JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:03

Hello everyone! Let's talk some baseball!!

Mac

1:03

Strider or Roansy long-term?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Strider for me! He looks every bit like a legit SP

Jake

1:05

think snell figures it out this year? under the hood doesn't look that far off from career numbers but he's been tough even in shallow leagues

Paul Sporer

1:05

The tough part is when command goes in and out, he can be great for 3-4 IP and then off for 1-2 and those 1-2 can be killer

Slurve

1:06

Hi Paul! Would you rather start Gonsolin vs SD or Javier vs LAA?

Paul Sporer

1:06

I'd go Gonso bc Javier could be downshifted off the long outing last time out and maybe limited to 5 IP

Insert Witty Name Here

1:06

Apologies for the generalized question, but I’m in the lead of my league with only one real challenger. How do you analyze a team at the halfway point when everything is going right?

Paul Sporer

1:07

Just keep your foot on the gas. Do some worst case scenario'ing and some honest analysis of your hot starters who will regress and work from there. Sometimes things just go right from Opening Day until October

Insert Witty Name Here

1:07

Do you think Jon Gray has figured it out? Top 25 arm ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:08

I wouldn't quite go Top 25, but I think those of us who've been big Jon Gray fans and desperately wanted him out of Coors all those years are finally getting what we dreamed for!

Joey Joe Joe Jr Shabadoo

1:08

Where do sit with Casty this week, Buy/Sell/Hold?

Paul Sporer

1:08

I'm still in on Casty, so I'd buy

Connor

1:08

When is Justin going to do a fangraphs chat? You mentioned months ago that it was going to happen but haven't seen anything. Hope it's not another thing that's migrated to his Patreon.

Paul Sporer

1:09

I'll ping him again. We gotta hammer out his day, but it's still very much on the table for him

H-Dog

1:09

Berrios of Giolito ROS? All the stuff numbers still like berrios pitch quality but projections prefer Gio to bounce back more

Paul Sporer

1:10

I much prefer Giolito at this juncture. Not just bc of his gem at LAA this week, either. He has shown a lot more than Berrios. They both have fixable issues, but Giolito isn't as far off at all, IMO

Jake

1:10

all things equal you taking luke voit or longoria ROS in h2h ops league?

Paul Sporer

1:10

I'd stick w/my guy Voit

ROBOCOP

1:10

Any advice on how to handle the awkward situation of a friend/acquaintance losing interest and neglecting his roster in a keeper league?

Paul Sporer

1:11

Just say check in on him and see how he's doing in general. Then maybe bring the convo to fantasy. If he says he's got a lot goin on, suggest that maybe you can take that off his plate if you have a replacement on tap

guest

1:11

Faedo for ROS. Has the league figure him out, is he tiring?

Paul Sporer

1:13

I think it's more the ebbs & flows of an SP4. He hasn't been great in his last 3, but two were v. CWS & BOS so those are good teams (I know CWS hasn't been great offensively, but they still have plenty of superstar talent)

Hank Scorpio

1:13

Hey Paul, thanks for the chat. I'm sitting in 9th in my 12tm mixed roto league and I've reached the point where I'm trying to avoid the league penalty (bottom 4 finish) instead of trying to reach the money (top 3). But my team is broken and I need to make pickups, while defending against other teams picking up guys later that help propel them.

What would be your hold / drop rating for these guys in the 12tm going forward: W. Buehler, T. Megill, B. Snell, A. Meadows, H. Bader, C. Bellinger. Appreciate it!

Paul Sporer

1:15

I'd consider cutting Meadows and Megill. I'm holding the others. Rest of the talent is too good to pass on

Jake

1:15

tony disco is better than this right?! hard to expect a repeat from last year...but yikes

Paul Sporer

1:15

Yeah that's how I feel, too! I'd reserve him if I'm holding, but I can't completely quit him

Woody

1:15

Woodruff was consistently hitting 99 mph in his start last night. Are you predicting a second half similar to what he had last year?

Paul Sporer

1:16

I never wavered on him and was greatly encouraged by last night

Jay

1:16

Michael Kopech. I am not sure how to view him. His advanced stats are not great. But then he goes and shoves in Yankee Stadium. Some starts he’s sitting 94. Sometimes he’s 97. What are getting out of him ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:16

He is terrifying and impossible to figure out and yet he never leaves my rotation bc the upside is so rich. I'm not a fan of rollercoasters, yet I'm committed to this one right now

Guest

1:17

is Varsho a top 5 catcher for you?

Paul Sporer

1:18

Yes, even with a lower AVG, he has top 5 capability so I have him ranked there

Yants

1:18

How fucking lit is Shane McClanahan?

Paul Sporer

1:19

He is truly amazing! I'm such a huge fan!!!

Jake

1:19

you still holding taylor ward in all formats? i appreciate the podcast with justin about living with expected regression but most if not all of what ward was doing earlier in the season isnt happening anymore

Paul Sporer

1:20

I think you're remembering a 2-week lull from two weeks ago. He had a .409 OPS from 5/26-6/18, but is back up to .966 over his last 9 gms

Here Berti Berti

1:20

Do you see Jon Berti winning enough playing time to start at least 5 games a week? Or should one sell high on him?

Paul Sporer

1:22

You can definitely sell high, but even if the PT isn't at 5 starts a week, he should play enough to still be an SB option in most formats. Reminds of Rajai Davis/Jarrod Dyson from years ago. They were fantasy studs as 4th OF types who might only start 2 gms a week and sub into 2-3 more, but would steal so much you couldn't take em out

kcc26

1:22

Am i wrong to feel like Verlander is a big-time sell high? feels like he’s performed in a way that the market may value him much closer to his peak…but the fastball and Ks aren’t quite the same.

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