JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:35

It is roughhhh. I don't have much hope. Ks up, BB waayyy down, not hitting the ball nearly as well. There just isn't much to go off. If he didn't have the name value, he'd be on a lot more wires.

Freshbasil

1:35

Imagine a world where the dodgers never traded Yordan or O'Neil Cruz.

Paul Sporer

1:36

For Josh Fields and Tony Watson!

That just speaks to their insane depth!

punky brewster

1:37

Is Moreno anything but taking up space in a keeper league (2 catchers, 10 teams)? He has stood in for me with Stephenson on the IL, but now he's getting ready to come back I gotta move someone--would love if they would just option him at this point for a future season (sorry Gabriel!)

Paul Sporer

1:42

I mean he is hitting .280 so it's not nothing, though obviously without any power. He has started 13 of 25 gms since getting called up so he's basically a 50/50 player which isn't too bad all things considered.

kcc26

1:42

As a fantasy player and a Tigers fan, how are you feeling about Riley Greene’s debut so far?

Paul Sporer

1:43

The Catalyst, baby!!! I'm really excited about him!

HBP

1:43

Can I start believing in Kirilloff now?

Paul Sporer

1:44

It's easy to believe in his skills. The health of that wrist is the only major concern, IMO. But when healthy, I'm fully in!

jackal

1:45

Can Braxton Garrett be a quality big league starter?

Paul Sporer

1:46

Definitely! He has a swing-and-miss slider and a deep enough arsenal to turn over the lineup 2x and maybe even push into the 3rd time through when he's really on. I love what Miami has done w/their pitching development, too. Their park helps, but it's not just guys using the park, they are developing really talented arms

John

1:47

If the season started today, what would Berrios look like stat-wise for the next 80 games? It's crazy how the results have been compared to the skillset. We all know he is inconsistent, but you have to think his second half is going to be way better than the first.

Paul Sporer

1:50

The major drop in Ks and a dip in his already-light SwStr would definitely drop his outlook for me. I'd say like a 4.75 ERA/1.33 WHIP kind of projection w/this Berrios.

MikeD

1:50

What is the probability that David Robertson gets dealt, and will he just be a setup reliever on his new team?

Paul Sporer

1:53

Likelihood of trade should be near-100%. There is NO reason for the Cubs to keep a 37 yr old D Rob. As for guessing his new role, that's a fool's errand. I think we just have to utilize these bad team closers for as long as we can and plan around their potential departure from a closer role by speculating in other bullpens instead of trying to anticipate what their future will be. Felix Bautista blew his shot to get a slice of the SVs pie before Jorge Lopez gets traded by blowing up last night, but he should still get the job when Lopez is gone so he is someone I'd spec on while holding D Rob as a plan to counter D Rob's potential move into a setup role

jackal

1:53

Do you think Taijuan Walker is reaching a new level, or just a hot streak?

Paul Sporer

1:59

We've seen the Ks soar in his last 6 with a 27% K rate aiding his 2.84 ERA/1.00 WHIP. It's still the same 10% SwStr so I'm not sure he'll hold the Ks up this high going forward, but I do believe there is some viability to the run if he can keep the ball in the yard. A surge in splitter usage has helped him with an 8 pt. jump in GB rate which has in turn helped his ugly HR issue (1.5 HR/9, 14% HR/FB last yr). I'm starting him pretty consistently across most formats right now

Nick

2:00

Need to drop one of Brad Hand and Seranthony Dominguez to activate Liam Hendriks. You have any strong take on whether either will run away with it or if it stays as a committee, which is likely to get more opportunities?

Paul Sporer

2:00

I do not have a strong read, but lean toward Dominguez

cortezthakillah

2:00

Should I move Eloy for Carlos Rodon? Keeper league

Paul Sporer

2:00

If you need the pitching, I have no issues w/this

Homer

2:00

Is Reese Olson underrated? Having a really nice year so far.

Paul Sporer

2:02

I wrote him up a while back https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/boxscore-bits-may-24th-2022/ -- he has been insane at AA with a 38% K rate and 7% BB rate in 66 IP. I wonder when he will get moved up to AAA (though his last 2 starts were pretty blah). I'm keeping an eye on him in case he gets a call this year.

correa

2:03

Paul - Should I accept an offer of Correa for my Baez and D. Carlson? Keep 22 league... Correa just feels so... meh. Is there further upside?

Paul Sporer

2:06

It's not a bad offer. I get what you're saying about Correa bc while he has a 134 wRC+, it hasn't come with much category juice. There's more pwr than this and the counting categories will go up when the pwr shows up, too. I do love Carlson, but this isn't a bad deal and Correa does have some upside that isn't a stretch to reach at all

Homer

2:06

Mahle just went on the shelf with a shoulder injury...that came out of nowhere, or did I miss something?

Paul Sporer

2:09

That's how it goes with pitchers and why I stress how much of a myth the idea of a healthy pitcher is. It's a trite phrase I know, but you're healthy til you're not and as a pitcher, that's always a pitch away. There wasn't any major velo drop or even all that much of a performance drop, so yeah it's kinda outta nowhere unfortunately

Dave

2:09

Totally with you on Riley Greene, but what do you make of Tork's struggles so far?

Paul Sporer

2:11

Feel like standard rookie struggles. He isn't getting to his power consistently. That's probably the one major glaring issue, but everything else seems pretty standard. Plate skills are fine. This anecdotal from watching, but he absolutely looks the part of a big leaguer. I still think we see a summer surge at some point, but I fully understand the 10 and 12 tm cuts and the 15 tm consideration of a cut

Mystical

2:11

If you're giving up on one of the three following prospects in a 12 team roto dynasty who is it: Brujan, Kelenic, Adell.

Paul Sporer

2:12

It might be my favorite of the bunch: Brujan :( Definitely leaving the door cracked as it's a whopping 170 PA, but there just hasn't been anything to suggest he can handle MLB pitching. He looks overmatched. At 24 yrs old, that's hardly a death knell and he can overcome, but b/w those 3, it's Brujan

Clemson

2:13

Is Jorge Lopez really a lock to get traded? Doesn't he have 3 years of control left after this season for an up and coming Orioles team?

Paul Sporer

2:13

He should be. There is no reason to hold a 29 yr old journeyman RP, even with team control

2:15

RP is the most volatile class on the diamond. You can find the next Lopez at the same store you found this one - the waiver wire. Unless the offers are literally nothing, there is no good reason to keep Lopez around in Baltimore. As a big OOTP dork, I've seen how fruitful the waiver wire is for RPs and why teams can build a pen in-season via the wire. I'll take a 40 grade prospect with some youth (under 23 or so) for a 29-yr old spike year RP all day!

Kevin

2:16

Lance Lynn getting roughed up as we speak. Only 1 good start in 5 tries since coming off the IL. Time to worry?

Paul Sporer

2:18

Yeah I've got some concern. I was hoping he could build off the gem v. SF. Let's see how this one finishes as he seems to be getting nickel and dimed a bit with a 2B and some 1Bs (though also 2 BB). Another dud here would put him on the 10-team chopping block and possibly for 12s, as well, depending who you've got as a replacement

Tony LaRussa

2:19

Am I fired yet? Can I be any worse? What more can I do to get the ace?

Paul Sporer

2:19

... all my answers to this are mean, I'll behave

I think they might just let this ship sink w/him aboard

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