JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:02

Hello everyone! Thanks for coming out!!

Hank Scorpio

1:03

Hey Paul, thanks as always for the chat. The Catcher carousel continues to spin for me. 12tm 6x6 roto: T. Stephenson, B. Naylor, H. Davis, or Y. Diaz going forward? I know how you feel about rookie Cs, but it’s bleak out here

Paul Sporer

1:06

I'm gonna stick with T Step in that group right now, but he's on notice. He's been hitting for some pop of late w/3 HR in his last 25 gms (~20 HR pace) so if he can keep going for another couple wks, I think we could see a big summer. If he falls off again soon, Diaz in my #2 there

Guestavo

1:06

Is Flaherty rosterable in a 12 teamer or more of a streamer?

Paul Sporer

1:06

Streamer in 12s w/that BB rate

Guestie

1:06

In a 12 teamer these are all FAs. Lynn, Woo, Flaherty. What priority for FAB??

Paul Sporer

1:06

The order you've listed 'em in how I'd attack

Scott TINSTAAPP

1:07

Assuming Gavin Williams takes care of business tonight, what do you think his FAAB prices will be considering the pool has been significantly drained of funds to date?

Paul Sporer

1:08

The thing is, I've been thinking these banger prospects were going to drain prices on these guys but it seems there's always at least someone with enough money to keep the bids high on these studs. If he pops off v. OAK, we'll see plenty of triple digit bids (out of $1000 budget) across the many formats. I can see consistent $200+ bids for 15-teamers and $100+ in shallower formats

Scott TINSTAAPP

1:08

Follow up on the Gavin Williams question, with Skubal coming back imminently, who would you prefer splashing on this year in FAAB if you have only one shot left?

Paul Sporer

1:08

I'd imagine Skubal will be cheaper and I think his upside is at least equal to Williams so for that reason, I'd lean his way

Mirage Bradley

1:08

Given the state of LAD pitching, any chance Kershaw isn't given a phantom IR stint?

Paul Sporer

1:10

Certainly possible but they will protect him above anything so if he needs a breather, they will bring Fernando Valenzuela back if necessary

Guest

1:10

suwinski - hold or drop in 3 OF?

Paul Sporer

1:12

Not a must-hold, no. Probably open to reserving but if there's someone I want on the wire, I'm down

Bomo

1:13

I only mixed leagues. What happens in an AL only league if a player gets traded to NL at the deadline?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Kinda split -- some leagues do SOL (shit outta luck... meaning you just lose the guy) and others allow you to keep the guy. I used to prefer SOL years ago, but it just adds too much variance to a format that is already so tight with the waiver wire so punishing someone for something out of their control doesn't feel like the right move

Broken Bat

1:14

What do you think about Sanchez of Melina?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Who?

Josh Lowe

1:14

Am I a "rookie hits the wall and readjusts" kinda guy or am I "the league figured me out and it's downhill from here" kinda guy?!

Paul Sporer

1:16

I think the former is perfectly in play. His Ks are up this month, but still at a palatable 25% K rate for the year. I'm sticking w/him through this first downturn before running away off the cold streak

A-A-Ron

1:16

Will Triston Casas break out this year?

Paul Sporer

1:17

I was definitely drafting him with that hope in mind but the power has been light thus far. He definitely has the pop to go off w/a ton of summer HRs so I've been holding in my 15-teamer, but he isn't some must-hold in shallower formats where there are plenty of 1B available

erghammer

1:18

The Sox are on the verge of being slightly above average. Should they buy or sell at the deadline? The sitting on the fence thing didn't work out so well last year. Thanks for the chat.

Paul Sporer

1:19

The Red Sox? That division makes life tough, but I could see them adding a bit, mostly around the edges, to stay in the mix

kaiju dragons

1:19

What to do with Varsho?

Paul Sporer

1:20

He's the 5th ranked C, just start him everyday. His HR/SB have been more than enough to withstand the paltry AVG

Trey

1:20

better option ROS: Volpe or McLain? categories are OPS, runs, HR, RBI, SB

Paul Sporer

1:24

I don't want to just take the guy doing better right now, but I'm also a bit worried that Volpe's 70 wRC+ could eventually get him sent back to AAA and thus I lean McLain's way. I also love what Cincy is doing w/their young offense and of course, their park!

Violet

1:25

Think Gorman has a re-adjustment in him? Been terrible for a month.

Paul Sporer

1:26

The vagaries of massive swing-and-miss guys. 46% K rate and .154 BABIP are insane and mostly just a cold streak. I think he will work through it and get back on track

Fant’sy Feast

1:26

General question: if someone asks a question without providing league details, would you assume weekly or daily lineups? What’s more standard?

Paul Sporer

1:26

I assume roto lg/weekly moves. Might be wrong, that's my default.

Bomo

1:26

In general, should we ignore actual BA and SLG in favor of xBA and xSLG when evaluating players?

Paul Sporer

1:27

No, I don't think so. I'm not sure those x-Stats are super predictable for one and even insofar as they are, I worry they are leaned on too much as magic bullet stats. I'd rather just understand the player's whole profile and what makes up the x-Stats he's generating

1:27

In 9th right now and my bats are failing me. How likely do you see guys like Ezequiel Duran and Jeimer Candelario continuing to produce?

Paul Sporer

1:29

Duran has some fantasy juice and is part of a great lineup so I like riding his bat right now even though his plate skills are ripe for a cold streak in line w/some of the other guys we've discussed today (Lowe, Kelenic, Gorman). Jeimer is a streaming hitter type in just about any format, tbh

Deep NL Only Roto League

1:29

Would you rather have Jacob Amaya or Derek Hill?

Paul Sporer

1:30

I know Hill is kinda raking in AAA (8 HR/10 SB/126 wRC+) but I think it's probably just a hot streak as opposed to a post-hype breakout. Gimme Amaya over him

Pauly Sporealz

1:30

I may keep Eury over Vladdy. Lol.

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