JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Juan Pierre, Hall of Famer

1:57

Hey Paul, appreciate the chat. I know you've addressed Semien/Seager moving to Texas and how it may hurt their value. Do you still think keeping Semien at $9 is the right play? 12tm roto 6x6. I would have to imagine that's worth the flyer, even if we can't expect a repeat of 2021 (alt. keepers would be Buehler $35, Burnes $34, Verdugo $7)

Paul Sporer

1:57

Oh ya, at $9 he's still an easy keeper for me. We can build in plenty of regression and still see him exceeding $9 without incident!

Who ya got...

1:59

Who'd you rather have in a 4x4 roto dynasty w/ ERA, WHIP, HR/9, K/9 - Peralta or Webb? Webb's lack of HRs is really appealing, but so are Peralta's Ks.

Paul Sporer

2:01

I lean Webb between the two, but those categories do make them close espec. bc it kinda undercuts Webb's perceived volume edge (not entirely as you still want MORE IP of those ratios). In a lg like that, they'd be closer than the 11th and 19th ranks I have for 'em right. Webb's my pick by a little!

Guest

2:01

Machado or Bregman?

Paul Sporer

2:07

Machado, but they're 5-6 for me at 3B as I am in on a Bregman rebound. But a Bregman rebound doesn't really include SBs whereas you can still get a handful from MM

Anonymous

2:08

if (NL DH=enabled)
then: (draft {shares=ALL} Dalton Varsho)

Any other catchers get a big fantasy-relevant boost in PA? Maybe someone deeper?

Paul Sporer

2:09

LOL! Even if not, I think he plays a ton in the outfield. Loooove non-catching catchers. I did my Roster Reviews and highlighted potential NL DH beneficiaries for each team - https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/2022-fangraphs-draft-kit/

Matt

2:09

Can Ian Happ put it together this year?

Paul Sporer

2:09

He cannnn. I'm hoping he DOES!

Marnell

2:09

Is Trevor Bauer playing this season? Any fantasy value if he is

Paul Sporer

2:10

Really no idea w/no news

Mark

2:10

I see a lot of other sites ranking prospects by position for dynasty purposes. These guys could get moved around to anywhere before they get regular playing time. Shouldn't I just be drafting the best bat or set of offensive skills?

Paul Sporer

2:11

Ya there's reason to not get too hung up on positions of prospects, especially younger ones. Now if they are already far down the defensive spectrum (like LF/1B) then that's not great, but as we all know, not every SS will reach the majors as such.

Rachel

2:11

Paul, I'm thinking of waiting on 1B this year. Your thoughts on waiting and drafting Schwindel and or Voit late? Thanks!

Paul Sporer

2:14

It can definitely be done! The idea if that you stack up elsewhere to get advantages there and then hopefully your bargain 1B pops off (looove Voit still) and then you aren't even really behind at 1B, but it's not risk-free, of course. Those incremental HRs from the top of end of 30+ HR guys v. you maybe only getting low-to-mid 20s do need to be made up. I think the calculation top finish upper third in HRs (which is the normal category target to project a league-winning team) is like 23 HR per hitting spot. That's a ton!! And if you're ONLY getting 23 at 1B, you're definitely going to have to make em up elsewhere

2:14

10 team head to head points League Paul. Who do you like most and why Paul? Bogarts, Lowe, K Marte, Correa. Lindor. Thank you.

Paul Sporer

2:15

Bogy and Lindor are my faves. Firm skills, they've reached elite heights, and they play. I know Lindor missed some time last yr and wasn't great when playing, but I think that's a transition year similar to Beltran's first w/the Mets and I see him getting back on track this year

Ryan

2:15

Would you take Shane McClanahan or Trevor Rogers over the next 5 years?

Paul Sporer

2:16

I see very little split between 'em skills wise that I'd likely lean on soft factors like team context but then even that's tough to project for 5 yrs. I go Rogers by a shredddd

Guest

2:17

Thoughts on Ian Anderson's projection for the season? Have him in my dynasty age and his value and age are great but I have no clue where his real HR/FB rate sits. He's good at limiting loud contact but his HR rates have fluctuated wildly between .5 to 1.2. Not sure if he's an ace in the making or a mid rotation guy

Paul Sporer

2:22

Anderson has stud potential to me. I'm not overly concerned about HRs even if at last year's 1.1 rate but he can develop to live somewhere under 1.0 while there is another level to strikeout ability, too. Anderson might only take a small step this year and then explode in 23, but either way, I like him at his market price this yr

2:27

OK y'all, I gotta get going! Thanks so much for coming out! Follow me on Twitter (@sporer), Twitch (sporer), and Instagram (p_sporer). I’ll be streaming on Twitch later this week (unless we lose power due to the pending snowstorm here in Texas) and you can definitely come by and ask questions about fantasy there. Have a good one, y’all!

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