JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

12:58

Welcome everyone, thanks for coming out! A few minutes from the official start, but feel free to drop your questions if you're here early!

Scott TINSTAAPP

1:00

As a fellow JV owner in the Main, how worried should we be about his ROS outlook?

Paul Sporer

1:02

I've got some concerns but not actionable for me right now. A dud today miiight give me some pause at HOU next wk, but I can't imagine sitting him before seeing 10 starts

Guest

1:02

WTAH Strider

Paul Sporer

1:02

Ran into a juggernaut!!

Insert Witty Name Here

1:02

Time to worry about Strider? Fastball has lost a few ticks (I think, haven’t fully looked). He’s always been an injury risk. Rest of staff is currently Darvish, Hunter Brown, Eury, Taj, it’s a shallow 11 teamer with an innings cap so streaming pitchers is an option.

Paul Sporer

1:03

Velo down just 0.4 mph isn't enough to have any real concern (gotta be 1.5 mph or more one way or the other before it really matters) https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/gamefeed?date=6/14/2023&gamePk=717770&c... -- Tough outing after the dud last time out, but nothing actionable for me

Guest

1:04

does a Cole Strider Wheeler Cease Gray Cobb rotation just require patience in 12T QS, or is it time to shake things up?

Paul Sporer

1:04

Yeah that core is too good to blow up. You can stream around them, but I'm not moving off the top 5. Cobb can be a team streamer, doesn't have to start every time out

King131

1:04

I hear the "sell, sell, sell" mantra on Morel (and understand the sell-high window has largely closed), but do you think there could still be a productive fantasy future there? Does it really just come down to limiting Ks?

Paul Sporer

1:05

Yeah he can be bc he has power & speed so the fantasy juice is there even if the slash line lags (see also: Witt Jr., Bobby). Ks and the way he generates his (chasing, lack of patience) creates these cold spells he goes through. Given you likely got him off the wire or very late in a draft, it's OK to hold, too. Selling high isn't always great advice bc it's really hard to just go out and do that

Jack

1:06

Dropped Freddy Peralta to (successfully) stream James Paxton in a pretty shallow 10team league on Monday - the question is, do I keep rolling with Paxton going forward or go back to Freddy?

Paul Sporer

1:06

Both? Who else can you cut to get Freddy back? Definitely want to hold Pax

Nate Pearson

1:06

I've been Sneaky good, will I start getting holds anytime soon?

Paul Sporer

1:06

Yeah I can see him getting into leveraged spots plenty if he stays pitching well

Gray

1:06

actually, which Gray did you assume I meant, since Josiah is a step below Sonny and Jon lol. it was Sonny tho

Paul Sporer

1:06

Sonny was my guess with Jon 2nd. I assumed (gotta be careful assuming!) that you'd have pointed out if it was Josiah!

Suwinski last night

1:07

Homer at 105 off fastball; walk after falling behind 0-2; homer at 111 off curveball; by his 4th PA, Leiter said screw that and threw him 4 non competitive heaters up and away for walk #2. Swing and miss in the zone is back based on the rolling graphs, still 50/50 to even play vs lefties, but I can't imagine pitchers *like* having to throw strikes and hope for the best. He's already survived one slump and I know 2.5 months is still a small sample, but I'm excited--especially in OBP. Dude is just 24! Gallo is becoming an obvious comp, but even prime Gallo never put up a sub 20 o-swing (and was also slightly below Jack's 76% zcontact). Sorry for the love letter, I'll shut up and listen!

Paul Sporer

1:09

Similar to the Morel convo in that Suwinski has fantasy juice which makes the downturns and obvious flaws more palatable!! The huge BB rate softens the blow of the K issues, too, bc he can still get on base and run a bit (& score runs) to supplement his dry spells

Swing and a blast

1:09

Last week I asked if there were any sign Gunnar could be top 50 ADP next year. You said no signs and low probability of it. Thoughts.

Paul Sporer

1:09

He's cookin, but Top 50 takes a lotttt more than a great week!

Insert Witty Name Here

1:09

Shallow 11 teamer, need to know who my two UTIL guys should be between ELDC, Jung, and Nolan Jones. Need OBP and RBI mostly.

Paul Sporer

1:11

ELDC and Jung are my faves. Jones is riding an OBSCENE BABIP and while you can maintain a high one in Coors, not a .467!!! So if I have to lean away from 1, it's him. Do you have to cut him or is this just start-sit? Bc Colorado goes to Cincy (Coors Lite!) and then home for the weekend next week!

wADHD+

1:11

How hard is it to win a league making minimal moves on the waiver wire/trades? I'm currently 3rd in standings and the two teams above me have a combined transaction count of 20(!?). They make lineup changes daily so they're not inactive, but they miss out on a lot of names on the wire which would benefit them. Is this a good sign for me to surpass them eventually?

Paul Sporer

1:13

It can be done being super active and it can be done just making the moves you need to make. There isn't a right way in this case. If it's a shallow lg w/a deep waiver wire. Be mindful of your opponents, but don't let what they're doing get you off your game in any way

Kevin

1:13

Would you rather have Skubal or Trevor Rogers going forward?

Paul Sporer

1:15

I lean toward Skubal. Better news w/his rehab right now as Rogers recently suffered a setback

Guest

1:15

Is Luis Matos a strong add if you need an OF? What are your ROS projections?

ChaCha

1:15

Just traded Luis Matos in a win now mode because I thought he wouldn't be able to help me down the stretch.......talk me off a ledge

Paul Sporer

1:19

Matos is an interesting prospect, but doesn't feel like a gamechanger you're going to heavily regret trading. I think he could be an AVG/SB kinda guy and AVG is always a tough bet bc you need the BABIP to go your way. A definite pickup, but a longshot to be a major piece in any format

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

1:20

In deep AL OBP league, I've been offered Taveras or Laureano for same pitcher I no longer need. Best bet to get 10 HR/10 SB ROS? Will Laureano get traded somewhere that will boost his R and RBI totals?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Gimme Leody. Muuuuuch better team and he's been the much better player, too, so even if Laureano is traded, it doesn't push him past Leody.

Spot Starter

1:21

Looks like you see Heaney as a borderline team streamer. Him or Bello, or is it just match-ups? Only league, so the wire is dicey.

Paul Sporer

1:21

Yeah Heaney is a shallow league team streamer and he & Bello aren't that far apart to where I would definitely just play the matchups with 'em

Oberizzi

1:22

Oh right. Ober allows home runs sometimes.

Paul Sporer

1:22

We'll take solos! We knew the 5% HR/FB was going to regress so let's just make sure the bases are clear when it happens!

Guest

1:23

I would like your opinion on 3 Marlins SPs: B.Garrett, E.Cabrera, and T.Rogers. Will they ever let Garrett get me some quality starts, will Cabrera reign in the BBs enough to make him rosterable, and will Rogers's improvement in his last 1 1/2 starts before his injury carry over?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Hopefully the push Garrett to more of a 90-95 pitch guy as the summer wears on. Cabrera can reign in the BB for periods of time, but he hasn't shown anything to suggest the control has substantively improved yet. I'm down to roster a healthy Rogers, but he isn't there right now so I'm only holding where I can sustain a luxury reserve or have a buncha IL spots

Alex

1:25

Is Luis Patiño a dynasty drop now? I believed for years but it looks like it's not happening

Paul Sporer

1:26

I understand the fatigue, but it's worth mentioning that he's still just 23 yrs old! I'm OK moving off him if there's someone you really want and he's the obvious cut, but I'm not fully out on him

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