JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat | 1/5/2022

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Guest

2:46

I have a slew of backend keeper options in my 5x5 with a 400 player universe (and 32 N/A prospects) and I am having trouble ranking them. Which 4-5 jump out the most to you?

Josh Rojas $6 (3yrs eligibility), Segura $7 (3yrs), Gleyber $10 (1yr), Baddoo $2 (3yrs), Matt Chapman $4 (1yr), Amed Rosario $1 (3yrs), Hampson $9 (3yrs), Kirk $3 (3yrs), McGee $14 (3yrs), Aguilar $15 (3yrs), Trevor Bauer $18 (1yr), Royce Lewis $1 (4yrs), Nolan Jones $3 (4yrs)

(I had asked that backend keeper question earlier...Aguilar is $15 not $10 - sorry!)

Paul Sporer

2:47

Baddoo, Chapman, Rosario, Kirk, Gleyber jump out. I want to like Rojas... I mean, I do like him, but I want to like him more in this list, yet I can't when I see Segura for just a dollar more. He's a better bet in that instance.

G Money

2:47

Is Suarez a top 25 starting pitcher?

Paul Sporer

2:47

Not for me - https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-2022-sp-rankings

2:48

Don't forget to bookmark our draft kit w/all the pertinent links for 2022 drafts including mine & Justin's rankings: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/2022-fangraphs-draft-kit/

Yoshida

2:48

Ariel said 2.5 weeks on twitter on January 3rd

Paul Sporer

2:48

re: ATC projections

Guest

2:48

Which ace SP's are you staying away from this year?

Paul Sporer

2:51

Ray is probably the only market ace that I'm not paying the price for. He's SP16 in the market and I have him down at SP25

BTW, I just realized I haven't added my SP rankings to that Draft Kit link so I'm here directing ppl to it for SP ranks that aren't even on there yet. I'm sorry, that's on me. Adding right now!

G Money

2:53

Where do you feel T Story will end up and if he leaves Col, can he still be a top 20 player?

Paul Sporer

2:56

I'd be really surprised if they re-sign him, but they seem to always do the unexpected (often on the stupid end) so maybe. As for his status as a potential Top 20 outside of Coors, it'll depend a ton on how much he runs in a new place and what kind of AVG he can sustain. Coors is great and definitely helps, but it doesn't make a player so I think his power output will be fine. Can he hit .260 plus and swipe 20+ bases in his new home?

AJ

2:56

Jared Walsh or Rhys Hoskins in 2022 year? Explain.

Paul Sporer

3:03

I'm a Walsh guy, but I did move Hoskins up from the 1B rankings you see on site (up to 14). I still have some concerns about Hoskins' health, but I realized after getting some pushback on the ranking that it's not quite as concerning as I originally believed

Zigs^

3:03

Surprised to hear you so down on conforto. Guy was a top 20 hitter as of a couple year ago and is still young headed to a better ballpark. Is there something I'm missing here? Seems like an injury season

Paul Sporer

3:09

When was he a top-20 hitter? 2019 was great, but I don't think he finished quite that high. He's 29 and we don't know where he's going yet. I'm just playing it a bit cautiously right now, but I'm not too far off the market (he's OF50 in early drafts)

Dave

3:11

Hypothetical: you can magically be friends with another MLB pitcher instead of Snell but you'd have to stop being friends with Snell - who (if anyone) would you pick?

Paul Sporer

3:12

I don't want to overstate our friendship, but Blake is the man. I wouldn't trade, not even for Verlander. Snell has been such a good dude that even in the hypothetical I can't move on lol

Zigs^

3:12

Why does everyone think soto has the closer job over Fulmer in DET? Fulmer finished the season with the job, has the skills, and the contract. You are the Detroit guy, what do you think?

Paul Sporer

3:12

Well Soto was named closer by Hinch

https://www.freep.com/story/sports/mlb/tigers/2021/10/05/detroit-tiger...

Messi

3:13

Expectations on Starling Marte? Killed it last year

Paul Sporer

3:16

More greatness! I doubt another 47 SBs are on the way, but I don't see a big fall off. He will remain a wonderful power-speed stud

Guest

3:16

Quick Outlook on Garrett Whitlock and Aaron Ashby? both look to possibly move to starters but with Whitlock there is a chance he stays in the Pen?

Paul Sporer

3:16

Gotta direct you to the pod where both are discussed in detail! https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-997...

Jon

3:17

Think teoscar has another level or have we seen his peak?

Paul Sporer

3:19

I missed on him bc I didn't wanna pay full price for 2-month season since there weren't any real profile changes. So of course he goes out this past yr and makes the 2-month run look legit with tangible profile changes en route to a brilliant year. I'd tab that as a the peak, though. He could plateau and hold this level, but I'd be surprised if there was another level still.

Bro Pat

3:19

In a keep 5 forever league, did I miss my window to trade Jacob deGrom for his highest value?

Paul Sporer

3:19

Definitely. He was obv still great last year, but being limited to 92 IP puts a big damper on him for many fantasy folks

Jacob Hernandez

3:20

Rank the chances at a closer spot next year: Treinen, D. Williams, or Loaisiga.

Paul Sporer

3:22

Their chances are in the order listed IMO. Treinen will close if they don't bring Jansen back, Dev will still be behind Hader, and Loaisiga is def behind Chapman and perhaps even behind Green

Analyst

3:22

Is there any chance FGs could create transcripts for Podcasts? Podcasts are of little value for the hearing impaired and those of us who don't have the time to listen.

Paul Sporer

3:23

You're not the first to ask and I've been meaning to look into this. It's on my to-do and I will see if there is a way we can get that done for the pods!

DFan

3:24

Bassitt at 64? Seems like he should be in the 30s. Is his low ranking due to his injury or other factors?

Guest

3:24

Reading the comments in response to your SP rankings, it seems the most common theme is "how dare you rank these players in a different order than they finished last year!" Does it drive you insane to have to deal with that?

Paul Sporer

3:28

DFan, I'm not trying to roast you, but these comments came in back-to-back and it was kinda perfect bc you're not the first to pushback on the Bassitt ranking and it is obviously influenced quite a bit by just how well he did last year. He was great and I like him, but do we really think a 33-yr old command and control profile who just hit his peak IP (157.3) is a good bet for a top 30-40 season this year? I could see another '19, but even that was only SP45

3:29

And re: the specific question about comments leaning so much on the previous, it doesn't drive me insane. I totally get it, but I do think we as a fantasy community lean waaaaay too hard on the most recent year for our analysis

Broken Bat

3:29

Trout, Buxton, Betts, Judge in a 4x4. You get one for 2 years. Rank them.

Paul Sporer

3:30

Betts, Trout, Judge, Buxton. I know the 4x4 could really help Buxton, but he's going against 3 dudes w/MVPs or at least MVP-caliber seasons so I'd def lean toward any one of them over him first

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