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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:12

Welcome to my chat, pardon my tardiness!

Broseph

1:15

14-team OBP league that uses TB/BB instead of HRs:
Juan Soto (cost: $5, $10, $15 then FA) has been floated for my Luis Robert ($2, $5, $10, $15, then FA) and Eloy Jimenez ($2, $5, $10, $15, then FA). I'm torn but seems like a possibly great deal for the format.

Paul Sporer

1:16

Oooh that's a really interesting deal. I could definitely get down with going for Soto!

A Tribe Called Kipnis

1:18

After Bieber, in what order do you want to own the Cleveland starters Civale, McKenzie, Plesac, and Quantrill (in deep AL only leagues)?

Paul Sporer

1:20

https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-2022-sp-rankings

I love Civale, but also have interest in McKenzie and Quantrill. Keep a close eye on Cody Morris in deep leagues, too.

Michael

1:24

You buying Boston's Verdugo as a 2022 breakout candidate?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Yes I like that profile type built on hit tool and if his power can take even small step forward, he can be a fantasy beast!!!

Matt

1:24

Harrison Bader’s defense will keep in the lineup - thoughts on the chances he takes the step forward at the plate needed to become a superstar?

Paul Sporer

1:25

Love Bader this year. Made some huge strides in strikeout rate this year and if those are legit, I think he is a big breakout candidate

A Tribe Called Kipnis

1:25

Andres Gimenez or Amed Rosario?

Paul Sporer

1:31

I lean Rosario, but I have been researching Gimenez more and have come around a bit. I think they are closer to a toss up

A Tribe Called Kipnis

1:31

Man, catcher gets ugly quickly. Will Mitch Garver get 450 PA? If he can get enough DH time to get to 500-550 PA, how much does he move up the C rankings?

Paul Sporer

1:34

Projections already have him for 400 which I'd love, so 450 would be amazing. He'll get starts here and there at DH, but I doubt it'd be enough to push 500. I have him 10th and if I had the specific power needs, I could go as high as 8th over Ruiz and Kirk

Matt

1:34

Triston McKenzie is this year's pick to become top 15 SP, why am I wrong?

Paul Sporer

1:35

Health is the major reason you could be wrong. He has the talent to do it for sure

Matt

1:35

Do you play Mario Kart? If so, who’s your character?

Paul Sporer

1:35

I haven't in forever, but I was a Waluigi guy

Breezy

1:35

Who throws the most innings this year?: Liam Hendriks, Strasburg, Thor, Severino

Paul Sporer

1:37

That's really interesting! I'll go Thor, but I might just be a superfan of his

Dave Roberts

1:37

With the DH hopefully coming to NL, how do you see Dodgers using the DH spot? With Bellinger, Pollock, Turner, Smith, and an injured Muncy potentially, it seems a lot of players rotating in and out of DH, so not sure if it's worth bumping the values on any of these players due to potential DH spots. Are you bumping any of their values up due to DH?

Paul Sporer

1:38

Dodgers will 100% use it as a rotating spot. They already use most of the on-field spots as such so they will def use the DH as that

Matt

1:38

Which Rake Cronenworth is real: the beast from 2020 or the merely solid performer of 2021?

Paul Sporer

1:41

Here's the thing, he was the same player both years! Or essentially, at least. I mean 31 pts of OPS isn't insignificant, but he likely would've wound up closer to his '21 numbers if '20 was just 2 mos. I think it's easy enough to do a projection essentially in the middle of the two figures around .810-.815

felemen

1:41

Hi Paul, I saw your don't draft with Sal Perez; what's your breaking point for catcher (or any other position that's bad) value to draft? Like, when does it become more advantageous to draft a worse player at a scarce position instead of better players at other positions? Sorry that it's such a convoluted question

Paul Sporer

1:44

It's a great question, though can be tough to answer since it kinda all depends on how you're building. But in general, I aim to have a strong C1 (top 10) bc the dregs are sooo harmful. I think there's a bit of underrating of how much the awful catchers hurt you. And the edge you can have over the others teams with a pair of solid catchers can really help. I just don't think Sal is going to match '21 at all. He'll remain good and an advantage to have at C, but not a top 50 pick for me

Airwhite54

1:44

When will the season start in your opinion Sporer?

Paul Sporer

1:44

mid-April

(just a blind guess, I have no idea)

Guest

1:44

I'm in an obp points league and I can keep Mullins or Tyler O'Neill in the 18th round. I gotta keep Mullins, right? No contest?

Paul Sporer

1:45

I wouldn't say no contest despite my concerns on O'Neill regression, but I will indeed pick Mullins

bobloblaw

1:45

Carlson or ONeil?

Paul Sporer

1:47

I still have O'Neill a good bit higher than Carlson. I still love Carlson, though. I wonder if that 20 SBs in '19 were just a random spike or if he could bring some of his speed to the majors

Not that's he super fast or anything, but he could drop a low-double digit SB total IMO

Killa P

1:48

Who is more likely to put up a wrc+ of at least 110, Enrique Hernandez or DJ Lemahieu? Most projections like Hernandez better (except Steamer) but wondering your opinion

Paul Sporer

1:48

I would say DJLM. I think he will bounceback pretty well. Probably not completely on the power, though

How come I didn't know??

1:49

So I've been told in these chats that some stadiums play very differently (always comparatively to other stadiums; why else would a fantasy player care??) in April than they do come, say, July. So where is this monthly data? Anywhere on this site? Somewhere else? I've looked some, and never found it.

Paul Sporer

1:50

I haven't seen monthly stadium splits but it's heavily climate-related so it's more of a general offensive depression in colder weather places during Apr/May and then scoring explosion in summer

Guest

1:50

You have first pick in a 14 Team Roto Keeper league. You have T Anderson as SS already as 1or your 7 Keepers, do you pick Trea Turner 2B/SS or J Ramirez and get a reliable 3B?

Paul Sporer

1:50

Trea has been my 1.1 and I don't think Anderson changes that since I can still put Turner at 2B. Ramirez is a VERY viable 1.1, though

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