JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:01

Hello and welcome everyone! This will now be an hourlong breakdown of Oneil Cruz's 122.4 mph batted ball!

1:03

What's the deal with Alejandro Kirk lately? Avg still been there but production way down since June. Pull % down, maybe the culprit?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Could definitely see it being the pull rate. Feels mostly like standard regression as he was out of his gourd in May/June. Not too worried!

Patrick Ryan

1:04

122.4 that's fast huh?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Insane! Oneil Cruz is bananas!

HappyFunBall

1:04

You mean the single?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Yes

Dave

1:04

Any teams with particularly soft schedules for September whose hitters you're looking to stream?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Haven't researched that just yet

Kevin

1:05

what are you doing with Hader? Is it crazy to drop him in a 10 team roto?

Paul Sporer

1:05

If I need saves at all, I'm probably still not cutting him but I'm certainly fine sitting. BTW, he is now cuttable on ESPN. He was on the undroppable list, but a little nudging got that squared away for y'all

Dave

1:05

Is Oneil Cruz bananas enough that he's playable in 12 team mixed leagues in 2023?

Paul Sporer

1:06

Maybe. It's definitely an open question. While he is indeed bananas, I was careful in my words and went with what instead of descriptors that would suggest he's awesome bc he simply hasn't been yet. And his plate skills make it so that he will need to improve if he wants to be awesome. Lotta swing and miss right now. It's electric when he connects, but need more connections. Draftable for sure, but might still have periods of droppability in 10s and 12s next year

Kyle

1:08

Looking for validation to cut Cronenworth or Correa. The former has been better, plus eligible at multiple positions. Both of them are redundant on my team. Any thoughts? Or hold both?

Paul Sporer

1:10

I know SS is deep, but didn't realize Correa is only 28th on the Razzball player rate despite a 126 wRC+. No standout category and some missed time will do that, but I still lean his way despite being a mega Croney fan. I imagine this is a 10 or 12-teamer? I can behind cutting either in those formats, but prob still want to keep one and it's Correa

Casas

1:10

Are they really going to keep me down? Thx!

Paul Sporer

1:13

I think Triston Casas is a good candidate for a September expansion call-up. If you had told me Bobby Dalbec would have a 78 wRC+ on August 24th, I'd have said "well yeah, duh, look at that swing-and-miss" but then I'd have definitely thought Casas would have at least 100 PA by now. Casas did miss a chunk of time, but he's back now so September seems likely

Chicken Little

1:13

My pitching ratios are cratering and I've dropped out of first place and the sky is falling and we're all gonna die! Fantasy baseball is just grand. How are your teams holding up, Paul?

Paul Sporer

1:16

Hanging in there in my competitive ones. I vacillate 2nd-4th in my Main Event based how many SPs I have on a given night (lotta tight SP categories). 1st isn't impossible, but will take the duration of the season and a lot of good fortune. My Main is living up to its name as it is my primary focus right now. Should make the playoffs in my H2H, doing solid in Tout & Razzslam, medium in TGFBI, but crummy in LABR.

Keith

1:16

Is there one strategy/thing you did different this season that has made a significant impact on your teams?

Paul Sporer

1:17

Not necessarily this season specifically, but I've been putting a much larger focus on FAAB and when to cut players who aren't helping and it has improved my success. It's always league dependent and with the NFBC lgs having 0 trades and 0 IL spots, FAAB is massively important so it has become a focus

James

1:17

In hindsight, what should I have seen with Bo Bichette in order to have avoided him?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Maybe just somehow knowing about the squish ball they're using this year? Some may recall I was suspect of his SBs coming into last year, worried he may be like 2 other guys who ran in the minors but never brought it to the majors at the same level - Joc Pederson & George Springer. So then he goes out and drops a 25-26 on us and I figured hey I got that wrong then, he can excel at running in the majors... of course he goes 7-14 this year. I don't really see anything that telegraphed him being a bust. Perhaps others did, but I'd want to read the spring analysis behind it bc I don't recall him on any bust lists this preseason

God why

1:21

Why does Mitch Keller have to be the way that he is

Paul Sporer

1:21

To tease and infuriate us

Andrew Triggskaedekaphobia

1:22

How do you go about preparing for H2H playoffs? They seem so frustratingly luck-based.

Paul Sporer

1:23

They are, but that's kinda by design. Best you can do is try to do some schedule prep, but even that can be fraught with danger if you plan too far and things change on you.

Guest

1:23

Ty France has hit poorly since ASG, is he worth dropping for Nate Lowe?

Paul Sporer

1:27

Yeah I'm OK with that move. I wonder how much of France's struggles are the wrist and just not striking the ball well enough. He has a microscopic .220 BABIP since returning but also an 84 mph Exit Velo, 3rd lowest among qualified hitters in that time: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y...

Joe

1:27

Is Cade Cavalli's promotion worth running to the wire for, lightly jogging to the wire for, casually walking to the wire for or not worth getting up out of the chair for in a deep mixed league? thanks

Paul Sporer

1:29

I'd probably go light jog with team needs determining if I push harder or not at all. If you need Ws or QS, he's not your savior. If you want Ks with a shot at some solid-to-good ratios, I like taking the chance!

Xavier

1:30

Which young slugger appeals more ROS: Oscar Gonzales or E. Montero? Thanks Paul.

Paul Sporer

1:33

COL only has 13 more home gms (24 road) not including today's so I'll go Gonzalez. The weeks of Sept. 5 (MIL/ARI) & Sept. 19 (SF/SD) are our last Coors week of the season!!

Kevin

1:34

you starting Giolito @BAL tonight? I'm dying for QS but he's 0 for his last 6

Paul Sporer

1:38

He has been remarkably frustrating but I'd take this shot. Camden Yards has played a lot nicer with the wall move, too, and honestly that's a big reason why I'd take this shot. I wouldn't with old Camden for fear of multiple HRs. BAL is good, but I still believe Giolito is too despite these struggles and I'm going for it tonight

Dave

1:38

Is Albert Pujols worth a roster spot in 12 team leagues for September, in the year 2022?

Paul Sporer

1:39

Nah, I don't think so. The magical week was amazing, but unless it sets up with another flurry of lefties, I don't see it

Holding On

1:39

A Corona, and Palm Trees. On a scale of 1-10, how insane are you from this torturous repetition?

Paul Sporer

1:40

I get the snarky electric car lady and the visceral disdain I have for that woman knows no bounds! (in case you're in the chat, I'm just kidding Becky, it's not your fault that MLB AtBat plays it first on EVERY. SINGLE. AD. BREAK!!!!)

Brandon

1:40

Worth hanging on to Ketel Marte in a 12 teamer? His statline seems kinda bland

Load More Messages

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Sporer hosts a chat