JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:43

I'm probably holding, but I'm asking pretty high if I sell. Like an Alek Manoah-level pitcher. I understand if someone doesn't want to pay, but I agree w/projections that he can be a 140 wRC+ from here on out with upper-teens HRs and some solid chip-in SBs (4-6).

Vince

1:43

Asked earlier ... Muncy killing me in 10-tm H2H category. Don't understand why LAD w all of their resources are still playing him, if still hurt from '21. Wong, Rodgers, Estrada on waiver wire. Thoughts?

Paul Sporer

1:45

He may end up with a solid line by season's end so I'm not victory lapping or whatever, but this is why I didn't just take him playing in Spring Training as he's 100% fine and ready to go. Guys can play sub-100%. Hell, I remember one player quoted years ago saying no one is still at 100% by like Tax Day (April 15th). It's not hurting the Dodgers to let him play and if they believe he's not worsening his condition and can possibly come outta this and get back on track, it's understandable why he's still playing. He is cuttable, tough. I'd take the guys in the order you listed

Kirkland

1:45

Dealt Kirk and Detmers for Myles Straw in AL OBP league. (Have Janssen and Heim at C). Ok deal?

Paul Sporer

1:45

It's fine. SBs are expensive, especially in only leagues and Kirk is almost a free asset for you w/the other 2 Cs

Jason

1:46

How patient should owners be with Javy Baez? Just dreadful right now

Paul Sporer

1:48

It's concerning. The worst of his traits are being exposed w/a career-low 36% fastballs and 30% sliders tying his career-high. There is some rebound here just as the BABIP regresses, but hte lack of well struck balls is particularly concerning. That ballpark doesn't help much, either. You know the risk of cutting him in a 10 is that he rebounds and you might regret cutting him, but that's just the nature of 10s. You'd still be cutting off a small sample, but if you're running out multiple major disappointments like this, I understand making the move. I'm open to cutting Baez in a 10

New arms

1:48

I know you've talked about these guys here and there, but could you rank Bradish/Faedo/Silseth/B.Zim?

Paul Sporer

1:55

Faedo is starting to miss bats and really show why he was a legit prospect before injuries kinda took over. I didn't Silseth at all coming into the season, but was duly impressed by the debut like most of us were. Beware of 1st start velo spike (97+), but there is still to be successful for Silseth for sure. Bradish getting waxed by NYY doesn't bother me too much espec. since the Trevino 3-R HR was pretty lame. BZimm is a finesse guy making the most of his secondaries since his fastball isn't good. I trust him the least because when projected forward, raw dominance builds the best margins for error. That's why velo is such a key indicator to overall success. I'd go Faedo/Silseth/Bradish/Zimm

MF Luder

1:55

Buy low on Max Muncy?

Paul Sporer

1:56

I would not... in case it wasn't clear from that last response re: Muncy (don't worry, I know you asked this before I answered this Q, just making sure my stance is clear)

Bandon Brelt

1:56

Will Ke'Bryan Hayes ever hit a HR again?

Paul Sporer

1:56

One day!

TBD

1:56

Has G. Torres shown you enough to gain back your confidence?

Paul Sporer

1:57

He's hitting the ball harder which is encouraging. It's still just 119 PA so it's not like he's 2019 Gleyber again all of a sudden, but he's worth rostering across the board and can def be a fantasy asset w/this pop. I do still worry about a sub-.300 OBP, though, and how that might cost him PT

Buff

1:57

NL only, Voit or Ruf?

Paul Sporer

1:57

Voit

Andy

1:57

Any reason to be concerned for Yasmani Grandal's production so far?

Paul Sporer

1:59

Feels like prototypical uber-volatile Grandal. He has to be a nightmare in H2H leagues, but us roto dweebs just set it & forget it and we're usually rewarded with a solid line. I don't expect much different this year. A 6% HR/FB is doing a lot of work on suppressing his numbers

Kate

1:59

What do you make of the Miami closer situation?

Paul Sporer

2:00

It's a mess. I don't have a strong read anywhere and in situations like that, I generally just go the cheap route if I'm gonna speculate

Dave

2:00

Lots of hype around Max Meyer, then two bad outings. Still worth a stash? Will we see him before mid-season?

Paul Sporer

2:01

Stashes always depend on league type and roster construction. There are no hard & fast rules as it can be fluid based on your team's health and needs. If holding him isn't preventing you from fielding your best lineup, then by all means hang on. They have an open 40-man spot so he doesn't require a roster move to get the call, but Poteet isn't too bad and Edward Cabrera is looming, too (Meyer has been better YTD, though).

Werner

2:01

Adames got dropped yesterday in my points league w/ K penalty. Is he worth an IL spot over Haniger, Megill, or Baz?

Paul Sporer

2:03

Yes I'd take him over Haniger or Baz. Until we really see Baz out there starting, I worry that his fantasy appeal will be scant. I could see mostly relief upon return. The earliest he can even return is about 3 wks, too. Meanwhile, Haniger was an insta-cut for me sadly bc of the severity of the injury and lack of IL spots in leagues where I had him

Bench Spot

2:03

I have a bench spot for speculation right now and I am light on MI's if one were to get injured. Do you lean Lewis or Brujan ROS? I would not be starting Brujan the next few weeks barring injury.

Paul Sporer

2:05

I love Lewis, I'm just not sure where he plays if they don't shift him to OF. I know Brujan has been overmatched in his MLB sample, but I'm not ready to give up on him

Geust

2:05

Mike Trout stays healthy this year...right?!

Paul Sporer

2:05

Who knows for sure, but 🤞🏻

Frankenberrios

2:05

Betts for hader and Urias in standard roto. Which side?

Paul Sporer

2:07

It's really fair. Lean Betts slightly in shallower formats where that extra spot can be used to scoop someone off the wire and lean the duo in deeper leagues where they can have a bigger impact

Joe

2:07

5x5 Categories, Gary Sanchez, murphy or Heim for Catcher?

Paul Sporer

2:07

Heim for sure. I think he is playing his way into 1-C league viability

Total Noob

2:07

What does it mean when a pitcher is called a ratio killer?

Paul Sporer

2:11

It means he blasts you ERA, WHIP, or both. I generally associate it with WHIP specifically because we called WHIP "Ratio" in my first ever league (ratio of base runners per inning, I guess) and it was really about those guys who had a solid ERA (anything sub-4.00 in those days... sometimes even low-4.00s), but they just hammered your Ratio at like 1.35 or higher. And this was a 4x4 so no Ks. Usually decent ERA/shit WHIP guys are high Ks (think pre-Cy Robbie Ray) which keeps their value stabilized. In 4x4s, these WHIP killers were sneaky bc WHIP doesn't get as much attention.

Joe

2:11

Can Aroldis keep his job ?

Paul Sporer

2:16

He's going to get a decent sized leash, but he didn't look great in his first 12 outings despite the scoreless 10.3 IP. And now he has 4 straight outings w/runs allowed. The worst part for him is the bevy of suitable alternatives ready to overtake him.

Now, exactly who that will be in an uncertainty for me. Most want Clay Holmes because he's been so electric. Others cape for Michael King, but it really might be Chad Green. They might prefer Holmes in the fireman and King in the multi-IP stud reliever potentially leaving the job to the reliable Green. He has a 3.20 ERA/0.91 WHIP/25% K-BB rate in 123.7 IP since '20.

George

2:17

Since we're talking Melendez: Kirk or Melendez ROS (with Janssen getting more time behind the dish in Toronto)?

Paul Sporer

2:17

With MM playing daily, I prefer him

or I guess it's probably MJM

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