JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:01

Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!!

Ryan

1:02

Is there a better top 5 in baseball then Tatis Jr., Soto, Machado, Bogaerts, Cronenworth?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Altuve, Bregman, Yordan, Abreu, Tucker is certainly up there, but not many stand up to SD's quintet once Tatis is back.

Concerned Citizen

1:05

I’m at my wits end about our boy H. Bader! Still holding out hope for a bounce back in the Bronx?

Paul Sporer

1:08

I'm still a fan! He is still pretty affordable in the late-100s (183 winter ADP) and that draft price covers some of his volume risk (has never reached 430 PA). If we don't the returns this year, I'll definitely start moving away from him

Ravine Watchers

1:08

Are you over or under the steamer projection of 38 bombs for Schwarber

Paul Sporer

1:10

Little over, think he reaches 40 again! I love Schwarber and the 10 chip-in SBs this year were awesome (though don't expect a repeat there)

Insert Witty Name Here

1:10

Read somewhere that Steamer has been the most accurate projection system. Is there any particular projection system you have trust most for fantasy?

Paul Sporer

1:11

I'm a big fan of The BAT! I regularly look at the three we end posting on the site by Spring Training: Steamer, The BAT, and ATC. I'm not locked into any one system, though

Prospecting

1:11

I've got Bellinger in a 12 team 5x5 roto dynasty. Having trouble deciding on if I should keep him or deal him.

Paul Sporer

1:12

Depends on how many keepers and if there is a price associated, but generally speaking I'm not likely to keep him in a 12-teamer right now

Concerned Citizen

1:12

Thinking of selling high on A. Nola in dynasty after a pretty good season in Philly. Is this the right time or do you think he’s got a bright future ahead?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Skills are rock solid so there's no reason not to expect continued to success, but I have no idea trying to sell high on a 30-yr old arm. I don't have major falloff concerns so it's not a must that you trade him, but if you find a deal that suits your team, I have no issue making a move

Jim Leyland Palmer

1:14

Paul, is reasonable for Tiger's fans to be upset so far? No one is expecting massive signings and a great 2023, but they have done just about nothing to improve a terrible 2022 roster, and Harris is talking about the value "in giving young players ABs". No one wants to hear that anymore. Give him the whole offseason to see, but how can you justify not improving the immediate product from last year when that bar was so low? Just cheapness from ownership? How can you not bring in 2-3 major league bats?

Paul Sporer

1:17

We haven't even hit Christmas yet. I know the Winter Mtgs were busy and a lot of teams made moves, but it was a lot of the big guys the Tigers aren't getting anyway so I'm not worried. This yr was super frustrating, but I'm giving Harris time. I'm not holding him responsible for the sins of Avila, thus I'm not particularly concerned.

I think we will see another few signings in the Boyd range of talent and perhaps a trade or two, depending what teams are offering. I think if Tigers fans are expecting insta-contention out of Harris, there will be disappointment. It's not easy, but we still need some patience. Even if this year hadn't been SO bad, no one was expecting playoffs so I don't think this dud of a year set them THAT far off course. Let's see what Harris can do before going too hard on him

Insert Witty Name Here

1:17

Been a while since I asked a The Show question. I usually just play online H2H but found myself playing RTTS a lot this year. My hitting difficulty ended up at the highest level, legend+. My question is: are you at the same level and what is your hitting strategy?

Paul Sporer

1:19

I haven't done any RTTS this year, but my hitting this morning in Event games was definitely not Legend+ lol!! I started anchoring inside thanks to a tip from my Twitch chat after a few bad gms in a row and it got me going a bit, leading to 4 straight wins to cap the stream! I gotta get that Verlander card before tomorrow and I'm only 6 Ws away!

Teflonzo

1:19

10 team dynasty league, have Megill under my control (but can drop and replace or redraft) but I share your and Justin's concerns about health/innings. Should I hold onto him on the good price and just hope or think it's safe to look to re-add later on down the road?

Paul Sporer

1:19

Totally fine moving on and re-acquiring down the line, particularly bc of your league size. He's the 7th man right now and you needn't bend over backwards to hold him in a 10'er

Lahoo Saher

1:19

Who's gonna sign Rodon and why will it be the Orioles?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Heyyy that was my big call when I was looking over the class back in late-Sept. I think they should continue to follow the Seattle trajectory! After SEA had a solid '21, they signed Ray and made the playoffs. Rodon isn't a reigning Cy, but he's a badass lefty and I think he'd be a great fit for them. I don't think their flirting with success this year was a fluke and could absolutely see them in the playoffs next year

Sad Pitt

1:21

How does Manfred/MLB justify the Mets paying more in luxury taxes than the A's are paying in payroll? Is there any precedence for MLB to force an indifferent team to sell?

Paul Sporer

1:22

I don't believe that has ever happened, but it is sad how the A's and some other teams are run. The whole poor thing is a complete act. No team is actually poor and it's pathetic when they act like they can't scratch two nickels together. If you don't want to try & win, sell the fricken team. But of course teams are cash machines so they won't, they'll just keep making money hand over fist.

Lahoo Saher

1:23

Serious question - what is the appeal of watching other people play video games?

Paul Sporer

1:23

Same appeal as watching other ppl play sports or act or do stand up...entertainment

T.J.

1:23

What in the world are the Cubs (not) doing? They lost (arguably) their best hitter and have done almost nothing of substance to improve. They have money coming out of their ears.

Paul Sporer

1:24

Speaking of losers crying poor, the Cubs were pulling that ish last year. It was presumed that they would open the purse strings a bit this year, but it hasn't happened. Still plenty of talent on the board, though! We've had tons of moves and it's been an awesome active offseason so far, but the pool isn't completely try and there are still players that move the needle for teams. Curious if the Cubs will make a splash, though

Insert Witty Name Here

1:25

Follow up re: hitting strategy - are you a power swing guy every time or do you switch it up? My RTTS guy is more contact oriented, but I’ve been power swinging until I get to two strikes then switch to the normal swing just to try and get the ball in play. Secondly, do you hunt for a pitch in a particular area or go full Manny “see ball hit ball”?

Paul Sporer

1:27

I raaaaaaarely power swing in online games. Like once a session kinda rare. If I just have a big read on the pitch pattern and think I can smash it. Offline, I'll mix in more power swings v. the computer, but still more often than not hitting X. I try to take a pitch or two to each at-bat (though I have plenty of first pitch swings... most of which go poorly, lol). If I'm playing a 9-inning where I'm really learning the opponent's patterns, I will definitely start sitting in certain zones looking for a pitch there and ONLY there. Otherwise there is plenty of see ball, hit ball

Prospecting

1:27

Been burned by a couple prospects Kelenic, Adell, Brujan not doing much in a dynasty league (12 team 5x5 Roto), when do you cut bait by trading a guy even if his value may be off it's peak vs holding out. With it just a 12 teamer the waiver pool isn't that shallow so it costs a lot to have an underperforming prospect in the lineup.

Paul Sporer

1:30

It can be a tough balance to express patience w/prospects v. wanting to move onto the next guy who could be something. For the 3 you named -- all of whom I also liked -- I've seen enough to lower their ceilings. Adell and Kelenic jus t miss too much and there is little precedent to really flip those kind of K rates and while no one was confusing Brujan for a power hitter, he just doesn't strike the ball with ANY force, making it really difficult to see how he gets on base enough to flex the speed. Of the 3, I'm still most in on Brujan, but only as a late lottery ticket in a deeper format

Lahoo Saher

1:30

Watching people play video games seems more akin to watching other people unbox goods rather than watching them play sports.

Paul Sporer

1:30

How so?

(Unboxing videos also quite popular btw)

Diaz and Clase

1:30

Over the last couple weeks, Diaz and Clase have NFBC ADPs around 15. (Really!) What is happening??

Paul Sporer

1:32

The Gladiator leagues! 23-rounds and THAT'S IT! No reserves, no adds... just the 23 you draft even if someone is out for the year. Thus you can't add saves in season which has led to the premiere closers going VERY high. I took Clase at pick 15 in my 2nd Gladiator just last night (we're only 2 rds in) after getting Devin Williams and Raisel Iglesias in the 2nd and 4th respectively picking from the #2 spot in my 1st one.

Lahoo Saher

1:32

So are you still calling Rodon to the O's? Has the way the market has unraveled made that more or less likely?

Paul Sporer

1:32

That's still my lean, yes (also a good dose of wishcasting there as I simply WANT them to do it)

Lahoo Saher

1:32

Thoughts on how the Correa signing affects Marco Luciano's value as a fantasy prospect?

Paul Sporer

1:35

He was never going to hold SS anyway so this just expedites a move to 2B or 3B IMO

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