JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Curtis

2:15

Using the 25 man roster from game 162, which "Mariner" will have the highest ADP next year?

Paul Sporer

2:16

Haniger & Kelenic will be v close IMO

2:16

Which Astros starter do you like most for next year?

Paul Sporer

2:18

I'm still an Urquidy superfan, buuuuttt we still haven't seen him fully cash in his SwStr% abilities into K% goodness so I'll slot McCullers just a bit higher. The big 4 - Urq, McCullers, Framberto, and Luis Garcia will be ranked close together. I'm still on Cristian Javier, too, even though he never regained a spot in the rotation in the 2H as I continued to project

Henry

2:18

Who do you think should be the #1 pick next year?

Paul Sporer

2:19

Trea Turner or Mookie Betts would likely be my pick at 1. Tatis, Ohtani, Soto are valid #1s, too. It's the most open it's been in a while at the top

2:19

heya Paul, within a 5x5 OBP context, who do you like to repeat or even exceed their 2021 production in 2022: Riley, Votto, Mullins, Reynolds? Thanks

Paul Sporer

2:21

Mullins, Riley, Reynolds, Votto.

Guest

2:21

Is daily fantasy more a game of skill or a game of chance?

Paul Sporer

2:22

In a single day, chance plays a huge role. Over the long haul, skill absolutely matters.

chilly

2:22

unless he goes to the best D team in the league, is kluber now a 4.50 era 4-5ip sp? i have a ton of keepers in the league i own him but i have the '22 option to promote ashby, sheets, brash in his spot. position is not a concern

Paul Sporer

2:22

Yes, he is. Hard to see him getting back to his premium level at this juncture. I love Ashby and think he can definitely break out next year

Kate

2:23

How do you think the Brewers handle Ashby in terms of usage next year?

Paul Sporer

2:23

A hybrid role wherein he starts as in the pen as a multi-IP guy and then gets a chance to start in the summer

the bazman

2:24

Assuming the rays let him be a 5-6ip per start guy, where will shane baz fall for you in starting pitcher ranks and what kind of full season numbers do you think he'll put up?

Paul Sporer

2:27

I will have an SP list out this month (ideally next week, but giving myself a bit of leeway) so I don't have a locked in notion on where I'll slot Baz, but top 60 feels right. I'd use McClanahan's '21 as a guide on Baz's 22. I see 120-140 IP w/big Ks and solid ratios

Guest

2:27

Jonathan India--potential to be a top-5 second baseman?

Paul Sporer

2:31

Frankly I'm surprised he wasn't this year. He slotted 11th despite a fantastic season. He could push up there, but I'd be sooo thrilled w/a '21 repeat

Kate

2:31

Are Benintendi's days as a base stealer over?

Paul Sporer

2:32

The 8-for-17 is roughhhh. KC lets players run, but they can't just let someone run wild at that kind of rate. He'll be 27 next yr and could definitely spike another low double-digit season, but I wouldn't bank on more than 5-6 in terms of projection

Don

2:32

Pop culture it is. I’m not sure about your taste, but if it aligns with Mulholland drive, in the mood for love, and/or lost in translation, any suggestions for after work?

Paul Sporer

2:37

I haven't seen In the Mood for Love, but like the other two. My movie consumption has been in theater of late, so if you're looking to stay home, I'll hit the viral recommendation w/Squid Game (which I myself just started).

Don

2:37

Maybe a band you like too? Or any music you like

Paul Sporer

2:41

I'm a big fan of hip hop and I just saw one of my favorites, Freddie Gibbs, at ACL this past weekend so I can't recommend him enough

Guest

2:41

Will Nick Senzel ever be fantasy relevant?

Paul Sporer

2:42

I meeeean I don't wanna say never because there's only downside in being that strident, but he has to show something at this pt before I'll buy in and if that makes me too late, then so be it

Kate

2:42

xStats kind of hated Arozarena this year. Any worries heading into next year?

Paul Sporer

2:52

No, I don't get too bogged down in the xStats stuff. I think we (the fantasy community) are too binary w/it where if it's not elite, it's bad. And there's also some overlap w/the stats but then ppl wanna cite all five or six of the overlapping stats as individual issues about the player. Arozarena still hit the ball pretty hard, has good enough plate skills, and seems motivated to be a 15-20 SB guy (no doubt wanted that 20 w/3 in the final wknd). There's upside for more bc he's still just 27 and finding his footing, but nothing in the low xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, and K% percentiles tell me there is big trouble.

Someguy

2:52

What do you think of Ranger Suarez for next season? Do you think he can manage to keep similar numbers over a full season, or is he more like 80-90% of that?

Paul Sporer

2:54

I want to investigate him more. I have a soft spot for these small sample studs at times and I've fallen into potholes w/it before so I'm gonna hold off on a definitive take before diving in on him. There is a lot to like, but it's 106 IP spread between starting & relief. No question the work he did was GOOD and backed by his skills, that's for sure, but that doesn't necessarily mean he can and will be that guy going forward and I think that's where we can make mistakes.

Four Square

2:55

Was 2021 the oft predicted beginning of the end for Nelson Crux? His .357 xwOBA is by far the lowest since 2015.

Paul Sporer

2:57

Really seemed to be isolated to his TB time and home at that (.603 OPS at the Trop). Did he have issues seeing clearly like Willy Adames or is it the start of his demise. I'm not ready to say the latter. Plus, he always runs cheap enough to give you leeway on his production. He doesn't have to stay great to be worth his pick usually. He can simply be solid.

Guest

2:57

You like Austin Riley or Tyler O'Neill better for 2022? Does it maybe come down to Riley's extra positional flexibility?

Paul Sporer

2:59

I think the speed gives it to O'Neill. There is still some high end volatility because of his plate skills being prone to slumps, but it's not enough to cancel out the double-digit speed upside.

Guest

3:01

What kind of odds could I have gotten before the season on S. Perez leading the league in HRs? (And is there anyone you'd consider drafting ahead of Perez at catcher in 2022?)

Paul Sporer

3:01

I can't even fathom the number, especially since Cs play less there odds would have to be higher

I'm not paying the Perez tax. I'd rather take Realmuto on a rebound, tbh

Deathclaw

3:01

You nailed the Tommy Edman SB prediction! If he can up his average a bit he would look a lot like Whit Merrifield.

Paul Sporer

3:02

And he has the skills to get there AVG-wise. Doesn't really K (14%), but a .291 BABIP definitely held him back. I wonder if that was an issue of his or simply some bad luck. At any rate, I remain a fan of his for '22

MFG1975

3:02

Andy Ibanez looked like freaking Wade Boggs in the box scores the last couple months. What to make of him for 2022?

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Sporer hosts a chat