JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat | 5/10/2023

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:39

I am interested in theory, but I'm gonna wait & see so if he gets scooped immediately, I'm OK w/missing out

Eric

1:40

Is Jose Abreu just totally done? Hold, drop, or try to trade for nickels on the dollar?

Paul Sporer

1:40

Depends on lg size & who you're getting. I'm OK cutting in 12s and lower, but probably still holding in deeper lgs right now

trophy

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cool

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Fat Tub of Goo

1:41

Who would you replace Jose Abreu with between Lamonte Wade, Naylor or Rizzo ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:41

I'd definitely take Wade over him and not averse to either of the other 2, either. Good group to make an Abreu move on

(brb--doggy pee break)

schlub

1:43

Worth moving on from Brendan Donovan?

Paul Sporer

1:44

Shallow formats, sure, but he's been fine for deeper lgs. A 16 HR/10 SB pace is just fine

RD

1:44

After another disastrous outing from Pfaadt, are you ok cutting him for any of M. Miller (pending his injury news), German, or Heaney... or should I just hold and see if he figures it out?

Paul Sporer

1:45

Can get behind Heaney with at OAK/v. COL in his next 2. Meh on German with TB, at TOR, at CIN. And Miller even w/out the injury news just has zero win potential & I'm not sure his ratios will be good enough to make it worth it as this seems like a 12-team lg given who's available

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Guest

1:45

Hey Paul, thanks for all the content. I need to pickup a corner infielder in a 10 man 6 x 6 h2h league. H R HR RBI SB AVG OPS. Christian Walker, Rowdy Tellez, Josh Jung?

Paul Sporer

1:47

Not a ton of separation in that group. I'd lean Walker, but I'd probably break down their upcoming schedules to see if there's an edge there. In 10-teamers, you can play hot hands and use schedules to try & gain an edge when he waiver is filled w/similarly skilled free agents

Johnny5Alive

1:47

Schmitt or Morel in NL only league - Morel has bigger upside and downside, so I wonder if he sticks around long enough? But schmitt is kind of like meh?

Paul Sporer

1:48

Definitely Morel. Yes he has plenty of downside w/his swing & miss, but his fantasy juice is SO much more plentiful & worth going for

Pete

1:48

Hi Paul, who do you have most faith in ROS - Bibee, Pfaadt, Stone, or Jameson?

Paul Sporer

1:48

Bibee for sure

PitchersGonPitch

1:48

Mitch Keller or Zach Eflin ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:48

Eflin for me. The 2 probably are that far apart on total skills package, so gimme the team context and that heavily favors Eflin

Matt

1:49

Amed Rosario is extremely frustrating--ok cutting bait in a 12 team mixed? Would probably cut for Baty or Luis Garcia so the options aren't great

Paul Sporer

1:49

If you're OK losing the SBs, then I don't mind making a move. I really like Baty and believe in his bat so I can make that move

Scooby dooby doo

1:50

The Mets closer in august is

Paul Sporer

1:50

Not currently on their team

Robbing Peter

1:51

Is Naylor a drop in 10 or 12 team leagues? Can’t help but look at the wOBA/xwOBA gap and think it’s going to work out by summer time but it’s bad right now

Paul Sporer

1:51

Can't imagine a .209 BABIP or 8% HR/FB hold, though. Can cut in leagues that shallow, but I'm not out on him overall

Andy Ibanez

1:56

Is Andy Ibanez a thing? Him or Mike Massey as AL only bench bat?

Paul Sporer

1:57

Enough of a thing for AL Only consideration, yeah. Loved Massey coming into the season, but we just haven't seen enough to keep running him out there right now. I'd be OK w/the move

Stephanie

1:57

Is Giolito back? I saw 97 on the gun last night?

Paul Sporer

1:57

Yeah I mean outside the demolition, he's been back all year!

Paul Bearer

1:57

Do you agree that Louie Varland has been unlucky, has great underlying stats, is handsome and kind, has been known to help old ladies cross the street?

Louis V

1:57

I like the talent for the Vuitton Don (Louis V(arland)) but am worried about the next matchups. Assume he's a team streamer, though.

Paul Sporer

1:57

Big Varland fan. Picking him up anywhere he's still available!

Lorenzen Llamas

1:57

I know there are no K's, but I'm sort of digging Lorenzen for my ratios. His stuff+ numbers are good too. Team streamer in AL Only?

Paul Sporer

1:58

Yeah for AL Only, I can't imagine there's a ton on the wire so someone showing some flashes & putting together back to back gems is worth it. Would love to see a little K uptick to get excited about, but still in for AL Only

Appreciation

2:00

Thanks for your time with these questions. Gotta love baseball season!

Paul Sporer

2:00

Thanks so much!

Re: Injuries

2:00

Regarding injuries to pitcher’s specifically, I watch for velocity declines; I’m also leery of sudden spikes. Is there anything you do to avoid injury risk when evaluating players?

Paul Sporer

2:01

No, if you're playing, you're at risk for injury. You can mitigate some of the risk by avoiding guys with deep injury histories, but can never fully get away from injuries. The safe health player is pure myth

Don Jon Olerud

2:02

Are you worried about Seiya at all? He's been killing me in my H2H points league.

Paul Sporer

2:03

No, not really. Still not even 100 PA for him just yet... giving him another few wks for sure

aaron

2:04

Batys underlying metrics look good but the counting stats arent there. do you expect that to change any time this season?

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