JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

2:11

You cannn, but I don't run from him bc of it. His history raises his concern, but I wouldn't take a less talented arm who you deem safer due to health bc every pitcher is a major injury risk. So I respect that previous injury is a key indicator for future injury, but I don't really buy the notion of safety when it comes to health

Matthew

2:11

Are you fading guys like Gausman who really seems to be struggling with the clock, or Nestor etc... who have to change their delivery?

Paul Sporer

2:12

Not necessarily a full fade, but definitely monitoring it and will use as a tiebreaker against him if I'm facing a pick b/w him & another SP

Lamar

2:12

Can stars and scrubs work in an NL only auction league?

Paul Sporer

2:12

Definitely, in fact I think a lot of ppl do stars & scrubs in Only lgs... it can be tough if you lose a star though so there's risk

Any injuries in leagues that deep are going to be painful, though

Dave

2:12

On a scale of 1 - Derek Hill, how worried are you about Tork?

Paul Sporer

2:13

Siri

2:13

Are you guys doing the bold predictions articles this year? Those are great.

Paul Sporer

2:13

Definitely. We'll get 'em going a bit earlier since sometimes they come out too late in draft season

Kate

2:13

Just wanted to say that these pods with Eric are absolutely awesome. I know Eric is super busy, but would love to see this be a recurring thing in some form or fashion. Maybe even include Tess too!

Paul Sporer

2:14

Thank you so much. He was amazingly generous with his time and I agree that getting Tess on makes sense, too. I kinda wanna have at least 1 prospect pod a month during the week with me & a prospect guest, either in-house or out (James Anderson, Matt Thompson, Chris Welsh, etc...)

Bill

2:14

Keeper decision I have due today by 5PM, please help!!! 5x5 roto snake, 23 rounds, keep 2, I can keep Gleyber Torres and lose my 19th rounder, Camilo Doval and lose my 18th, Luis Castillo and lose my 9th, and Arozarena and lose my 6th. My calculations say Torres and Doval get my the most value, but Castillo in the 9th is tempting.. so is Randy.. thanks!!!

Paul Sporer

2:17

All are legitimately good options, but I'm going with Castillo in the 9th. He's an ace-caliber pitcher who I think could have his best season yet this year!

Jim

2:17

How you view guys like Bryan Abreu, who were completely dominant but no path to saves vs guys like Cueto, Plesac, etc., who are pretty useless as SPs?

Paul Sporer

2:21

Depends on league size for sure, but I disagree with the Cueto slander unless you just don't buy any of his '22 output. I hear you with guys like Plesac in 10s and 12s as he really seems to be just a mid-4.00s ERA with modest K output so not even super streamable. Cueto's Ks suck, too, but better ratios IMO.

Anyway, if you are talking about 10- and 12-tm leagues, you're likely better off trying to stream than getting 3-4 IP a week from the Abreus of the world as even with good ratios & high K rates, I'm not sure they move the needle enough. The deeper you go, the more they can be worthy v. the likely streamer options you'll have in 15+ team leagues as the likes of Cueto & Plesac won't even be available

ToothGnasherSuperFlash

2:21

How much will the new shift rules impact who plays 2B? We've seen more and more big bodies types (eg, Mike Moustakas) at the keystone in the last decade. Will the position now require more range and athleticism?

Paul Sporer

2:22

Absolutely see it hurting the potential PT of those types including a hitter I really like in LA - Michael Busch. I think if teams have a better defensive option, they are likely willing to trade the bat for glove more often after years of the reverse given the shift's ability to hide some of the defensive issues

Lefty blues

2:22

Why are ppl so high on ONeil Cruz and Jazz when they get DESTROYED by lefties?

Paul Sporer

2:23

Bc the upside is so very rich and you still get at least 2/3rds of your PA vR.

Brew

2:23

J. Lopez at $7 or Duran at $13 in an AL only 5 x 5?

Paul Sporer

2:28

I think at the price difference, I'm leaning Lopez as I believe he will be the primary closer. If the price were close, I'd go Duran, but not at 2x the price

Moop

2:28

Please rank these SPs: Bradish
Tyler Anderson
E Rodriguez
J Suarez
Maeda
Urquidy
Eflin
Mahle
Whitlock

Paul Sporer

2:28

https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy-tools/rankings/expert?pos=sp&eligibi...

Siri

2:28

I like Rendon for a bounce back (assuming healthy). Great lineup spot. How reasonable is 20 HR / 100 RBI?

Paul Sporer

2:28

If he stays healthy, it's totally reasonable, but that's a LAAAARRRGGEEE "if" with Rendon

Kyle

2:28

Which would surprise you more: deGrom throws 200 IP or Buxton gets 600 PA this year?

Paul Sporer

2:29

Buxton. We've seen deGrom do that 3x!

Siri

2:29

Feel like Giancarlo is being slept on this year? He had a down year, but he's still a masher when healthy.

Paul Sporer

2:37

Maybe not slept on as he's ranked mid-30s in the OF, but it does feel like the fact that he hit .273 in 2021 is being forgotten bc of last year's .211 mark. I think he is fairly rated with the chance to greatly out-earn his draft price

Siri

2:38

What do you project for Oswald Cabrera's final line?

Paul Sporer

2:38

I've got him for .246/.307/.435 with 15 HR/17 SB in 430 PA right now

Kate

2:38

With Quintana down, who takes the 5th spot in the Mets rotation? Do we have a lean yet on who this is or is it more likely a spring competition now?

Paul Sporer

2:39

While I'm a Megill fan, I'd actually lean to David Peterson, who I also like, just not quite as much as Megill. And that's if Q misses time which isn't guaranteed just yet

Pedro

2:40

I've seen a lot of disagreement about Andrew Vaughn. Thoughts about him for 2023? Thanks in advance

Paul Sporer

2:40

I consider myself a fan - .280/.342/.473 with 23 HR, 73 R, 78 RBI in 589 PA

Rick Pukka

2:40

Another Taylor Ward comparison Q: Ward v B Reynolds both straight up and if Ward keeps in the 10th round and Reynolds keeps at 7. 6x6 OBP and Slugging league.

Paul Sporer

2:41

I prefer Ward in both scenarios. I'm a HUGE fan of his. He finished the season healthy and got back on track. He mentioned the shoulder was the reason for his summer swoon and once it was back, so was he. Love him atop that lineup, too

ToothGnasherSuperFlash

2:42

Remember when a vocal group of baseball fans were all upset about the NL DH?

Paul Sporer

2:42

I think some of 'em still are, but plenty have thankfully realized it's just fine

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