JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:04

Hello everyone!!

Jim Leyland Palmer

1:04

Would you actively target Robbie Ray as a buy low?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Not really, no. I don't know how low you're getting him and I don't see a MAJOR surge incoming

Justin

1:04

Do you see Matt Chapman as a decent buy low?

Paul Sporer

1:05

In the hopes that he can add some AVG you mean? I'm not averse to buying if you need power, but I wouldn't hold out for any sort of AVG spike

seth

1:05

Buehler droppable in a 15-team, no-IL (but deep bench) league?

Paul Sporer

1:05

Yes. I'm cutting him across the board right now in redraft leagues where I don't have an IL spot

Kevin

1:05

Is Salvy the best Royals catcher RoS? Doesn't seem like a slam dunk to me.

Paul Sporer

1:05

Melendez is probably better behind the dish, but Salvy will still start more often at C

Jim Leyland Palmer

1:06

5x5 categories, give Gonsolin for Correa?

Paul Sporer

1:06

That works!

Bruce in 2033

1:06

Okay to drop Jhoan Duran ? Saves only roto. Already own Diaz, Romano, JLopez, Houck & T.Scott.

Paul Sporer

1:08

Yeah, it seems like a 67/33 split with Pagan as the primary... wild to me that they'd trust a 2.0 HR/9 at closer but for now they are. Your situation makes Duran expendable. I know trading is hard but maybe see if you can package him first to a SVs-desperate team? Otherwise, cutting is OK

Rachel

1:08

Paul, do you think Duran stays up for good this time? This is his third stint! Thanks!

Paul Sporer

1:08

This is Jarren Duran... just to make sure it's clear since I just did a Jhoan Duran Q

1:09

I don't know that he sticks. He's up for Arroyo going on COVID list so that could be a quick hitter again. I know Rob Refsnyder was raking in AAA, but I'm still not sure I'd have him on the roster over Duran

Kevin

1:12

I get Gleyber, he gets Christian Walker in my 12-team roto league, OPS instead of AVG. I need Gleyber's 2B/SS eligibility but worried about his playing time. Seems like advanced metrics LOVE Walker this year.

Paul Sporer

1:13

I'm OK with this given your needs. Walker has been great w/the power going off and now the singles are starting to fall to push his AVG up, but a quality middle infielder is a fair return for him

Kevin

1:13

following up on Royals catchers, they both have C eligibility in ESPN and I own them both right now. Don't really want to roster Melendez as an OF so I'm thinking about trading Salvy.

Paul Sporer

1:14

Yeah, NEVER use a C-elig. guy at a different position. Maybe a random week here or there bc your roster dictates, but it's a negative value play to do it. So if you have both he & Salvy, shop one of em for sure

1:14

Start Clay Holmes or 2 start Lance Lynn next week ? 🤔

Paul Sporer

1:14

How are your saves outside of Holmes?

Guest

1:14

5x5 Roto Dynasty League. Who do you prefer long-term, Riley or Albies? Have Hayes at 3b and no long-term 2b options.

Paul Sporer

1:15

I'm not jumping off the Albies train. The injury sucks and he wasn't playing well of late prior to it, but I still love him long-term as he's just 25 yrs old

Eduardo

1:16

Awesome work, Paul. Just curious about your Alek Manoah ranking. I have a hard time coming up with 26 pitchers I’d rather have. What do you expect moving forward?

Paul Sporer

1:22

I've gotten multiple Qs about him. I love Manoah, I really do, but I've tried to separate my fandom from the fantasy because I don't fully believe the results he's posted so far. He clearly manages contact well with a .246 BABIP in each of his first two seasons, but it's still REALLLLYYY hard to maintain a sub-.200 AVG, especially with a solid-not-elite K rate at 23%.

I'm also not sure he has really improved his HRs from last yr as opposed to just had a fortunate 6% HR/FB rate. Corbin Burnes had a 6% last yr in an insane season and just 4 qualified arms were under 10%. So I see just an OK K%, AVG & HR rates likely headed up, and a devastatingly difficult division, all of which make me believe a good bit in the 3.62 SIERA more than the 1.67 ERA. I hope Manoah has arrived this year as a full on ace and I'll gladly eat an L if he does bc like I said, I really love watching him pitch, but I see summer regression more into the mid-3s area from here forward. Still an easy Must Start, but not an unquestioned Ace.

lwomack58

1:22

Who would you rather keep Joc or Mancini. Thanks

Paul Sporer

1:26

Mancini. Joc's been better thus far, but I think Joc will come back to earth a bit while Mancini can hold his 130 wRC+ level all yr and add some pwr as things heat up in Baltimore. His added playing time should also help w/R & RBI from here forward

Bo Knows

1:26

Why is Manaoh ranked so low?

Paul Sporer

1:27

I know I just answered this, but I'll also just say, he's not. This isn't a ranking based on their performance to date. It's about going forward. He's not a 1.67 ERA true talent (no one is, of course)

sean

1:27

how many good starts from trevor rogers do you need to see to pick him back up? or is it just one with a great changeup?

Paul Sporer

1:27

I'd need at least 2 great changeup games and one would have to be against a quality opponent, too. I'm just not seeing it with him this year and will likely cut him in a 15 this wknd

Larry Jones

1:27

Harris Jr. Is starting to turn it on. Think he's better than say...Winker Ros?

Paul Sporer

1:32

Starting to? He's been good from the jump! Albeit, just 17 gms. I would take him over Winker bc he has more fantasy game-changing capability w/his spd. Winker's AVG & pwr are both muted by his park change and I just don't see much from him in the fantasy realm

seth

1:32

Torkelson still a good keeper, think he'll be a top 5? 10? 1B next year?

Paul Sporer

1:33

Def still a great keeper. Maybe 10-12 next yr. Gotta see how this yr finishes before even coming close to projecting next yr

Joe

1:33

5x5 categories, drop Heim for Melandez?

Paul Sporer

1:35

Ehh.... you can. But I don't see much gain there. The playing time I guess since with Garver (on C19 list rn) & Huff around, but talent-wise, it's not much different.

Isaac

1:35

Rendon running out of leash in 12 tm H2H league?

Paul Sporer

1:35

I'm fine cutting

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