JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:01

Hey y'all! Just a week left in the regular season, can you believe it?!

Shifty manfred man

1:01

Hey Paul,

Paul Sporer

1:01

Hola!

MHII

1:02

How high are we taking Michael Harris next year? 2nd round?

Paul Sporer

1:04

He's now a HR away from 20/20 and has only played 108 games! That said a .370 BABIP and 26% HR/FB rate are helping a lot and I worry that there won't be any real regression assumed for him and he'll go 2nd-3rd round pretty consistently. I love the talent and I'm a sucker power-speed, but I'll probably fade the sky-high price for 2023

John

1:04

Pulled down a H2H Cats title this week. Looking to next year, who is most likely to be real for 2023 - Brandon Drury, Jose Miranda (late May on) or Justin Steele?

Paul Sporer

1:06

Miranda for me. I love what Drury did for us this year, but he was a product of batting #2 in Cincy (.915 OPS, 12 HR in Cincy). He was fine w/SD, but clearly a cut below. Curious to see where he signs and if he nets a starting role next year. I do like Steele, but I'll definitely bet on Miranda over Steele right now

Shifty manfred man

1:06

please pick three to keep. All late rounders in a roto league: lodolo, o. Cruz, MJ Melendez, L Hendriks, j. McCarthy , a Vaughn. Thanks

Paul Sporer

1:08

Vaughn, Cruz, Melendez. I love Lodolo, but I gotta go w/the young hitters especially as Lodolo figures out his command. McCarthy is close and I could see going him over Melendez, but that's a crowded OF (Varsho, Thomas, Carroll, McCarthy, Garrett) so his PT isn't certain despite the brilliant 2H

keeper Q

1:08

Hey Paul - Keep 6 league and I'm wondering who you'd keep to fill out my 6. Keeping: Julio, Ohtani (Batter), Tucker.

Other options for the final 3: Devers, Bregman, Corbin Carroll, Gerrit Cole.

Paul Sporer

1:09

I'd go Devers, Bregman, Cole to round it out. I like Carroll a lot, but it seems like all your keepers cost the same and in that case, I can't justify an unproven Carroll over the established studs like Devers & Bregman

Kyle

1:09

Are you going to be doing weekly chats each week during the offseason?

Paul Sporer

1:10

October will be a downshift month, lighter article, pod, and chat workload, but then I'll dialing it right back up in November. There may be occasional chat skips in the offseason due to holidays, travel, etc..., but they will be pretty regular again starting in November

Guest

1:10

How would you rank these young arms for next year…Kirby, Luzardo, Greene, Lodolo?

Paul Sporer

1:12

Kirby, Greene, Lodolo, Luzardo without much separation b/w the last 3

James

1:12

Hi, how do you see Mookie Betts value next year since he had a career power year?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Still a 1st rounder for me. A premium player on the best team in the league is always going to appeal to me. He will probably be more of a mid-1st rounder next year instead of late-1st/early-2nd, but I'm willing to pay the higher price

Kyle

1:14

I don't consider it draft season until Justin is streaming himself in his freezing cold garage smoking a cig while he drafts a team. When do you consider it the start of draft season?

Paul Sporer

1:15

lololol, that's a good indicator! Draft season starts up community-wide in February. I draft all offseason but I'm insane

Tyler Anderson

1:18

In a dynasty league, should I try to sell high this offseason or keep for next year? Also, how much should I factor whether he resigns with LAD into the equation?

Paul Sporer

1:19

Whether or not he's in LAD is the ENTIRE decision for me tbh. Not that he'd forget everything they taught him if he left, but my interest only lies w/him being a Dodger

Moop

1:19

How are you feeling about Torkelson for 2023?

Paul Sporer

1:22

I'm gonna buy the dip. I think he will be dirtttt cheap and while I certainly can't point to anything in his statline to get excited about, I refuse to quit him after just 380 PA. And it's not just Tigers fandom, I'm not quitting any top prospect after such a scant sample

Guest

1:22

what do you see the odds of Degrom at any point becoming more bankable as far as staying healthy like scherzer and verlander going forward?

Paul Sporer

1:23

They seem pretty low. His arsenal includes the biggest injury factors: raw velo (100 mph fastball) and hard sliders (93 mph). While both pitches are great, they undoubtedly raise his injury potential

I Used to be Mel Clark

1:23

Which rookie eligible player do you keep for the next two years: Pasquantino, Donovan, Roansy, or Munoz?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Vinnie P! I do see Muñoz becoming a closer for Seattle, but I'll still keep the hitter over a potential closer

Dave

1:24

How much confidence do you have in Alek Thomas in dynasty leagues? I’m torn between selling now while he still has his top prospect sheen and not wanting to cut bait too early.

Paul Sporer

1:27

I'm nowhere near out, but I do think it might be too much of a sell low to move him this offseason. I'm certainly open to shopping to see where the market's at, but I suspect ppl will be trying to catch a discount based on the '22 MLB output. My biggest concern for his fantasy value is the 61% SB rate in the minor and just 4-for-7 in the majors.

Ted

1:27

Yooooooooo this shit is too stressful!

Paul Sporer

1:28

Stretch run sweats are soooo stressful. My stress was reduced yesterday, though that's bc I'm pretty Kyle Bradish ended my run prematurely

LJA

1:28

I am better than the league I play in. What do you suggest for a higher level of competition for someone who really doesn't take a day off and plays with a definite competitive edge all season? I'd like a league that justifies the time I put into this every season.

Paul Sporer

1:29

I think it's time for the NFBC! Remarkably competitive leagues throughout the space and many price points to get in at if you're not trying to jump right to the Main Event: https://nfc.shgn.com/gamestyles/baseball

Ken

1:29

I'm curious, which player's performance surprised you most this year, either for better or worse?

Paul Sporer

1:30

Texas 2-step: Martín Pérez holding up all year and Adolis García out-running his brutal plate skills for another gem of a season

1:32

What stats do you look at it the most when deciding which pitchers to start/stream? I know you have L30 ops with same handedness as a reference and Last 5 starts pitcher info, but the results are so all over the place

Paul Sporer

1:33

I lean heavily on core skills (K%, BB%, arsenal) and recent gamelogs. I still trust a track record way more than a L5 or matchup

brb - gotta let the dogs out

1:39

So where does Trout land on your draft board for '23?

Paul Sporer

1:39

I'd still take him in the 2nd round

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