JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat | 6/7/2023

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Big boys

1:40

Do you think L. Lynn will turn it around? Peripherals seem OK, but yikes this is tough to stomach

tongue

4

vomit

2

Paul Sporer

1:42

He's suffering from OBI (One Bad Inning) Syndrome in a lot of the bad starts so it feels like he's an adjustment away from bringing that ERA down toward his palatable 4.04 SIERA, but he's been so HR prone that I can't guarantee it. He's got a 2-step next wk, but it kicks off w/a trip to LAD and even as a long-time Lynn believer, I'm not sure I can pull the trigger on it

sad

2

angry

1

love

1

vomit

1

yawn

1

tongue

1

cool

1

crying

1

laughing

1

party

1

trophy

1

Dave

1:43

Pick an IL stash-- Nick Lodolo, Tarik Skubal, Mason Miller

tongue

1

Paul Sporer

1:44

Skubal. He's on rehab working his way back. Lodolo is out another month-plus and Miller has just started his way back from injury (and has basically 0 win potential even when he's back)

love

1

Daro

1:44

Pasquantino is killing me. Time to move on? Not much Noda, Pratto, Sheets in FA.

angry

1

love

1

vomit

1

yawn

1

tongue

1

sad

1

cool

1

crying

1

laughing

1

party

1

trophy

1

Paul Sporer

1:47

I feel like that's an overstatement to say he's killing you! Dipped below 800 OPS 3 days ago, I think he will be fine. I'm intrigued by Pratto & Noda, but not w/Vinnie P as a cut. He's been fine

love

1

angry

1

vomit

1

yawn

1

tongue

1

sad

1

cool

1

crying

1

laughing

1

trophy

1

Bruce & E Street

1:47

Time to more on from Bryce Miller and Liberatore ? Mixed 12 T Roto

yawn

1

tongue

1

sad

1

cool

1

laughing

1

trophy

1

Paul Sporer

1:48

Liberatore sure, no way on Miller. He got diced up in a pair of tough matchups back-to-back, but that feels like an overcorrection and I still see a solid 4.10 SIERA that is worth holding in 12s or deeper for sure

cool

2

vomit

1

love

1

yawn

1

tongue

1

crying

1

Scott TINSTAAPP

1:49

Haha, no thankfully I don't own Roansy! Tough one, you can understand putting him out there against OAK at home...it's been rough for him though

sad

1

Paul Sporer

1:49

Yeah I gave him the full reco in my SP chart and stand by the process. It's OAK for cryin' out loud, but he got absolutely dumpstered!!

love

1

Scott TINSTAAPP

1:50

honestly great work, I've been grinding all year and will until the last day but it's been a tough season in the Main after a great one last year!

tongue

3

yawn

2

Paul Sporer

1:51

It always sucks so much to start in such a deep hole but we haaaaavvvveeee to remember that the season is VERY long and you should never be giving up too soon! Still not sure I'll have the offensive horses to make up my deficits, especially since I was too poor for Royce Lewis and thus will be for Elly, too, but hopefully I can spike a $15-20 gem or three (out of $1000 budget)

love

2

cool

2

Rick

1:51

I'm staring at Luke Raley and his beautiful statcast page. To what extent should I be a believer in his breakout? I'm mainly concerned about whiffs.

love

1

sad

1

Paul Sporer

1:52

You're right to be concerned about them, but the power-speed goodness is worth holding onto even if the AVG sinks into the lower-.200s from here forward.

angry

1

David

1:52

Can I just say, that Roansy recommend is a killer. Trying to take down an undefeated team and I pick him up last minute.

tongue

1

Paul Sporer

1:53

I hear ya, but I mean, who on earth could've seen that coming? I figure at worst we'd get something like a 5 IP/4 ER/6 K kinda game. Could've never seen such a meltdown

love

1

Justin Mason Physique

1:53

Should we be staying away from pitchers with this body type moving forward? Manoah & Lynn not doing the big boys proud.

Paul Sporer

1:54

Nah, plenty of bigger body types who've been super successful, too. There are no hard & fast rules on that kinda stuff. You can find pluses & minuses for each class of player when you start breaking 'em down like that

laughing

1

party

1

David

1:54

What is up with Liberatore? Does he just need to get a consistent run?

love

1

angry

1

Paul Sporer

1:54

We haven't really seen the gains we saw in Spring & AAA. Velo is up a bit, but nothing else looks like the guy we thought could be a breakout

Insert Witty Name Here

1:54

Trout for Alonso in an OBP league, yay or nay?

cool

1

Paul Sporer

1:54

Sure, no issues there on either side

tongue

1

crying

1

Yo-yo

1:55

Hey Paul, love you, love your show. Curious what your take is long term on Hunter Brown? I can trade Kershaw for him in a salary cap keeper where he's much more affordable for the next few years, H2H, pts. Thank you!

love

1

vomit

1

angry

1

yawn

1

sad

1

tongue

1

cool

1

crying

1

laughing

1

party

1

trophy

1

Paul Sporer

1:55

Thanks for the kind words!! I'm a HUGE fan of Brown's and would definitely do the deal bc even if Kershaw is better this yr (which is no guarantee given how well both are throwing), I like Brown more going forward for sure

sad

1

crying

1

Louis V

1:56

Varland was rated really high on DFS sites yesterday, which encouraged me to start him. Should have kept him at your level. Any idea why DFS didn't consider TB's quality?

yawn

1

tongue

1

Paul Sporer

1:58

I'm sure they did but he's been putting up some nice skills this yr and maybe those sites liked him to keep it going even against a tough team and thus he could've been kind of a sneaky play. Was he priced highly, too? Or was it write-ups that promoted him? I'm a fan of him and started him in the league I have him, but knew it was a major risk, so kept my recommendation in check in the SP Chart

cool

1

Keeping the lead

1:58

Smarter to trade for HR or SB when you’re in first, projected to tie for first in SBs but be 30 HRs behind first in HR?

crying

1

Paul Sporer

1:58

I'd go for power. It contributes everywhere! A HR hits 4 categories every time you smack one

yawn

1

Kate

1:59

Reese Olson's stuff looked nasty in that first start. Do you think he can keep the command together enough to be a viable starter in real life and in a 15 teamer?

tongue

1

trophy

1

Paul Sporer

2:00

That will definitely be the key. I know you asked if he can, I truly don't know, but we know the swing and miss elements are there, he just can't give away a ton of free passes if he wants to have consistent success in the bigs. I think he's worth the pickup as at least a stash even if you plan to skip the PHI start

Eh?

2:00

Can everyone lay off picking on pitchers body weights? As soon as a skinny guy loses it (Flaherty, Syndergaard), it's just mechanical. As soon as a bigger guy loses it, everyone says he needs to hit the gym. Enough of that

crying

1

Paul Sporer

2:01

Yeah I know it's meant to be jokey, but I agree that it's a bit much. And I know Manoah has dealt w/asshole fans seriously trying to call him out for stuff like that prior to this year when he was pitching like an ace so I can only imagine the dumb shit he's dealing with these days.

Cronenworth

2:02

Is playing 1B really that hard? Why has he turned into a 200 hitter overnight?

Paul Sporer

2:03

It is hard, but I don't think that's the issue. Hits aren't falling w/a .243 BABIP and I'm not seeing anything that suggests it's more than mostly bad luck at this point. Everything else is more or less in line w/his previous marks. That said, this 89 wRC+ is within the range of outcomes for his profile so there are no guarantees of a turnaround

Sean

2:03

Do you think Jonah Heim can sustain this? Texas offense obviously a great spot to be, is he a top 5 catcher at this point?

Paul Sporer

2:05

Yes, I do! I was a big fan in draft season and he's been wonderful. I really liked Texas coming into the year, too, so I was hoping to get pieces of that lineup wherever I could

Kid

2:05

Vlad Jr. - Awesome statcast page, mediocre real life results. He’s been dreadful at home, too. What’s going on?

Paul Sporer

2:07

This was brought up in my boxscore show on Twitch this morning and I was floored by his insane home/road splits!!! It feels like a fluke to post a .606 OPS in Toronto, so I tend to think he will be just fine as the season wears on. I'm not too worried

Jay

2:07

How likely is Roasny to get the Manoah treatment tomrorow?

Paul Sporer

2:07

I imagine it'd be a standard AAA send down, not all the way down like Manoah

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Sporer hosts a chat