JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:04

Hello everyone! Thanks for coming!

Sabey Sabes

1:04

What's a realistic expectation from Judge this year? Have him as a keeper at #10 overall, but oh the trade options, too.

Paul Sporer

1:09

Something like .285/40/100/100

And that's conservative, tbh

Nate

1:09

If you can keep either Nate Lowe or Tristan Casas in a 16 teamer…think they’ll be roughly similar this year? And moving forward? Or am I over/underestimating Casas?

Paul Sporer

1:09

Probably overestimating Casas right now. I'm a big Lowe fan so it's easily him for me

RobbieD

1:09

Hi Paul!

Paul Sporer

1:09

Hi!

Kate

1:09

Listening to pods lately, there seems to be some thought that Luis Garcia could eventually lose his rotation spot to hunter brown. This probably sorts itself out by injury anyway, but this seems odd to me. Garcia has been a pretty darn good starter these last two years, I'd think he's got a rotation spot unless he implodes.

Paul Sporer

1:10

Yeah, it's more injury or even my boy Jose Urquidy failing (or he could be the injury given his history) for me. I love Hunter Brown, but I'm certainly not anti-Luis Garcia

Big Dan McGraw

1:10

do you think there is a BA increase to lefty sluggers? I think someone like Rizzo and Casas could see their average spike up

Paul Sporer

1:11

Some will, but it's really hard to predict who and thus I'm not putting too much emphasis on it in projections & rankings

Tatis Jr

1:11

Does Jeff Zimmerman's article yesterday re: shoulder surgery make you reconsider ranking me 3rd overall for SS going into 2023?

Paul Sporer

1:12

No, I'm already lower than the market on him and share the concerns outlined there. It is 3rd at SS, but not the 1st/2nd rd price he's been going in drafts

ScottTINSTAAPP

1:12

When do you think will Garver get C eligibility in NFBC (assuming he does indeed get it at all)?

Paul Sporer

1:14

I think it could take some time. If Sam Huff makes the team, there's a decent shot he doesn't get it at all with Heim & Huff covering the backstop duties. But I'm not sure how likely that is. Even as the backup, I think it's a once-a-week catching kinda thing for Garv at best

Kate

1:14

Maeda in any danger if losing a rotation spot with the Lopez addition?

Paul Sporer

1:15

No, it's actually Ober who is likely in danger of not starting the season in the rotation -

Heard Kenta Maeda is not being removed from the #MNTwins starting rotation as a result of the Pablo López deal. Maeda had his Tommy John surgery on Sept. 1, 2021. He's healthy, had a normal offseason and headed to free agency (after this season).

CRDB40

1:15

Comparing Robbie Ray & Nick Lodolo last year - the rate metrics are eerily similar. If Lodolo gets close to 160 IP, could you see a Ray-like season?

Paul Sporer

1:16

Yeah, no doubt. I'm a big Lodolo fan. Wish he had a better park, but he & Greene have the talent to withstand that park

Matt

1:17

The tatis shoulder article bummed me out as a dynasty owner. Whats the best player you think I could get for him in a points league (regardless of position)

Paul Sporer

1:19

Probably anyone outside the top 10. He is still very well regarded by many so there should be someone in your league that likes him

Datt Mamon

1:19

I know you have Marte and India ranked closely, but if you had to either (a) keep India or (b) trade for Marte, what do you think you'd do (I realize you have no idea about the league)? I have India in a keeper league and am wondering if I should try to find someone in the draft. I made an offer for Marte.

Paul Sporer

1:20

I'd prefer India, tbh. Gimme the younger guy in the markedly better park when profiles are close

Ben

1:20

When can we expect the followup Rotowear x Sporer collab?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Would looove to get something going this season. This might as well have been one as it's very much Sporer-approved!!! https://rotowear.com/products/bronx-barkers-shirt

Kate

1:22

Think I saw recently that Peterson and megill are on the outside looking in for the rotation to start the year. Does this mean the Mets aren't going six man? Think there were some whispers of that to help senga acclimate. Will he just go every 5 days like everyone else?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Yeah I haven't seen any confirmation on 6-man so for now I'm operating as a 5-man and seeing Peterson/Megill as 6/7. I can't imagine JV/Max would be all that interested in a 6-man, so maybe they could run a makeshift one where Senga's on it, but not the two aces

Chip

1:25

Thoughts on Acuna this year? I have him at a premium price in a keeper league (appx 15% of my budget). I like him, and believe in his upside, but 15% feels steep...

Paul Sporer

1:26

I feel like the power returns and if he's fully healthy, I won't be surprised if pushes for a 40-40 season

Weej

1:26

Is this a good time to trade Hader in a dynasty league or would it be better to wait until midseason?

Paul Sporer

1:27

He closed strong in September so if you find a trade partner who acknowledges that and pays a fair price, I'm in. I'd rather not sell low, though

Matt

1:27

have a rookie keeper draft where i need to choose: would you rather have Kodai Senga or Hunter Brown for the next 5 years?

Paul Sporer

1:27

Age alone gives Brown a big edge so he's my pick

Carl

1:28

How close are Strider and McClanahan in dynasty? Coin flip?

Paul Sporer

1:28

Yeah it's pretty darn close

1:29

Who's a position player in the drafts you've done so far this year that you find yourself taking pretty frequently?

Paul Sporer

1:29

Wil Myers & Jake Fraley

1:29

Matt: I swapped a $48 Tatis for a $17 Buxton to start this off season (Ottoneu 4x4). Not sure if that info helps but figured I’d pass along a real example

Paul Sporer

1:29

There ya go, Matt!

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