spring starts and he looks healthy (assuming he does, of course)

Justin

1:04

Who are you picking for more saves through Sunday- steck or kittredge?

Paul Sporer

1:04

I'd pick Steck but we're prob talking about a save difference at this juncture

MLBTOPDX

1:05

Dipoto and the Mariners what a success, coupled with there very strong farm system don’t ya think writers should stop knocking them off? The Will Make the Playoffs jus watch

Paul Sporer

1:06

Paying attention to the data that often indicates success (namely run differential in the case of the Mariners) isn't attacking them. It's about being honest and trying to predict what will happen. They've stuck around all year and it'd be cool to see them in the playoffs, but it wasn't out of pocket to be honest about their chances. Or about the fact that the Graveman trade was a good decision even if the optics of WHEN it happened rubbed ppl the wrong way.

Ryan

1:06

Please recommend your 3 top <50% streamers for the weekend

Paul Sporer

1:07

Doing a daily SP chart! https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/sp-chart wouldn't want to guess at weekend starters at this pt anyway bc so much can change

Justin

1:09

are you rolling luis garcia out tonight vs TB if you are protecting ratios?

Paul Sporer

1:10

I'd prooobably still throw him, but if it's really dicey on your ratios, maybe it's an aces-only kinda deal

Justin

1:10

impossible to predict the rays ways but do you see mclanahan and/ or baz getting starts this weekend?

Paul Sporer

1:14

I'd be surprised if either got full on starts

MLBTOPDX

1:14

Didn’t Rub me the wrong way, it was brilliant. Toro was wasting in Houston. Again, stop writing them off. Sometimes numbers don’t mean shit in the thick of things. So some respect where it’s deserved and they Dam well deserve it. You all knock the 2007 Dbacks for making it that year. Seriously sometimes numbers don’t tell ya the whole story. The world isn’t all Relative

Paul Sporer

1:15

Yeah I just don't understand the complaint here, I guess. The numbers are the numbers. M's fans taking it personally doesn't change them

Chuck

1:19

Any guys going into next year looking good for a buy-low. I'm thinking Pablo Lopez, Chris Sale ...

Paul Sporer

1:20

Injury arms can be a ripe avenue for this. Throw in Thor & Verlander, too. These guys are especially buyable in early drafts. As the offseason wears on and their picture becomes clearer, they start to push up

Yants

1:20

Congrats on your Razz showing. How would you rate your fantasy season results on a 0-100 scale, 100 being an A+?

Paul Sporer

1:23

Thank you! Wish I could've brought it home, but 2nd feels good, too!! If I can finish off the Main Event win, I can't really say anything other than 100. But there's a lot of work to be done there:

Salty

1:23

Trying to battle it out in my HQ league for a free forecaster - will you be writing up a bunch of the player blurbs again next year?

Paul Sporer

1:23

I will! About to get started on those very soon, actually!

Salty

1:23

If you sign up for an NFBC ME league and find out that Phil D is in your league, can you ask for a refund?

Paul Sporer

1:24

That HAS to be in their terms and conditions, looool

MLBTOPDX

1:26

That Numbers don’t mean crap sometimes is the point. Life is all e=mc2 as in everything isn’t all relative in the numerology world. Plus if you look at Sept stats and base numbers off of that they would have em. Just because a negative run differential is unique doesn’t mean the numbers weren’t telling ya things. Like France and Toro and Bullpen. Flexen. Almost like a youthful Giants squad. Again the point is that Numbers can lie

Paul Sporer

1:28

I just don't understand what pt you're trying to make. The numbers didn't lie. They don't have emotions. They are what they are based on the inputs. Things run counter to the highest probability from the numbers alll the time. Seattle isn't unique in any way, shape, or form... they're also not in the playoffs yet

Justin

1:28

re: weekend starters and their uncertainty- are you just browsing beat writers in hopes of getting updates at any given time? hard to plan with a limited number of acquisitions left in a h2h match up

Paul Sporer

1:28

Yeah, just ear to ground trying to get as much useful info as possible & making our best guesses

Jung Bong Jovi

1:28

Hey Paul, thanks for all of your help this year. Playing for fifth place in my dynasty after taking home the title last year (boooo). Knocked off the #1 seed in the playoffs last week in my other league, so one title could still happen.

Enough of my rambling. Now get some pizza!

Paul Sporer

1:29

Thanks for the kind words. Glad you were able to find some upside in the 5th place finish. Take some lessons from it and back on the winning ways next year!

erk

1:29

Thoughts on Berrios sp ranking next year? Do you buy his improved consistency and slight improvement in results?

Paul Sporer

1:32

I've always been a big Berrios fan and felt like he could be more if the volatility was toned down. Only 2 starts over 4 ER this year has been huge (5 in '19, 7 in '18... 1 last yr, but it was 2 mos., nothing to be gleaned from the 2 month "season"). I'll be in on him next year as a strong #2 or a useful #1 if you wait a bit on SP

Stubby Clapp

1:32

Who knew that Jerry DiPoto attended your chats??

Paul Sporer

1:33

I'd actually feel like DiPoto wouldn't argue the playoff odds thing so vigorously. He likely understands what goes into them and what they're trying to say. I was an ardent defender of the Graveman deal, especially once the dust settled on the entire deadline.

chilly

1:33

Nick Gordons season stats project out to 12/30. U think he could realistically hit that over a full season? ev 91 and hard hit% looks great for a hitter w his profile.

Paul Sporer

1:37

Yes, I think so. Age-26 could bring a nice peak season for fantasy, espec. w/the speed. He should get full burn as a super-utility, too, as he can play IF and OF

Broken Bat

1:37

Who would rather have in 2022 for same salary, Detmers of Halos or Ashby of Brewers ir Houck of RedSox? Rank.

Paul Sporer

1:41

Ooh, interesting group. Houck-Detmers-Ashby off the top of my head with legit interest in all 3 espec. in deeper formats. I'm eager to deep-dive on these three and the many other arms in this tier of pitcher. This is where you can find major gems on the cheap

chilly

1:41

to me rasmussens peripherals make his performance this yr legit. do you see continued growth here next yr?

Paul Sporer

1:43

In fact, Rasmussen is probably in this group as well. The lack of reliable third pitch gives me some pause that he can expand beyond this 5-and-dive kinda role, but let's see if TB can help him cultivate a true third

freefall

1:43

is there a name for this free-falling feeling on this first day after final lineup choices? yesterday I had so many questions for you, today nothing matters anymore. thanks for you wisdom and camraderie through the season and may the results go your way in the days ahead.

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